Fire Research » Fire & Forest Management

Fire Occurrence Prediction (FOP) Models

Fire occurrence prediction (FOP) models, which predict the daily number and location of forest fires, are an important component of the daily planning process of any fire management agency. The Canadian Forest Service has been conducting research in the development of FOP models for the Canadian environment for the last 25 years. Two of these models, SPARKY, for lightning-caused fires, and PEOPLE, for human-caused fires, have been developed and tested by several provincial fire management agencies over the years. When these models are used on a daily basis, they provide estimates of the expected fire activity patterns and potential areas of fire danger.

• PEOPLE — People-Caused Fire Occurrence Prediction Model
• PEOPLENET — People-Caused Fire Occurrence Prediction Model
• SPARKY— Lightning-Caused Fire Occurrence Prediction Model
• WIPP — Wildfire Ignition Probability Predictor System
• Predicting Future Fire Regimes
  

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