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MR. PETTIGREW - ADDRESS - WHERE DO WE GO AFTER SEATTLE? SOME THOUGHTS - PARIS, ZURICH, LONDON
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NOTES FOR AN ADDRESS BY
THE HONOURABLE PIERRE S. PETTIGREW
MINISTER FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE ON
WHERE DO WE GO AFTER SEATTLE?
SOME THOUGHTS
PARIS, ZURICH, LONDON
January 2000
1. Seattle: a qualified diagnosis
For reasons that are easy to appreciate, the word "failure" was in the air following
the Seattle experience. And it is true that there was no lack of problems.
First of all, organizational problems: the delay in launching the activities, an inability
to get the 135 participating countries involved, inadequate circulation of information,
a preparatory process that was as difficult and tiring for the delegations as for the
Director-General and his assistants, a swamped secretariat, and so forth.
But above all, basic problems: absence of a shared vision of the goals to pursue,
serious differences on subjects such as agriculture, North-South relations sorely
tested on issues such as textiles, etc.
The fact remains that the WTO is still a sound organization, enjoying the support of
a great many governments and having to its credit a significant improvement of the
global economy, especially since the Uruguay Round. It is an organization of which
many countries want to become members, a fact that implies acceptance of its
system of rules and obligations.
Still, the somewhat varied and even mutually incompatible projects of the Seattle
conference participants highlighted the requirement for a common, genuinely shared
inspiration, if we wish to be in a position to address the most sensitive issues:
liberalization in agriculture and textiles, for example, the anti-dumping provisions,
dispute settlement mechanisms, and so forth.
2. After Seattle: taking stock
How have things changed since Seattle? What is the situation right now?
• New negotiations are not likely to open for at least another year, but the WTO
remains a locus of promise for all that.
• The scheduled negotiations on agriculture and services will begin as planned.
Important negotiations will proceed regarding the admission of various countries,
including China (which will probably highlight the ambivalence in American political
circles).
• The implementation of agreements reached during the Uruguay Round will
continue, as is clear from the progress made on the issue of market access.
• The elements of political uncertainty regarding the work programs on electronic
commerce or the deferral of regulatory timelines (for example, for trade measures
concerning investment) remain after Seattle, or no decision has been made about
them; but it is generally agreed that caution is the watchword.
• Interest in the bilateral and regional free trade agreements is keener than ever.
For many years, Canada and Europe have stood as leaders in this field. What is
more, we are making every effort to facilitate our economic relations, for example,
under the aegis of ECTI [European Union-Canada Trade Initiative].
• Canadian policy is clear here: our bilateral and regional initiatives complement our
multilateral initiatives. All of these would be an inspiration, even a model, for the
WTO's upcoming multilateral projects.
• In short, it is necessary to renew support, both regionally and multilaterally, for the
liberalization of trade and investment, as well as support for development of the
rules of discipline that must govern this new context.
The short term
What are the next steps? To the extent that it is unrealistic to launch a new round of
negotiations this year, so it is reasonable to plan this operation for next year.
In the meantime, to optimize the chances of success of the next negotiations, we
must work to rebuild national and international support for the global trade system,
particularly in developing countries.
To do this, we must not hesitate to make use of the current WTO program, for this
will serve to keep the international commitment very much alive.
• We must focus first on the negotiations on agriculture and services.
• With respect to agriculture, it is in the interest of the European Union for the
negotiations to be productive, since the demands following from the Community's
expansion will increase (with consequences to be expected for a common
agricultural policy). It is also in Canada's interest for this to work well, given the
difficult situation of Canadian farmers on account of domestic and export subsidies
paid to the agricultural sectors of other trade partners, the effect of which is to
fundamentally distort the markets.
• With respect to services, we must ensure that the rules evolve in step with
technology and the new economy.
