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 Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
Natural Resources Canada > Earth Sciences Sector > Priorities > Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation > Project Database
Project Database

44 record(s) found.


An Evaluation of Impact Assessment Procedures

This study examined whether the choice of models and modelling methods affects the results of agricultural impact assessments. Using statistical tests, the researchers concluded that the choice of downscaling, land suitability, and crop yield models does not unduly influence the results of impact assessments.

Contact:Michael Brklacich
Michael_Brklacich@carleton.ca
Carleton University
(613) 520-2600 ext. 7553
Partners:
  • Carleton University
Project Classification:
  • Agriculture
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Impacts & adaptation to climate change for fish and marine mammals in Canada´s Beaufort Sea

The purpose of this study is to identify vulnerabilities and potential adaptations to climate change for marine fish and marine mammals in the Canadian Beaufort Sea and the related sustainable harvest of these species. The research will use GIS analysis to examine relationships between climate-related variables such as diminishing ice thickness and cover, changes to the temperature and circulation of the atmosphere and marine waters, changes in nutrients and related impacts of fish and marine mammals, and the introduction of non-traditional freshwater and marine species. Additional analysis will focus on the current and future role of joint management structures and institutions and the capacity to respond to the impacts of climate change.

Contact:Magdalena Muir
makmuir@ieels.com
Arctic Institute of North America
(403) 276-1055
Partners:
  • Fisheries Joint Management Committee
  • University of Calgary
Project Classification:
  • Fisheries
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


The Impact of Climate Change on Food Security on Three Northern Aboriginal Communities – Plans for Adaptation

This study will investigate the potential health impacts of climate change on three northern aboriginal communities; Beaver Creek, Yukon; Fort Providence, Northwest Territories; and Kangiqsujuaq, Québec (Nunavik). Results will enable a better understanding of the specific impacts climate change is having and will have on aspects of aboriginal communities traditional food security in the North. Its overall goal is to help communities and health professionals characterize the specific nutrient and contaminant related impacts resulting from changes in country food availability related to climatic change.

Contact:Laurie Chan
Laurie.chan@mcgill.ca
McGill University
(514) 398-7765
Partners:
  • CHUL Research Centre-Public Health Research Unit
  • Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec
  • Dene Nation
  • Council of Yukon First Nations
  • Inuit Tapiriit Kanatami
Project Classification:
  • Health
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Québec
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


Climate change, permafrost degradation and infrastructure adaptation: community case studies in the Mackenzie Valley

In many northern communities much of the infrastructure, including roads, foundations and utilities, relies on the strength of permafrost for stability. As such, the effects of climate warming on permafrost represent a key concern in the north. To help the towns of Norman Wells and Tuktoyaktuk prepare for potential changes, researchers conducted in-depth assessments of current and future permafrost conditions and infrastructure sensitivity through the use of literature reviews and thermal modelling. Stakeholders were involved throughout all stages of the project, and results were presented and made available to community officials, planners and engineers for use in their decision-making. The researchers also provided each town with ideas and tools for developing adaptation strategies to deal with the projected changes in permafrost.

Contact:Stephen Robinson
srobinson@stlawu.edu
St. Lawrence University
(315) 379-5239
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada —Geological Survey of Canada
  • Town of Norman Wells
  • Government of the Northwest Territories - Municipal and Community Affairs~ Highways Division~ Airport Division
  • Environment Canada - Adaptation Impacts Research Group
  • National Research Council
  • Enbridge Pipelines (NW) Ltd
  • ESSO Resources
  • EBA Engineering Consultants
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete


Effects of Climate Change on Migratory Birds

Researchers reviewed literature to produce an annotated bibliography of recent scientific papers and reports on the potential impacts of climate change on birds. The bibliography focused on (1) the climatic variables to which birds have been found to respond, and (2) the most common responses that birds have been found to show to those changes. Climatic variables most commonly identified as influencing bird responses include increases in air and sea surface temperature, sea level rise, drying of wetlands, and sea ice variability. Much of the literature correlated recent advances in breeding with warmer air temperatures in the spring.

Contact:Tony Diamond
diamond@unb.ca
University of New Brunswick
(506) 453-5006
Partners:
  • Environment Canada
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Prehistoric Adaptation in the Western Canadian Arctic

This project studied the extent to which prehistoric human populations on western Victoria Island, Northwest Territories responded to changes in the climate. Researchers examined the relationships between major environmental changes and human colonization and population sizes. They found that initial colonization of the island by Paleoeskimos occurred during a warm postglacial period, when summer sea ice cover was low. Population sizes grew until a major cooling trend began, at which point populations declined sharply. While this decline in population may be partly attributable to climate, other factors, including resource overexploitation may also be to blame.

