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Canada's Performance Report 2005 - Annex 3 - Indicators and Additional Information

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1. Sustainable Economy

Government of Canada outcome: Sustainable economic growth

  • Real gross domestic product (GDP)
  • Cost-competitiveness
  • Natural resources sustainability
  • Climate change
  • Green economic practices
  • Forest cover (supplemental indicator)
  • Soil quality (supplemental indicator)
  • Contribution of renewables to energy supply (supplemental indicator)
  • Energy production and use (supplemental indicator)

Real GDP

Current performance and trends

In 2003 Canada experienced an economic slowdown, reflecting a series of economic shocks, including an unprecedented appreciation of the Canadian dollar. Rebounding in 2004, real GDP rose 2.9 per cent, surpassing the 2.0 per cent recorded in 2003. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) predicted growth of 2.8 per cent in 2005 for Canada's economy, the second highest growth among G-7 members behind the U.S., whose predicted growth for 2005 stands at 3.6 per cent (OECD, Economic Outlook No.77, May 2005). Canada led the G-7 in terms of growth over the period of 2000-03 and is expected to remain a top performer, second only to the U.S., for 2004-06.

Real GDP Per Capita, Canada, 1984-2004

On a per capita basis, real GDP growth strengthened to 2.0 per cent in 2004 from 1.1 per cent in 2003. Within the G-7, Canada had the second fastest growth in real GDP per capita between 2000 and 2004, second to the United Kingdom. Among Canadian provinces and territories, real GDP per capita growth in 2004 was strongest in Saskatchewan, followed by British Columbia, the Northwest Territories, and New Brunswick.

In 2004, five provinces and territories recorded economic growth that was above the national average, most of them in western Canada. Newfoundland and Labrador was the only province with a decline in real GDP, primarily due to production problems on the Terra Nova oil platform and strikes in the public service and mining industries.

Growth in Real GDP, by Province and Territory, Canada, 2004

Additional information: Regional economic growth

Atlantic provinces

In 2004 New Brunswick's economic growth of 2.6 per cent was influenced by the manufacturing sector's 3.6 per cent recovery, which was led by increasing shipments of primary metal products. Although Newfoundland and Labrador saw an overall decline of 0.7 per cent, the province experienced strong growth in residential construction, with a 12.0-per-cent increase, largely due to the greatest number of housing starts since the early 1990s. Prince Edward Island's economic growth of 1.7 per cent equalled their achievement in 2003. Factors contributing to the rise included an increase in manufacturing, such as production of frozen food products, and a strong housing market. Home building, the manufacture of rail cars and high tech equipment, and strong retail trade spurred the expansion of the Nova Scotia economy by 1.3 per cent.

Ontario and Quebec

Economic growth in Ontario for 2004 stood at 2.6 per cent, slightly below the national average. Transportation equipment manufacturing and wholesale trade and finance contributed significantly to growth of economy, whereas gains in personal consumption and business investment were below national average. Quebec's economic growth was also below the national average, at 2.2 per cent. There was strong investment, however, in housing, with a 15.0-per-cent increase in 2004, which, in turn, stimulated sales of furniture, appliances, and building materials. Aerospace production fell 9.2 per cent as a result of a weak demand for new aircraft.

Western Canada

Saskatchewan experienced strong growth with a rise of 3.5 per cent, supported by a significant increase in the manufacturing sector (11.5 per cent) related to providing machinery for a strong petroleum industry. In addition, meat processors increased production to deal with surplus cattle due to closure of the U.S. border to Canadian beef.

Alberta's overall growth of 3.7 per cent was spurred by the same factors as that of Saskatchewan, as well as increased activity in the oil patch. An increase in consumer spending of 4.7 per cent and low unemployment at 4.6 per cent also contributed to Alberta's positive economic picture for 2004. A 4.1-per-cent increase in consumer spending and low unemployment contributed to British Columbia's strong economic performance, as did 15.0-per-cent improvements in forestry and sawmill production and output of coal.

Economic growth of 2.3 per cent for Manitoba was hampered somewhat by a weak agriculture sector. Home building sustained the manufacture and sale of furniture and construction materials, however, and electricity production and exports were spurred by favourable weather conditions in 2004.

