Miami Heat stars Shaquille O'Neal, left, and Dwyane Wade are shooting for a second straight NBA championship (David J. Phillip/Associated Press)
Backgrounder
2006-07 NBA preview
The NBA has taken notice of the Miami Heat's winning formula
Last Updated Tues., Oct. 16, 2006
Paul Jay, CBC Sports Online
On the surface, the Miami Heat’s victory last season at the National Basketball Association finals in June seemed to reaffirm an age-old trend in pro basketball: The team with the best two players often ends up winning championships.
Certainly mammoth centre Shaquille O’Neal and fearless guard Dwyane Wade are among the top players in the NBA.
But it was Wade and not O’Neal who was the real difference in the finals against the Dallas Mavericks, and his performance highlighted a fundamental way the league has changed in just a few short years. Now, more than ever, speed wins over size.
Victoria, B.C.’s Steve Nash won his second MVP award and led the speed renaissance in Phoenix. Kobe Bryant – one of the quickest players in all of basketball off the dribble – led the league in scoring and scored 81 points on the Toronto Raptors, the highest single-game total since Wilt Chamberlain notched 100 points in 1962. And Wade’s quickness off the dribble made him unstoppable in the finals, allowing him to draw fouls at will and attempt an average of 16 free throws a game.
The rest of the league has taken notice, and even defensive-minded teams such as the Indiana Pacers, San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies are promising to unshackle their offence and get out and run.
Here then is a breakdown of the teams on the road to the NBA Finals, competing in a race likely to be won by the quick.
THE FAVOURITES
Miami Heat
2005-06 Record and Result: 52-30, won NBA Finals
Starting five: Jason Williams, Dwyane Wade, James Posey, Udonis Haslem, Shaquille O’Neal
Outlook: The perception of the Miami Heat is that, outside of Wade, they are too old to continue to compete at the highest level. But although O’Neal is 34 and his backup, Alonzo Mourning, is 36, many of the Heat are still in their prime, including Posey, Haslem and sixth man Antoine Walker. And should the aging centres falter, third-string youngster Earl Barron was impressive in summer league. Head coach Pat Riley’s greater task is continuing to motivate sulky players including Walker and Gary Payton without the carrot of a chance to win their first championship. Wade, whose competitiveness is already inspiring comparisons with Michael Jordan, likely won’t need extra motivation.
Dallas Mavericks
2005-06 Record and Result: 60-22, lost NBA Finals to Miami
Starting five: Jason Terry, Devin Harris, Josh Howard, Dirk Nowitzki, Erick Dampier
Outlook: After blowing a 2-0 lead to Miami in the
finals, Dallas hardly rested on their laurels this summer. Gone
are guards Marquis Daniels and Darrell Armstrong and forward Keith
Van Horn. Replacing them are guards Anthony Johnson and Maurice
Ager and forwards Austin Croshere and Devean George. The upgrade
in athleticism adds to what was arguably the deepest team in the
NBA. But Dallas is no guarantee to return to the finals in the Western
conference, where many of the league’s elite teams still reside.
And to finally win a title, Dirk Nowitzki will have to shake off
the perception that he failed to produce when it mattered the most.
The Phoenix Suns are a threat with two-time reigning NBA most valuable player, Steve Nash, leading the charge.
Phoenix Suns
2005-06 Record and Result: 54-28, lost to Dallas in Western Conference finals
Starting five: Steve Nash, Raja Bell, Boris Diaw, Shawn Marion, Amare Stoudemire
Outlook: Last year the Suns showcased the most
exciting, high-scoring team in the league, and they did it without
the injured Stoudemire who, when healthy, is the most explosive
post player in the league. Helping to ease the loss was the emergence
of Diaw, a rare talent capable of distributing the ball like a point
guard and guarding centres under the basket. This summer the team
added guard Marcus Banks, whose relentless full-court pressure might
help rest Nash while it tires Phoenix’s opponents. But the big addition
is the return of Stoudemire who, if healthy, might finally help
this team translate their regular-season success into playoff results.
San Antonio Spurs
2005-06 Record and Result: 63-19, lost to Dallas in Western Conference semifinals
Starting five: Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Bruce Bowen, Tim Duncan, Francisco Elson
Outlook: The Spurs have been for many seasons the
antithesis of the fast-break Phoenix Suns; a super-sized, deliberate
and incredibly successful team micromanaged by coach Greg Popovich
and built around Duncan, the league’s most efficient big man. But
last year the team began to open up a fast-break offence, utilizing
the open-court skills of their European-trained guards Parker and
Ginobili. This summer they let centres Rasho Nesterovic and Nazr
Mohammed go to Toronto and Detroit respectively, a sign that size
is no longer as important to them. With few long-term additions
to the team, the three-time NBA champions appear to be reloading
for a run at free agents in 2007. Yet even if that is their intent,
they remain a dangerous team capable of winning it all.
ON THE RISE
Chicago Bulls
2005-06 Record and Result: 41-41, lost in Eastern Conference first round to Miami Heat
Starting five: Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Andres Nocioni, Ben Wallace
Outlook: No team made a bigger splash in the offseason
than the Chicago Bulls, who pried Detroit’s heart and soul, Ben
Wallace, away with a four-year, $60-million US contract. But Chicago
didn’t stop there, shipping underachieving centre Tyson Chandler
to New Orleans for workmanlike big man PJ Brown and adding a stable
of young, long-armed athletes such as Tyrus Thomas, Viktor Khyrapa
and Thabo Sefolosha to further frustrate opponents. With a core
of young talent already in place, Chicago’s additions make them
legitimate contenders. The only question is which player will be
the team’s go-to-scorer in the playoffs. Clearly it won’t be Wallace,
a player as awful on offence as he is a dominant on defence.
