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Canada's Energy Future:
Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025
We are pleased to make available Canada's Energy
Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025. We want to thank
those representatives from industry, environmental groups, government
agencies and related associations for their input which helped to shape
the final document. More than 150 people participated in our consultation
sessions and/or provided written feedback.
This report sets itself apart from previous versions by using a scenario
approach to address forces, uncertainties and key issues affecting energy
supply and demand in Canada. In the report, two plausible energy futures
are explored. The scenarios, called "Supply Push"
and "Techno-Vert", consider the pace of technology
and action on the environment as the two key uncertainties that will
shape Canada's energy future. Scenarios are not forecasts; they are
designed to challenge our thinking and to provide a framework for public
discussion on emerging issues and trends. In reviewing these trends,
three key findings emerged:
Key Findings
- There are significant obstacles to changing the fuel mix or achieving
large gains in energy efficiency due to the structure of the Canadian
economy; energy use patterns will change slowly and Canada will continue
to satisfy the majority of its energy needs from fossil fuels until 2025.
- Natural gas will be in high demand as a premium clean-burning fossil
fuel however, a major uncertainty is the availability of supplies of
natural gas.
- Oil sands production will increase significantly and will offset
the decline in conventional crude oil production and become Canada's
major source of oil supply; exports will increase considerably through 2025.
For additional information, please view:
23 July 2003 and 3 July 2003 |
ERRATA: An errata
has been issued for Canada's Energy Future - Scenarios
for Supply and Demand to 2025 which has been included at the beginnng
of the document. These updates have been reflected on the
Web site, but not on the CD-ROMs. In addition, future printings of the
hard copy document will also contain an errata notice with the updates. The Board
apologizes for any inconvenience caused by these changes.
Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply and Demand to 2025
- News Release 03/13 and Executive Summary - NEB releases
supply and demand report [HTML]
Note: To download
the data associated with a table or chart, simply click on
it, select open, and save the workbook
to your own computer. The workbook is in SILK (.slk) format
which is compatible with EXCEL (.xls) format. |
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7 January 2003 |
News Release 03/02 - Canada's Energy Future: Scenarios for Supply
and Demand to 2025 - Confirmation of Public Consultation Sessions
[HTML] |
7 January 2003 |
Consultation document regarding preliminary results
[PDF: 1152 KB] |
14 November 2002 |
News Release 02/39 - Share your views on Canada's
energy future! The NEB seeks input on draft supply and demand report
[HTML] |
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