The territories

With growth of 3.7 per cent, Yukon's best economic performance in three years was caused by strong growth in all sectors, particularly business and government investment. Led by gold, the mining industry saw an increased output of 70.0 per cent in 2004. The Northwest Territories experienced economic growth of 4.2 per cent in 2004, half of which can be attributed to the diamond mining industry. The year 2004 saw significant improvement for the economy of Nunavut, with 2.8 per cent growth, recovering from a 7.6 per cent decline in 2003. Increases in business investment played a considerable role, as mine closures over the last 10 years have reduced the mining industry to one tenth of its size in 2000. (Statistics Canada, Provincial and Territorial Economic Accounts Review-Preliminary Estimates 2004, 2005)

Cost-competitiveness

Current performance and trends

The comparison of business costs demonstrates the advantages of locating business operations in Canada. Lower costs encourage the investment, expansion, or start of businesses in Canada. Costs related to labour, transportation, communications, and taxes were some of the factors considered in a 2004 international study of cost advantage published by KPMG.

In all of the 17 industries surveyed, Canada ranked first in the G-7 for cost-competitiveness. For example, Canada led the way in cost-competitiveness for the aerospace, telecommunications, and biotechnology industries. Overall Canada's labour costs were among the lowest, as were costs associated with facilities, utilities, and taxes.

Canada has a 9.0-per-cent cost advantage relative to the U.S. (the baseline of the study), down from 14.5 per cent in 2002. According to the study, the decline in the U.S. dollar relative to world currencies was the most important factor affecting international business competitiveness since 2002. Exchange rates for the countries profiled in the study appreciated by between 9.0 and 35.0 per cent relative to the U.S. dollar since 2002.

Additional information: Cost-competitiveness by industrial sector

Manufacturing

In the manufacturing sector-represented by seven operations, including metal machining, electronics assembly, and pharmaceutical products-Canada led the way with a 6.0-per-cent cost advantage. In the aerospace industry, which produces commercial and military aircraft and parts, military weapons, space rockets, and satellites and was represented in the survey by aircraft parts manufacturing, Canada's industry had the highest after-tax profits and the lowest total annual costs-a result repeated in the telecommunications industry. The telecommunications industry includes traditional wireline networks, optical, and wireless access technologies. For the representative operation in this industry, telecom equipment manufacturing, Canada is home to 4 of the 5 top cities for cost-competitiveness ranked among 98 around the world: St. John's, Sherbrooke, Moncton, and Halifax.

Research and development and corporate services

Canada also had the best results in the research and development (R&D) and corporate services sectors, with 21.0-per-cent and 11.7-per-cent cost advantages respectively. The R&D sector includes the biotechnology industry, whose applications include such diverse fields as medical testing, environmental management, and DNA fingerprinting. The biotechnology industry, represented in the survey by biomedical R&D, was modelled on a research facility with no commercial sales and characterized by significant investment in R&D equipment, a workforce of research scientists and technicians, and a significant level of tax-eligible R&D activities. Canada had the second highest after-tax profit and lowest total annual costs.

The corporate services sector was represented by the operation of shared services centres, which are those that include centralized accounting, customer call centres, and internal information technology support functions. These centres function to support business operations through telephone and electronic communication and are characterized by a workforce of administrators, clerks, and help desk agents. Canada had the lowest total annual costs for this corporate service sector operation, as well as 4 of the top 5 cities for cost competitiveness ranked among 98 around the world: Sherbrooke, Charlottetown, Halifax, and St. John's.

Natural resources sustainability

Current performance and trends

In 2004 the status of commercial fish stocks did not change significantly. Among the 70 stocks assessed, no notable change occurred as compared with their status from 2001 to 2003. Among 102 commercial fish stocks assessed between 2001 and 2003, 36 stocks were healthy and increasing; 22 were healthy and stable; and 44 were declining or depleted and not yet recovered, as compared with their status in the early 1990s. As a result of their assessment schedules, the North and Pacific salmon stocks are under-represented and therefore this is not a balanced representation of all Canadian fish stocks. For additional information on the status of fish, invertebrate, and marine mammal stocks, environmental and ecosystem overviews, see the Canadian Science Advisory Secretariat Web site at http://www.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/csas/Csas/Home-Accueil_e.htm.

Canadian Commercial Fish Stocks, Harvested and Assessed, 2001 to 2003

Additional information: Agriculture and the environment

For a list of publications on agriculture and the environment, go to http://www.agr.gc.ca/policy/environment/publications_e.phtml.

Additional information: State of Canada's forests

Go to the Canadian Forest Service Web site, http://www.nrcan-rncan.gc.ca/cfs-scf/index_e.html, where you will find information on the state of Canada's forests for 2003-04.

Climate change: Greenhouse gas emissions

Current performance and trends

Since 1990, Canadian greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have risen by 24.0 per cent, steadily increasing the distance from Canada's Kyoto targets. From 2002 to 2003, emissions increased by 3.0 per cent, mainly due to a colder-than-average winter, coupled with increases in electricity production, vehicle transport, and mining activity. In 2003, Canadians contributed approximately 740 megatons of COequivalent of GHGs into the atmosphere, equating to about 2 per cent of total global GHG emissions. Canada's overall GHG emissions intensity-the amount of GHGs emitted per unit of economic activity-was 1.2 per cent higher in 2003 than in 2002. The long-term trend for Canada's emissions intensity, however, shows a steady decline by an average of 1.0 per cent per year since 1990.