Contact:James Savelle
jsavel@po-box.mcgill.ca
McGill University
(514) 398-7163
Partners:
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available


Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture/Forestry Land Use Patterns: Developing and Applying an Integrated Impact Assessment Model

In this project, researchers developed an integrated assessment model to predict how agriculture and forestry land use could change over time in response to alternative scenarios of climate change, ecosystem change and economic change. The project also involved estimating the impacts of climate change on forest land values and agriculture at the national level. Results suggest that while all regions of Canada would benefit from climate change, the relative gain would be greatest for the Prairies and lowest for coastal regions. In absolute terms Ontario would experience the largest gains. Forest land values are generally expected to change in the same direction as agriculture land values.

Contact:Grant Hauer
Grant.Hauer@ualberta.ca
University of Alberta
(780) 492-0820
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada — Canadian Forest Service
Project Classification:
  • Crosscutting
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Enhancing Water Supply Infrastructure Investment Planning Practices
for a Changing Climate

The aim of this project is to improve practices in investment in infrastructure to protect water supply systems from changes in hydrology and consumptive patterns resulting from climate change.

Contact:François Bouchart
bouchart@ucalgary.ca
University of Calgary
(403) 220-4822
Partners:
  • University of Calgary
  • Dr Caterina Valeo
  • valeo@geomatics.ucalgary.ca
Project Classification:
  • Water Resources
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations on Sea Ice Transportation in Canada's Northwest Passage

The relatively short and sparse climate data record of Canada's Arctic hampers our ability to predict its future conditions. The Canadian global climate models (GMC=s) suggests that if warming trends continue, by 2050 sea ice in the Canadian Arctic will no longer be present during summer months. This loss of seasonal ice could have significant impacts in northern Canada, as it plays an important role in the biological, economic, and cultural components of the Arctic ecosystem. Researchers will: (1) identify what sea ice thresholds and parameters affect transportation usage, and how these may influence future behaviour; (2) increase communication and interaction between northern communities, shippers and researchers and; (3) interpret and synthesize climate change scenarios that describe future seas ice conditions. The goal of this project is to define the potential impacts of climate change on sea ice in Canada's Northwest Passage in order to make useful and understandable adaptation and policy recommendations to decision makers and stakeholders.

Contact:Roger De Abreu
Roger.DeAbreu@ec.gc.ca
Environment Canada
(613) 995-5125
Partners:
  • Fisheries and Oceans Canada
  • University of Calgary
  • University of Western Ontario
  • C-CIARN
  • Canadian Arctic Resources Committee
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


The Implications of Climate Change for Canada´s Boundary and
Transboundary Water Management

This project will analyze the potential impacts of climate change on boundary and transboundary water basins between Canada and the United States and between provinces and territories. It will also examine existing water-related agreements and procedures and assess their ability to adapt to climate change.

Contact:James P. Bruce
info@gcsi.ca
Global Change Strategies International
(613) 232-7979
Partners:
  • Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction
  • University of Western Ontario
  • Dr. Gordon McBean
Project Classification:
  • Water Resources
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Adaptation Strategies for Oil and Gas Infrastructure

Changes in the duration, amount and intensity of precipitation have the potential to increase ground movement and slope instability. This soil movement could, in turn, threaten the structural integrity of linear infrastructure, including pipelines, roads and railroads, by placing additional strain on these structures. In this study, researchers examined the integrity of pipelines in western Canada by using a modelling approach to predict the effect of changes in precipitation on slope movement rates. Results allowed the identification of critical thresholds that will help industry and government regulators plan for potential impacts of climate change.

Contact:Ibrahim Konuk
ikonuk@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(613) 992-1952
Partners:
  • University of Ottawa
  • TransCanada Energy
  • Westcoast Energy International
  • SNAM (National transmission company in Italy)
  • MMS-US Department of Interior
  • Martec Ltd
  • C-Core
  • McGill University
  • Rensellaar University
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Climate-Induced Impact Mapping for Route Selection Applications in Permafrost Regions

Higher temperatures are expected to decrease both the extent and thickness of permafrost in the Mackenzie Valley, as well as increase the temperature of the permafrost that is preserved. All of these factors could compromise the reliability and stability of transportation routes and other engineered structures. Most permafrost maps do not contain sufficient information to address the relationship between climate change and permafrost. In this study, researchers used models to define the associations between changing climate and ground temperatures. Work is now underway to apply these modelling approaches to high-resolution (<100 m) spatial data for the Mackenzie Valley in support of transportation decision-making, including selecting potential new road and pipeline routes.

