Abstract

The projected change in the market share of subcompact cars in total light-duty vehicle sales, from the model year 1990 to 2010 based on the business-as-usual scenario is shown here. This scenario assumes that there are no major policy changes during the 1990 to 2010 period, which would affect vehicle preferences. Light-duty vehicles include all cars and light trucks. It is projected that the market share of subcompact cars would remain largely unchanged from the model year 1990 to that of 2010 for Canada as a whole (18.8% in 1990 and 18.2% in 2010). The greatest changes would be in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, where the expected significant increases would be primarily due to a significant switch from large pick-up trucks to small passenger vehicles.