Canadian Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 1980 to 2003

A breakdown of GHG emissions by industry sector has found that in 2003 the energy production and use sector accounted for 80.0 per cent of the total GHG emissions produced. Upon further analysis, this sector has accounted for 90.0 per cent of the overall growth in Canada's emissions between 1990 and 2003.

Climate change: Energy efficiency

Current performance and trends

According to Energy Efficiency Trends in Canada, a report by The Office of Energy Efficiency, Canada's secondary energy use increased by 22.0 per cent between 1990 and 2003. This was primarily due to growth in economic activity in each end-use sector. For example, activity in the industrial sector increased by 45.0 per cent during this period. Had it not been for significant ongoing improvements in energy efficiency, the increase would have been another 13.0 per cent, or 883.3 petajoules, higher (1 petajoule is the amount of energy consumed by a town of 3,700 people in one year).

Canadian Secondary Energy Use, With and Without Energy Efficiency Improvements, 1990 to 2003

According to a recent International Energy Agency report, Canada's energy efficiency improved at an average annual rate of 1 per cent between 1990 and 1998, similar to the rate recorded by the U.S., and the fourth fastest rate of improvement among the 13 countries included in the report (surpassed only by Finland, Italy, and Norway).

Green economic practices

Current performance and trends

A sustainable economy calls for the integration of environmental considerations into economic decision making and can be measured by the number of firms certified with the environmental management system ISO 14001. The number of certifications to the international environmental management standard ISO 14001 is often used as an indicator of a country's development in the use of voluntary environmental agreements and is understood as a form of country-level environmental performance indicator. The number of Canadian firms with ISO 14001 certification increased from 100 in 1999 to 1,484 in 2004, moving Canada from 21st to 12th in world rankings.

International comparison

Consideration of the size of a country (measured by population) and its level of economic development (measured by GDP) should be taken into account when using ISO 14001 certification as a measure of green economic practices, as these provide context in which to judge a country's environmental management development.

Canada's international ranking ranges from 33rd in 1999 to 19th in 2001 and 27th in 2003 when taking into account the level of Canada's economic development. When factoring in Canada's size, Canada's 2003 ranking is unchanged from 22nd in 1999, with its highest ranking of 15th occurring in 2001. For both measures in 2003, Canada places second last within the G-7, ahead of only the U.S. Globally, since 1999 Sweden has held the top ranking when economic development and country size are considered, with Switzerland, Denmark, and Finland also consistently in the top five.

Additional information: Environmental management systems

Forest cover (supplemental indicator)

Current performance and trends

Forests are sites of wood production, habitat for wildlife, and a source of ecological services, such as clean air and sequestration of carbon. According to the Canadian Forest Service, approximately 1 million hectares of forest are harvested annually, supporting a more than $80-billion industry. These economic and ecological goods and services provided by forests therefore demand sustainable management practices. Tracking changes in size of Canada's forests is one way of evaluating performance, and this can be done by measuring the area of forest with 10.0-per-cent crown closure, a level accepted by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations as constituting forest. Crown closure is the percentage of the ground surface that would be covered by a downward vertical projection of the foliage in the crowns of trees. Using satellite imagery data for 1998 that show crown closure for each square kilometre (100 hectares), forest cover in Canada is 392.0 million hectares. This does not include forest stands outside the traditional northern forest boundary. It is important to note that while forest cover does not equal forest health, it does give overall view of the extent of forest ecosystems in Canada. Because satellite data are only available for 1998, forest cover will become a more useful indicator once additional data are collected and are compared with field data and it is possible to observe temporal trends. (National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy, 2003)

Annual Total Areas of Forest Harvested

Temporal trends-The National Forest Inventory

Comparisons over time are of major importance to answering questions on the sustainable development of Canada's forest. Canada's Forest Inventory (CanFI) has been compiled periodically by aggregating provincial management and other source inventories. A new National Forest Inventory (NATINV) design has been developed and is being implemented in co-operation with the provinces and territories. The new design addresses the need to track changes such as land cover, forest area, and volumes, as well as supporting additional forest resource information. The first report with the new inventory is expected by 2007. Instead of a periodic compilation of existing information from across the country, the approach used in CanFI, NATINV consists of permanent observational units. Through the collection and reporting of information to a set of uniform standards, it allows for consistent reporting across the country on the extent and state of Canada's land base to establish a baseline of where the forest resources are and how they are changing over time. In addition to providing consistent estimates for traditional forest inventory attributes, the NATINV will provide a framework for collecting additional data relevant to the reporting of progress toward sustainable development (e.g. socio-economic indicators), as well as data related to forest health (e.g. insect damage, disease infestation), biodiversity, and forest productivity. (Canadian Forest Service, http://www.nrcan.gc.ca/cfs-scf/index_e.html)