Contact:Fred Wright
fwright@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(613) 996-9324
Partners:
  • Government of the Northwest Territories
  • Carleton University
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


National Transportation Impacts and Adaptation Workshop

Transport Canada held a two day workshop that: (1) discussed the potential and current, short and long term, climate change impacts on transportation infrastructure and operations; (2) facilitated network development; and (3) gathered stakeholder input to assist the assessment of priority areas of research to aid decision-makers. While uncertainties remain, especially in predicting local effects, sensitivities and vulnerabilities were identified. The need for developing inter-jurisdictional mechanisms for establishing priorities, coordinating activities, and sharing resources, is apparent; suggested approaches included a pilot program in the territories where adaptation strategies are most urgently needed. In attendance were sixty transportation professionals and climate change experts. Climate change adaptation should be integrated into federal, provincial and territorial government business planning.

Contact:Kathleen Nadeau
nadeauk@tc.gc.ca
Transport Canada
(613) 990-3047
Partners:
  • Office of Critical Structure Protection and Emergency Preparedness
  • Environment Canada
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Climate Change Adaptation and Transportation in the Northwest Territories

This project will assess the vulnerability of road and runway infrastructure in the Northwest Territories to climate change. Key concerns for transportation in the North include increases in ground subsidence and more frequent slope failures induced by higher temperatures and changes in precipitation. Researchers will examine whether the current transportation system is capable of handling projected changes in climate and will determine critical thresholds; the points at which the realized impacts make it impossible to maintain current activities. Researchers will also develop adaptation strategies, aimed at reducing the impacts of climate change on the transportation network.

Contact:Shane LeBouthillier
Shane_LeBouthillier@gov.nt.ca
Government of the Northwest Territories
(867) 920-8822
Partners:
  • Transport Canada
  • Environment Canada
  • Natural Resources Canada
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: In Progress


Climate change and Canadian road transport: assessing impacts and adaptations

There is limited information available on the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of the road freight system to changes in weather and climate. To address this knowledge gap, researchers will conduct a, quantitative assessment of road transport's vulnerability to climate conditions (both chronic and acute) as well as an in-depth evaluation of existing management and operations. The project will provide a comparative analysis of current approaches to dealing with climate variability in various regions of Canada as it affects the road transport system. This project has four main objectives: 1) To understand the historical pattern of climate and weather events affecting the road transportation system across Canada, focussing on the TransCanada Corridor, other major corridors and border crossings; 2)To identify and understand the operational effects and management approaches associated with current climate and weather events with an emphasis on critical vulnerability thresholds; 3) to establish the net socio-economic impacts of the operational effects and management approaches identified above; and4) To apply climate change scenarios and explore the socio-economic implications of various adaptation strategies.

Contact:Clarence Woudsma
cwoudsma@fes.uwaterloo.ca
University of Waterloo
(519) 888-4567 poste 3662
Partners:
  • McMaster University
  • St. Mary's University
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


Afforestation of Marginal Agricultural Land

This study determined the location, extent and forest potential of soils that are currently marginal for farming, and assessed the socioeconomic impacts of converting those areas to forest production. Researchers applied geographic information systems (GIS), ground-truthing, and socio-economic data to complete the analysis.

Contact:Ted Huffman
huffmant@em.agr.ca
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
(613) 759-1846
Partners:
  • Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
  • Statistics Canada
Project Classification:
  • Agriculture
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete


Climate Change and Sea-level Hazards on the Canadian Beaufort Sea Coast

This project focussed on the low-lying, ice-rich Western Arctic coast where, under current conditions, erosion rates can exceed 20 metres per year. More than 100 metres of coastal retreat has occurred at Tuktoyaktuk since 1947. Researchers refined and calibrated storm-surge models for the Beaufort Sea; developed scenarios of the impact of climate change on storm frequency, intensity, direction, and ice conditions, and mapped areas of sensitivity to flooding and potential erosion under present and future storm-surge scenarios.

Contact:Steve Solomon
ssolomon@nrcan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(902) 426-8911
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada — Geological Survey of Canada
  • Fisheries and Oceans Canada
  • Environment Canada
  • Triton Consulting
  • Atmospheric Dynamics
  • Arctic College
Project Classification:
  • Coastal Zones
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available


Climate Change Impacts on Productivity and Health of Aspen Forests in the Western Canadian Interior

Trembling aspen is important for wildlife, recreation and the forest industry in western Canada. Researchers analysed tree rings from 72 aspen stands across the Prairie Provinces to determine how climate variation, insects and other factors have affected aspen growth and health. They found that insect defoliation and drought were the most important factors driving year to year variation in aspen productivity. This research will help in understanding the response of aspen forests to future climate change.

