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Province of Manitoba » Water Stewardship » Water Information » Flood Forecasting Reports »
Flood Report for Southern Manitoba - May 05, 2006

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Water Information

FLOOD UPDATE FOR MANITOBA

May 05, 2006.

Flood sheets showing present conditions and an updated forecast for: Red River, Assiniboine River and Swan River - The Pas Area are attached.

Weather

  • The weather outlook is quite favourable for Manitoba. Precipitation during the next five days is expected to be minimal.

Red River

  • Levels of the Red River declined 1.1 to 1.7 feet from Emerson to the Floodway Inlet during the 24 hour period ending this morning. Strong declines are expected to continue. The minor rises from Fargo to Grand Forks will have little effect on the decline in Manitoba.

  • The Red River is back within its banks with the exception of an area east of Letellier where some agricultural flooding will continue until early next week.

  • The Red River level in downtown Winnipeg this morning was 15.9 feet, a decline of a quarter foot since yesterday. The level is expected to decline to 10 feet by the middle of May with favourable weather. The natural level in downtown Winnipeg today without operation of flood control works would have been 20.0 feet and the peak this spring would have been near 28 feet.

  • The flow in the Red River Floodway this morning was 6,260 cubic feet per second (cfs) while the flow upstream of the floodway inlet was 46,060 cfs.

Assiniboine River

  • The water level in Shellmouth Reservoir this morning was 1412.26 feet, a decline of 0.12 feet since yesterday. The reservoir inflow was 4,000 cfs, a decline of 800 cfs from yesterday morning. The total outflow was 5,000 cfs, all of which was going over the spillway. The reservoir level crested May 3 at 1412.5 feet with an outflow of 5,500 cfs during a strong north wind. 

  • Flooding of valley lands continues from Shellmouth Dam to Grand Valley west of Brandon. The river has just crested at Russell and should crest at St. Lazare this weekend, at Virden next Wednesday and at Brandon May 14. Flooding in the Assiniboine Valley should end May 17-23 depending on location, based on favourable weather conditions from now on.   

  • Levels will be close to flood stage at Curran Park in Brandon late next week. Locations east of Brandon to Winnipeg will experience only minor rises with the river remaining well within its banks.  

  • The flow in the Portage Diversion this morning was 3,560 cfs while the inflow to Portage Reservoir was near 8,475 cfs. It is expected that flows in the Portage la Prairie area will decline slowly for the next 5 days and then hold steady or rise slightly for the following 7 days.

Pembina River

  • Flooding of agricultural lands will continue for several more weeks in the portion from Rock Lake to Swan Lake where the channel capacity is relatively low.

Souris River

  • Minor flooding of low-lying agricultural lands continues from the International boundary to near Melita. Levels will continue to decline slowly unless heavy rain develops.

Carrot River

  • Levels of the Carrot River continue to decline very slowly. Minor flooding continues in the portion from the Saskatchewan boundary to 10 miles west of The Pas with one resident still pumping water seeping through a dike around his home. Levels will subside very slowly during the next few weeks.

  • Flooding of agricultural lands in the Pasquia River Valley near The Pas continues. Manitoba Water Stewardship continues to operate pumps to reduce water levels.

Red Deer River

  • The level of Red Deer Lake did not change at the community of Red Deer Lake since yesterday due to a change in winds. The lake has declined about half a foot since the crest on April 28 but is still 2.6 feet higher than the 1979 crest.

  • It is expected that it will take about three weeks before levels at the Community of Red Deer Lake decline sufficiently for the clean-up to commence. Residents of the community will need to remain relocated in the interim.

 

 

Hydrologic Forecast Centre,
Water Branch,
Manitoba Water Stewardship

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