• Second, we must proceed by stages, first establishing the process for the
negotiations, then determining the procedures for exchanging information and
proposals, and lastly agreeing on specific timetables -- all prosaic measures, but
essential to any negotiation. The progress made in these areas will lay the
groundwork for more serious commitments in the negotiations. These measures will
serve to create a favourable momentum and demonstrate that the system can work.
• Third, we must continue the work now underway, continue to facilitate trade and
thereby enable companies to immediately derive certain benefits from increased
liberalization, revise certain agreements in accordance with credible schedules,
persist in our efforts to make the WTO and its activities more transparent, and
tirelessly see to the implementation of the measures and concessions adopted in
the Uruguay Round.
In short, this means building solid foundations for the negotiations ahead. It is not
spectacular work, but it is essential.
The long term
Fundamentally, we must strengthen the global trade system as well as the markets
and economies of developing countries. We must, furthermore, take into
consideration the needs of those who are less advantaged within our societies as
well as across the planet.
• Integrate the less developed countries into the world economy. This is a necessity.
The liberalization of trade and the establishment of rules must serve to relieve
poverty while supporting sustainable development. Trade offers part of the solution
to the problem we must address. The history of the development of the countries of
Asia and Latin America demonstrates that open economies progress faster than
closed ones.
That same history also tells us that we must improve governance if we want our
trade liberalization efforts to bear legitimate fruit; in any case, it is our responsibility
to learn from the Asian crisis. The economic growth to be expected from freer trade
will make it possible to improve the major social systems (education, health and so
forth) and thereby enhance "human capital" as well as social security. This will
reinforce the trend to democracy. And by a reciprocal effect, social security and
democratic life will reinforce participation in general economic development.
• Improve the WTO
It is necessary to note here the increasingly gruelling and complex workload that is
falling to the WTO. Not to mention the fact that the WTO is subject to demands and
expectations that are often contradictory! In fact, its agenda is expected to be a
faithful reflection of trade itself, which leaves its mark on everything -- from food
standards to culture itself. And those are not examples taken at random: our publics
are as concerned about the impact of trade rules on culture and on food quality, as
about other issues. On culture, in particular, Canada and a few others share the
same objective, which is to encourage the development of an international
consensus on the principle of promoting cultural diversity: it is only in this way that
we will be able to demarcate culture and trade and avoid needless disputes.
To return to the WTO, we must, nonetheless, find a way to improve management
and decision-making processes, for consensus is something that is difficult to
achieve with 135 members. The key problem is to find a way to reconcile
effectiveness and consensus. There are various ideas circulating on this subject.
Because of the major role that trade plays in the global economy and in
development, we must improve co-ordination with the other international agencies --
the World Bank, International Monetary Fund and so forth. Our exchanges with
these organizations must become more regular. The various policies of these great
international bodies must be harmonized and made complementary. The challenge
is enormous. That is why trade ministers must discuss them among themselves at
the international level, as well as with their colleagues in each country and with the
leaders of the world organizations. For my part, this is what I have begun to do with
Mr. Camdessus of the IMF, Mr. Wolfensohn of the WB, Ms. Fréchette of the UN, etc.
Our goal for the 21st century is to build a world where everyone not only shares in
the wealth, but is guaranteed good health, a clean environment, safe working
conditions, justice and the respect of human rights.
A period of transition
In closing, let me just say that I believe the year 2000 will be a year of transition. It
will afford an opportunity to resolve a few structural problems, strengthen the
international trade system, integrate developing countries in the global economy so
they can benefit from it, and improve the consistency of all of our policies for the
benefit of all the citizens of the world.
Canada intends to make very special use of the present slowdown in discussions to
help the developing countries participate effectively and profitably in the multilateral
trade system. Those countries were clear in Seattle: they will have a voice
regarding the directions that future negotiations will take. Furthermore, we will soon
proceed with consultations with developed and developing countries alike, to finalize
formulas for providing support to the less advantaged countries, and in particular to
improve access to world markets for their products.
Thank you.
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