Contact:Ted Hogg
thogg@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(780) 435-7225
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service
  • Environment Canada -Atmospheric Environment Branch
Project Classification:
  • Forestry
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • Northwest Territories
  • Saskatchewan

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Enhanced Indicators of Climate Change Impacts on Forest Hydrology

This study developed indicators to demonstrate the sensitivity of the forest water balance to climate variability. This will assist the forestry sector in evaluating land use adaptation strategies, especially in regions where persistent water deficits may develop in the next century.

Contact:Raoul Granger
Raoul.Granger@ec.gc.ca
Environment Canada
(306) 975-5758
Partners:
  • University of Saskatchewan
  • Natural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service
  • United Kingdom Meteorological Office - Hadley Centre for Climate Change and Prediction
  • Indian and Northern Affairs Canada - Northern Affairs Programme
Project Classification:
  • Forestry
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Ontario
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete


Projecting Canadian Forest Fire Impacts in a Changing Climate: Laying the Foundation for the Development of Sound Adaptation Strategies

This project examined the relationship between fire activity and climate in Canada over the past 50 years, and evaluated how an increase in the number and severity of fires would affect forest communities, timber supply, and carbon budgets. Researchers used high-resolution regional climate models to generate scenarios of future forest fire danger. They found that the seasonal fire severity rating would increase in much of Canada under the projected impacts of climate changes.

Contact:Brian Stocks
bstocks@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(705) 541-5568
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service
  • Environment Canada
  • University of Toronto
  • Provincial and Territorial Fire Management Agencies
  • Parks Canada
  • Millar Western Forest Products
  • Weldwood Forest Products
Project Classification:
  • Forestry
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available


Impacts of Climate Change on Permafrost in Canada

In this project, researchers examined potential changes in the temperature and extent of permafrost in Canada due to projected climate warming. This was done by applying a climate-permafrost model within a geographical information system (GIS). They found that under a 2xCO2 warming scenario, total permafrost area would be reduced by about 28%, resulting in most of the western mainland, all of northern Quebec and the Mackenzie Valley becoming permafrost-free. Cold, stable permafrost would be confined largely to the Arctic Archipelago.

Contact:Michael Smith
Mike_Smith@carleton.ca
Carleton University
(613) 520-2600 ext. 2566
Partners:
Project Classification:
  • Landscape Hazards
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Climatic Impact upon Arctic Ice: Threat and Opportunity

Researchers assessed the reliability of different projections of climate change impacts on Arctic sea ice by bringing together data on sea ice (e.g., from data atlases, satellite products, and ice observing stations) with computer projections from climate centers and regional ice/ocean modeling. They found that ice has been thinning at a rate of 0-5% per decade, rather than by 40% over a few decades, as has been published in previous studies. They concluded that shifting patterns of Arctic ice, together with the timing and location of submarine surveys, led other researchers to overestimate the rate of recent ice thinning.

Contact:Greg Holloway
hollowayg@dfo-mpo.gc.ca
Fisheries and Oceans Canada
(250) 363-6725
Partners:
Project Classification:
  • Landscape Hazards
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Susceptibility of Canadian Forests to a changing fire regime: defining and costing sound fire management adaptation strategies

This study will address the susceptibility of Canada's forests to a changing fire regime as a result of climate change. Knowing the location and the level of susceptibility of Canadian forests to fire will greatly aid in the development of adaptation strategies. An altered fire regime could have important consequences for fire management agencies and for silvicultural practices that are being developed to emulate natural disturbances. In this study, researchers will determine the impact of a changing climate on the level of fire activity in Canadian forests, estimate the economic effect and impact of the altered fire activity on fire management agencies and develop a range of adaptation strategies that balance economic costs and environmental impacts for fire management agencies to address the altered fire activity.

Contact:Mike Flannigan
mflannig@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(705) 541-5541
Partners:
  • Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources
  • University of Toronto
  • Environment Canada~ Meteorological Service of Canada
Project Classification:
  • Forestry
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


A Workshop on Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for Canada's Northern Regions: Acting on the Priorities

This project involved a workshop aimed at improving understanding of the data and research required for developing appropriate adaptations to climate change in Canada's northern territories. Over 130 participants from federal and territorial governments, municipalities, land claim and hunter/trapper organizations, aboriginal groups, academia, private sector organizations, and environmental groups participated in the workshop. Participants attended talks, presented viewpoints, participated in discussions, and provided input into what could be done to prepare for, and adapt to, climate change in the north.

