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This report evaluates the extent of the economic risk to society posed by population aging and specifically the baby boom retirement. It emphasizes the need to maintain a healthy economy and fiscal prudence, while still respecting the opportunity and need for people to exercise choice in the best interests of their families, society, and themselves.
The Policy Research Initiative has developed a report on population
aging and future labour supply issues, with a focus on encouraging older
workers to extend their working lives by delaying or phasing into retirement.
The PRI concurs with much of recent OECD analysis, having cooperated
in the production of that report. However, the PRI report uses a
new analytical instrument (LifePaths) to look in more detail at Canadian labour supply factors. The result is a nuanced analysis tailored to the Canadian context.
Key findings:
- Population aging poses a serious
challenge. The work force will begin
to decrease, relative to the overall
population, starting in 2010.
- However, the increased intensity
of the labour force participation of
women and an increase in lifetime
hours of labour will moderate the
impact of population aging on
the work force.
- A strategy emphasizing fiscal
prudence and productivity increases,
as well as encouraging increased
labour supply, will be important.
- Population aging will present
opportunities for older workers
to continue to provide labour, and
to enjoy greater choices in their
life plans.
- The report explores the potential
for removing impediments and
providing incentives for older
workers to extend their
working lives.
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