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Four Global Scenarios for the Future of Information and Communication Technology Edited by J. Howkins and R. Valantin (for IDRC and the United Nations Commission on Science and Technology for Development) IDRC 1997 ISBN 0-88936-835-X 80 pp. ![]() Disponible en français / Disponible en español Around the world, new information and communication technologies are increasingly affecting societies and their governments, industries, communities, and individuals. The Information Revolution is producing astonishing transformation in virtually all spheres of human activity. But how can these technologies help to balance the scales of development between the countries of the "industrialized" world and those of the "developing"world? Indeed, will they narrow the existing gap, or will they widen it? In June 1996, experts from around the world gathered to debate these questions. By thinking the unthinkable and asking the unaskable, four scenarios were envisioned. The March of Follies, Cargo Cult, Netblocs, and Networld present distinct futures with different measures of cooperation, protectionism, and preparedness, and they provide a stark and realistic view of the relationship between the new information and communication technologies and the goal of global sustainable and equitable development. Development and the Information Age offers a glimpse into the future of the Information Age. Its brevity and clarity will appeal to all readers interested in development issues and the new information technologies, and will particularly inform policymakers, academics, students, and practitioners in development and information technology worldwide.
Foreword Fernando Chaparro and Geoffrey Oldham 1997 Preface Robert Valantin 1997 Background and Methodology 1997 1. Five Indicators of Development 1997 2. Information and Communication Technology Issues 1997 3. The Combination of ICT and Development 1997 4. Basic Uncertainties 1997 5. The Four Scenarios 1997 6. Conclusions 1997 Afterword Fernando Chaparro & Geoffrey Oldham 1997 Appendix 1: Participants of the Kelburn Workshop 1997 Appendix 2: Objectives of the UNCSTD Working Group on IT and Development 1997 Appendix 3: Acronyms and Abbreviations 1997 The Editors 1997 The Sponsors 1997 |
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