Contact:Larry Dyke
ldyke@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(613) 996-1967
Partners:
  • Environment Canada
  • Aurora College (Inuvik)
  • Yukon College (Whitehorse)
  • Nunavut College (Iqaluit) — Nunavut Research Institute
  • Government of the Northwest Territories
  • Department of Indian and Northern Affairs
  • Parks Canada
  • Fisheries and Oceans Canada
Project Classification:
  • Crosscutting
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Impact of Climate Change on Migratory Caribou: Herd-specific assessments and application of tools to evaluate public policy options

This project examined the potential impacts of climate change on large migratory caribou herds in North America. Researchers conducted a herd assessment, and compiled the data in a North American caribou database. The project also involved assessment of historical climate trends and trends in calving and post-calving habitats. Linkages between annual green-up pattern and the location of calving grounds were determined. Community involvement played an important role throughout the project, and a web-based model of “Possible Futures” was developed so that communities and local and regional governments could explore the implications of policies for caribou in light of projected climate change impacts.

Contact:Don Russell
Don.Russell@ec.gc.ca
Environment Canada
(867) 393-6700
Partners:
  • University of Alaska
  • University of British Columbia
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Climate Change and Permafrost in the Environmental Atlas of the Beaufort Coastlands

This project examined the impact of climate change on the western Arctic coast of the Northwest Territories and Yukon. Results were incorporated into an Environmental Atlas of the Beaufort Coastlands, which provides a compendium of baseline information on the environment and physical setting of this region, and highlights potential sensitivities to climate change.

Contact:Stephen Wolfe
Stephen.Wolfe@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(613) 992-7670
Partners:
  • Inuvik Research Centre
  • Aurora Research Institute
  • Carleton University
  • ASL Environmental Sciences
  • Communities of Tuktoyaktuk and Inuvik
  • Inuvialuit Petroleum Corporation
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Recent and Future Warming in Northern Peatlands

The objective of this project was to examine and quantify the impacts of recent warming on permafrost stability in peatlands of the upper Mackenzie Valley. Researchers used aerial photographs and high-resolution satellite images spanning at least 50 years to quantify thaw at four locations (total 6 sites) ranging in latitude from 60 to 64°N. Results showed that significant thaw of permafrost has occurred at all sites over the past 50 years, resulting in a 33.9 to 79.2 % increase in unfrozen peatland area. Permafrost thaw in peatlands affects vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and rates of carbon accumulation.

Contact:Stephen Robinson
srobinson@stlawu.edu
St. Lawrence University
(315) 229-5239
Partners:
  • Natural Resources Canada
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


A multi-centre Approach to Investigate the Health Impacts of Extreme Heat and Cold Events due to Climate Change and Climate Variation

In order to assess the effects of extreme heat and cold periods on the health of the population, it is necessary to understand the relationship between health and climate under current and past conditions. This project will attempt to assess the prevalence of illness, injury and death as a result of extreme heat and cold events through the collection and evaluation of administrative health data in the form of mortality, hospital admissions, emergency room, physician billing files, and trauma data from different sentinel health centres across Canada. These centres include: Vancouver, Calgary, Winnipeg, Quebec City, Ottawa and Halifax. Linking the regional health data to synoptic weather classifications of extreme heat and cold events over an approximate 10 year period, will provide new knowledge regarding the vulnerability of certain populations and/or regions and establish the need for a surveillance system to monitor associated health impacts to climate variability. This information can then be used for more accurate assessments of health effects of climate change in Canada, and provide policy and decision-makers with a scientific basis for adaptation measures needed.

Contact:Yang Mao
Yang.Mao@hc-sc.gc.ca
Health Canada
(613) 957-1765
Partners:
  • Environment Canada
  • Canadian Institute for Health Information
  • Dalhousie University
  • University of Alberta
  • Ottawa Hospital-Civic Campus
Project Classification:
  • Health
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


Yield Variability under Climate Change and Adaptive Crop Management Scenarios

Using a simulation model that integrates major biophysical processes and soil and crop management practices, the researchers examined the impacts of climate change on crop yields across Canada. Results indicate that under a 2xCO2 climate change scenario, yields of soybean, potato and winter wheat would generally increase, while yields of corn would tend to decrease. The role of adaptations in reducing losses and increasing gains was also demonstrated.