Orlando Magic
2005-06 Record and Result: 36-46, missed playoffs
Starting five: Jameer Nelson, Hedo Turkoglu, Grant
Hill, Dwight Howard, Tony Battie
Outlook: Few teams finished the season with the
promise of the Magic, who won 16 of their last 20 games with a roster
oozing with young talent. Leading the way is Howard, who at 20 years
of age is already one of the league’s best post players. Last year’s
trade with Detroit also brought Puerto Rican point guard Carlos
Arroyo and Serbian big man Darko Milicic, two young players who
add offensive firepower to the bench. Whether former star Grant
Hill can overcome his seemingly annual bout of injuries and contribute,
the Magic appear to be a team on the rise.
ON A SLIDE
Detroit Pistons
2005-06 Record and Result: 64-18, lost in Eastern Conference final to Miami
Starting five: Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rasheed Wallace, Nazr Mohammed
Outlook: The loss of Wallace in free agency was
a huge blow to Detroit, especially after the team had traded promising
big man Darko Milicic to Orlando to clear salary cap room for him.
Detroit recovered by taking Mohammed from San Antonio and sparkplug
guard Ronald “Flip” Murray from Cleveland, but this appears to be
a team in search of an identity. Last year’s new coach Flip Saunders
brought more imagination to the offence but didn’t have the same
intensity as former coach Larry Brown. The result was a disappointing
playoff loss for a team many considered the favourite to win it
all. The returning four starters and sixth man Antonio McDyess still
have the talent to challenge Cleveland and Chicago for the top spot
in the central division, but Detroit can no longer be considered
a favourite.
Memphis Grizzlies
2005-06 Record and Result: 49-33, lost in Western Conference first round to Dallas
Starting five: Damon Stoudamire, Eddie Jones, Rudy Gay, Pau Gasol, Jake Tsakalidis
Outlook: When the Grizzlies traded hustling forward
Shane Battier to Houston for intriguing rookie Rudy Gay and forward
Stromile Swift, many hailed it as a move that would pay long-term
dividends. But the maturation of Gay may have to occur sooner rather
than later after All-Star forward Pau Gasol broke his foot helping
Spain win the gold medal at the 2006 World Basketball Championships.
With Gasol out, Battier gone and coach Mike Fratello attempting
to install an up-tempo offence, Memphis is a long-shot to return
to the playoffs in the competitive Western Conference.
THE DARK HORSES
At only 21 years old, scary-good superstar LeBron James is still improving. (Associated Press)
Cleveland Cavaliers
2005-06 Record and Result: 50-32, lost in Eastern Conference semi final to Detroit
Starting five: Eric Snow, Larry Hughes, LeBron James, Drew Gooden, Zydraunus Ilgauskas
Outlook: Cleveland didn’t do as much as Chicago
or Dallas to add to their roster, but the already otherworldly LeBron
James is only 21 years old and bound to improve. With another year
together, his supporting cast should be more up to the challenge
of playing to his level. Hughes missed half of last year with a
broken finger and will be counted on to share the scoring burden,
and the strong bench featuring former Toronto Raptor Donyell Marshall
was further augmented by the additions of veterans David Wesley,
Scot Pollard and rookie guard Shannon Brown.
Houston Rockets
2005-06 Record and Result: 34-48, missed playoffs
Starting five: Rafer Alston, Bonzi Wells, Tracy McGrady, Shane Battier, Yao Ming
Outlook: On paper, the Rockets are an elite team.
But keeping stars McGrady and Yao healthy and on the court at the
same time was the problem last season and remains a concern. To
bolster the squad, the Rockets made the bold trade to add Battier,
added guard Vassilis Spanoulis – the best player on Greece’s silver-medal
winning world championship squad – and talented but disruptive swingman
Bonzi Wells. Those additions should put Houston closer to the 51
wins they earned in the 2004-05 season. How far they advance in
the playoffs will depend on their point guards, where the quixotic
Alston will battle last year’s rookie Luther Head for the job.
The NBA by the numbers
- Number of players who scored more than 30 points a game last season: 3 (Kobe Bryant, Allen Iverson, LeBron James)
- The last year at least three players averaged 30 or more points: 1982 (George Gervin, Moses Malone, Adrian Dantley)
- Number of guards among the league’s top 20 in scoring average in 1995-96 season: 4
- Number in top 20 last year: 11
- Assists per game for league MVP Steve Nash: 10.5
- Next closest player: Baron Davis (8.9)
- Number of franchises that have won an NBA championship since 1980: 8 (Los Angeles Lakers, Boston Celtics, Philadelphia 76ers, Detroit Pistons, Chicago Bulls, Houston Rockets, San Antonio Spurs, Miami Heat)
- Playoff wins for Memphis Grizzlies in 12 games: 0
- Value of contract Larry Brown signed to coach the New York Knicks last season: $50 million US
- Brown’s record before he was dismissed: 23 wins, 59 losses.
(sources: NBA.com, databasebasketball.com, Associated Press)
Canadians in the NBA
Only four Canadians appeared headed to training camp in October, and only two are assured of a roster spot. Victoria’s Steve Nash is a two-time MVP with the Phoenix Suns and former All-Star Jamaal Magloire of Toronto was traded to Portland from Milwaukee, where he’ll battle Joel Przybilla for the starting job.
Toronto’s Denham Brown was drafted this summer in the second round by the Seattle Sonics and is hoping to make the roster, while fellow Toronto native and former Arkansas guard Olu Famutimi managed to get an a non-guaranteed contract with the San Antonio Spurs after going undrafted this summer.
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