Contact:Reinder DeJong
dejongr@em.agr.ca
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
(613) 759-1520
Partners:
  • Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
Project Classification:
  • Agriculture
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Municipal Infrastructure Risk Project (Across Canada)

Researchers conducted interviews in six municipalities across the country to better understand the barriers to climate change adaptation at the municipal level. These interviews revealed that financial constraints, attitudes of the public and council members, and the nature of municipal politics were key factors limiting the consideration of climate change in infrastructure decisions. For example, municipalities were not comfortable undertaking long-term financial and infrastructure planning without guarantees of funds from provincial government. In addition, priorities are set, and final decisions are made by council members, many of whom may not consider climate change to be a priority issue within their three-year term of office. Indeed, lack of awareness of the importance of climate change issues among both the public and councillors, was an often-cited barrier to adaptation. Another significant constraint was insufficient municipal staff time and resources to plan for future climate change impacts. To begin to overcome these barriers, researchers recommend increasing awareness and understanding of climate change, and providing municipal staff with detailed information on potential climate change impacts on infrastructure. Improving relationships and communication between scientific researchers and municipal staff was also suggested, as were various ideas for dealing with financial barriers (e.g., funding opportunities).

Contact:Azzah Jeena
ajeena@fcm.ca
Federation of Canadian Municipalities
(613) 241-5221 ext. 264
Partners:
  • Federation of Canadian Municipalities
  • Natural Resources Canada
  • University of Ottawa
  • Global Change Strategies International Inc.
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Water Sector: Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change

Regional workshops were used to identify broad scale vulnerabilities in the water resources sector across Canada. The resulting report addresses the nature and reliability of the new generation climate models; regional vulnerabilities for the major regions of Canada; and outlines an adaptation strategy for water management.

Contact:James P. Bruce
info@gcsi.ca
Global Change Strategies International
(613) 232-7979
Partners:
  • Global Change Strategies International Inc.
  • Environment Canada - Meteorological Services Canada
Project Classification:
  • Water Resources
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Combining Multidisciplinary Datasets to Assess Vulnerability of Rangifer (reindeer/caribou) Populations to Climate Change

Large migratory caribou herds in North America exploit a variety of strategies to cope with the climatic and physical environments within which they evolved. The suite of potential abiotic factors that influence herd/individual productivity includes depth, hardness and duration of snow cover, timing and pattern of snow melt, duration and intensity of insect harassment (i.e., summer temperatures and wind dynamics), and frequency and extent of fall icing. Herds suffer if “harsh” conditions exist over a number of years. It is important therefore to assess the capacity of individual herds to be resilient to recent trends of warmer springs and winters. Throughout arctic North America, aboriginal communities are located to intercept annual migrations of caribou. Hunting success is associated with the abundance of caribou, annual migration patterns, and environmental conditions (breakup, snowmelt). Hunters and trappers spend a significant amount of time on-the-land, are keen observers of change and have detailed perceptions of how caribou are reacting to changing environmental conditions.

Contact:Don Russell
Don.Russell@ec.gc.ca
Environment Canada
(867)393-6801
Partners:
  • 1. Environment Canada
  • 2. Arctic Borderlands Ecological Knowledge Cooperative
  • 3. University of Alaska
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


An Evaluation of the Role of Climate Change in the emergence of pathogens and diseases in Arctic and Subarctic ungulate populations

Knowledge of the pathogen fauna in wildlife and the role of pathogens in the health of wildlife populations is an important component of informed wildlife management. Equally important is knowledge of the zoonotic agents and associated risks for people harvesting, handling, and consuming wildlife. This project will address the effects of climate change on the diversity, geographic distribution, epidemiology, and effects of the micro and macro parasites in important ungulate species in Canada's western Arctic and subarctic. The bulk of the work will focus on caribou in the western Canadian Arctic and subarctic, and will also look at muskoxen, moose, Dall's sheep, wood bison and white-tailed deer. The project team will work with local stakeholders, including harvesters, co-management boards, and outfitter groups, to develop recommendations for specific research targeted at anticipating and monitoring the response of these host-pathogen systems to climate change.

Contact:Susan Kutz
susan.kutz@usask.ca
University of Saskatchewan
(306)966-7242
Partners:
  • Government of the Northwest Territories
  • Government of Yukon
  • Environment Canada
  • Sahtu Renewable Resources Board
  • U.S. Department of Agriculture
Project Classification:
  • Ecosystems
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


Climate Change Impacts, Infrastructure Risks, and Adaptive Capacity of Arctic Coastal Communities

This research proposes to focus on coastal hazards and adaptation strategies, with particular attention to infrastructure vulnerability in light of environmental and climate change in the Canadian Arctic. The broad goals of this research are to assess the biophysical exposure and hazards on Arctic coasts subject to effects of climate change, identify past and current management strategies employed to manage risks in coastal communities which have already experienced environmental change, and to assess the adaptive capacity of communities for dealing with coastal hazards throughout the Arctic. This project has a broad scope and will include fieldwork and a number of community visits.

Contact:Norm Catto
ncatto@mun.ca
Memorial University of Newfoundland
(709)737-8413
Partners:
  • 1. Natural Resources Canada
  • 2. Ryerson Polytechnic University
  • 3. McGill University
  • 4. Laval University
  • 5. Aurora College
  • 6. University of Alaska Fairbanks
  • 7. Memorial University of Newfoundland
  • 8. University of Guelph
  • 9. Alfred-Wegener-Institute for Polar and Marine Research
  • 10. Nunavut Research Institute
Project Classification:
  • Coastal Zones
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


Effects of Climate Change on Waterfowl in the Western Boreal Forest and Implications for Food Supply and Adaptation Strategies

The objective of this project is to identify climate change impacts on waterfowl in the western boreal forest that may be critical to long term conservation and land use strategies under a changing climate, and that could help northern communities adapt to a potentially changing food supply. Results should provide early warning of potential changes in subsistence food supply, development of adaptation strategies to climate-induced changes in traditional food supply, analysis of adaptation strategies in light of uncertainties in supply and demand, identification of waterfowl production areas that would become critically important under climate change, facilitation of conservation strategies, guidance to resource managers in developing harvest policies, and directing future research to areas where climate-impacts are likely to be most severe.

Contact:Ann Chan-McLeod
allaye@interchange.ubc.ca

Partners:
  • 1. University of British Columbia
  • 2. University of Victoria
  • 3. Environment Canada
  • 1. Saskatchewan Environment
  • 2. Saskatchewan Research Council
  • 3. Peter Ballantyne Cree Nation
  • 4. Deschambault Lake Co-Management Board
  • 5. Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative
Project Classification:
  • Food Supply
Location:
  • Alberta
  • Northwest Territories
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


A Comparative Assessment of the Capacity of Canadian Rural Communities to Adapt to Uncertain Futures

Changes in ecosystems supporting communities in coastal Newfoundland and British Columbia, central Canada and northern Saskatchewan have already occurred and climate change in conjunction with other socio-economic and political factors will continue to effect livelihoods in these rural communities. This comparative assessment will employ a human vulnerability-security research framework to assess each community's capacity to cope with and, if necessary, adapt to uncertain futures including climatic change.

Contact:Michael Brklacich
Michael_brklacich@carleton.ca
Carleton University
(613) 520-2561
Partners:
  • Prince Albert Model Forest Association
  • Saskatchewan Research Council
  • South Nation Conservation
  • Town of Change Islands
  • Inner Coast Natural Resource Centre
  • Integrated Land Management Agency~ BC
  • Environment Canada
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


Climate and climate change vulnerability assessment of northern renewable resource based communities (NRRBC)

The project will combine biological modeling and socioeconomic analysis to develop an integrated assessment approach for assessment of factors contributing to the vulnerability of renewable resource based communities in Canada. The assessment methodology will be tested on two Canadian communities. An important and relatively unique dimension of this project is that the analysis of impacts and community capacities will be undertaken at scales relevant to community decision makers (i.e. relatively high spatial resolution compared to most vulnerability assessments). Through partnership with the Model Forest program communities will be engaged in the project and examination of the results.

Contact:Tim Williamson
twilliam@nrcan.gc.ca
Canadian Forest Service
(780) 435-7372
Partners:
  • Canadian Model Forest Network
  • Alaska Communities and Forest Environments Team~ United States Department of Agriculture
  • Province of Manitoba Energy~ Science and Technology~ Energy Development Initiative~ Climate Change Branch
  • Natural Resources Canada~ Canadian Forest Service
  • Rural Municipality of Victoria Beach
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress


Integrated assessment of vulnerability and adaptive capacity in a northern community: Fort Resolution, Northwest Territories

This project will assess vulnerability to climate change and associated impacts using a multi-scale livelihood approach and contribute to building capacity to proactively adapt to change in the Slave River Delta region. Working in collaboration with the community of Fort Resolution, the research team will identify opportunities to build adaptive capacity and strategies and options available to the community that address the risks of climate change.

Contact:Derek Armitage
darmitag@wlu.ca
Derek Armitage
(519)884-0710 ext. 2653
Partners:
  • Deninu Kué First Nation
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: In Progress


Adaptive Decision and Planning Tools (ADAPT) in Canadian Artic Communities

Arctic communities face multiple forces of change at the same time, including climate change. The purpose of this research in the north is to develop decision-aiding tools to assist communities in planning strategically under conditions of high uncertainty. Currently there are no analytic tools that can be easily adopted by Arctic communities to work toward assessing their own vulnerability and plan to adapt to a change in climate. This project will work collaboratively with the communities of Cambridge Bay, Baker Lake and Pond Inlet to create these tools.

Contact:Hadi Dowlatabadi
hadi.d@ubc.ca
University of British Columbia
(604)822-0008
Partners:
  • Municipality of Cambridge Bay
  • Economic Development~ Training and Education Committee for the Hamlet of Pond Inlet
  • Municipality of Baker Lake
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: In Progress


Costs and cost difference assessment for impacts of permafrost degradation on community building foundations in the Northwest Territories under different climate change and adaptation scenarios

This project aims to improve the understanding of the costs of climate-induced permafrost degradation to northern communities, the difference in the costs due to different rates of climate change and the timeframes when the costs may occur. Communities in the Northwest Territories will participate in the case study. A permafrost model developed to specifically address permafrost response to climate change for buildings will be used to simulate potential changes in the depth of active layers due to climate change in the future. These changes will then be translated into building foundation risks. The research team will use this information to estimate costs to adaptation with respect to infrastructure within different timeframes.

Contact:Fuqun Zhou
zhou@nrcan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(613)947-5282
Partners:
  • Government of Northwest Territories~ Public Works and Services
  • Government of Northwest Territories Municipal and Community Affairs
Project Classification:
  • Communities
Location:
  • Northwest Territories

Project Status: In Progress


Climate Change and Seasonality in Canadian Outdoor Recreation and Tourism

This study focuses on evaluating how climate change will effect outdoor activities such as alpine skiing, snowmobiling, golfing and camping; vital parts of the recreation and tourism industry. Researchers will assess the risks and opportunities climate change poses for these activities in selected locations across Canada, assess the implications for intra- and inter-regional competitive relationships and tourism product development and explore supply and demand-side adaptations to altered recreational season lengths.

Contact:Daniel Scott
dj2scott@fes.uwaterloo.ca
University of Waterloo
(519) 888-4567 ext. 5497
Partners:
  • Environment Canada
  • Ouranos
Project Classification:
  • Tourism
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: In Progress

Further Research Information: Link available


Transient simulations of climate change impacts on Canada´s forests 2000-2100: Vulnerability and implications for forestry and conservation

Canada's forests are of critical importance to our national heritage as well as to our economy. Globally our forests contribute to climatic stability, the water cycle and the sequestration of carbon. Climate change threatens these ecosystem services. In this study researchers will assess (1) the impacts of a range of plausible climate change scenarios on the distribution and composition of Canada's forests, and (2) the implications for forestry and conservation interests.

Contact:David Price
dprice@NRCan.gc.ca
Natural Resources Canada
(780) 435-7249
Partners:
  • Environment Canada
  • University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service
  • University of Sheffield
  • University of Waterloo
Project Classification:
  • Forestry
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available


Farm-level adaptation to multiple risks: climate change and other concerns

This study's purpose is to assess the prospects for farm-level adaptation to climate change and other risks in Canadian agriculture. Focusing on the lower Fraser Valley, BC, Manitoba, and southwestern Ontario, the main objectives are: 1) conceptualize and empirically assess the place and the interaction of climate related risks relative to other risks of production, marketing, and finance in Canadian agriculture; 2) assess the suitability of conventional farm-level climate change adaptation options in Canadian agriculture given other sources of risk, and; 3) develop a revised inventory of farm-level options for adapting to climate and other risks in Canadian agriculture.

Contact:Benjamin Bradshaw
bbradsha@uoguelph.ca
University of Guelph
(519) 824-4120 ext. 58460
Partners:
  • Brandon University
  • Simon Fraser University
Project Classification:
  • Agriculture
Location:
  • Alberta
  • British Columbia
  • Manitoba
  • New Brunswick
  • Newfoundland & Labrador
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nova Scotia
  • Nunavut
  • Ontario
  • Prince Edward Island
  • Québec
  • Saskatchewan
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Further Research Information: Link available

Full Report Location: Link available


Impact of Climate Change on Arctic Shipping: Vessel Damage and Regulations

This project will assess the impacts of climate change on the operations of Arctic shipping and examine how these impacts may affect shipping regulations in the Canadian Arctic. To do this, it has two objectives: first, it will examine the potential for different ice regimes to damage vessels and, second, it will address the impacts of climate change on the pollution prevention regulations governing ship traffic in the Arctic. Researchers will determine the changes that may be required to current regulations while providing shipping companies with information that will help them evaluate the length of shipping seasons and the types of vessels required to meet pollution regulations.

Contact:Ivana Kubat
Ivana.kubat@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca
National Research Council
(613) 993-7695
Partners:
  • Transport Canada
  • Enfotec
Project Classification:
  • Transportation
Location:
  • Northwest Territories
  • Nunavut
  • Yukon

Project Status: Complete

Full Report Location: Link available

2006-10-06Important notices