Soil quality (supplemental indicator)

Current performance and trends

In the context of agriculture, soil quality (or soil health) is the soil's fitness to support crop growth without resulting in soil degradation or otherwise harming the environment. Soil degradation, as might result from erosion or loss of organic matter, can ultimately reduce crop quality and yield and is therefore a concern for all agricultural regions of Canada. Moreover, agricultural soils also benefit society, for example, by providing wildlife habitat, retaining and filtering water, and sequestering carbon, thus helping to mitigate the greenhouse effect.

Agricultural production has the potential to accelerate the soil degradation processes through various land uses and management practices, hastening the symptoms and effects of natural processes such as soil erosion. Other agricultural land uses and management practices (such as conservation tillage methods) can, however, help stabilize or improve soil quality. In recent decades, globalization, market pressures, and technological innovations have spurred Canadian agriculture to increase output and productivity. This has engendered structural changes in the industry, characterized by the adoption of new technologies and a gradual shift toward larger, more intensified operations. This, in turn, has raised concerns about the possible effect of food production on the environment-including soil quality.

Indicators used to assess soil quality include soil erosion by water, wind, and tillage; the rates of change in soil carbon content; and change in soil salinity on the Prairies. Results for all of these indicators show that considerable improvements have occurred between 1981 and 2001, including the indicator that is highlighted here: the risk of water erosion.

Rainfall and surface runoff are the driving forces for water-induced erosion, contributing to large soil losses from farm fields over time, as well as soil degradation. Eroded soil is carried in runoff to agricultural drains, ditches, and other waterways, where it can affect water quality. In addition, crop nutrients, pesticides, and bacteria are often attached to the eroding soil particles and so are also carried into water bodies, adding to the effects on water quality. The risk of water erosion identifies areas at risk of significant water erosion and assesses how this risk is changing over time under prevailing management practices. This risk is expressed as five classes: very low (less than 6 tons of eroded soil per hectare per year), low (6 to 11 tons per hectare per year), moderate (11 to 22 tons per hectare per year), high (22 to 33 tons per hectare per year) and very high (greater than 33 tons per hectare per year). Areas in the very low risk class are considered, under current conditions, able to sustain long-term crop production and maintain agri-environmental health. The other four classes represent the varying risk of unsustainable conditions that would require soil conservation practices to support crop production over the long term as well as to reduce effects on water quality. In 2001, 86.0 per cent of Canadian cropland was in the very low (tolerable) water erosion risk class, up by 8.0 per cent from the 1981 level.

Share of Cropland in Different Water Erosion

For further information on the definition and measurement of these indicators, please visit http://www.agr.gc.ca/env/naharp-pnarsa/.

Contribution of renewables to energy supply (supplemental indicator)

Current performance and trends

Reducing reliance on fossil fuels-a finite source of energy that is a major contributor to acid rain, poor air quality, and climate change-is one course of action for strengthening green economic practices. Viable alternatives include renewable energy sources such as hydro, solar, and wind energy. Renewable energy sources are those that produce electricity or thermal energy without depleting resources. Renewable energy does, however, have negative environmental impacts, such as making large tracts of land unusable for competing uses; the disruption of marine life, bird life, and flora and fauna; and the production of visual and noise pollution. (Natural Resources Canada, 2005; International Energy Agency, Renewable Energy, 2002)

Between 1994 and 2003, the contribution of renewables to energy supply (as a percentage of total primary energy supply) in Canada ranged from 15.8 per cent in 2001 to a high of 17.0 per cent in 1996, with the most recent figure of 16.3 per cent in 2003. In contrast, other G-7 countries figures ranged from 1.4 per cent in the United Kingdom to 6.4 per cent in France in 2003. (OECD, Factbook 2005: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics, 2005) For further information on renewable energy in Canada, consult Natural Resource Canada's Canadian Renewable Energy Network at http://www.canren.gc.ca.

Energy production and use (supplemental indicator)

Current performance and trends

According to the World Bank publication World Development Indicators 2004, high-income countries, with 15.0 per cent of the world's population, use more than five times as much energy as low- and middle-income countries on a per capita basis.

The World Bank defines total energy production as "forms of primary energy-petroleum (crude oil, natural gas liquids, and oil from nonconventional sources), natural gas, and solid fuels (coal, lignite, and other derived fuels)-and primary electricity, all converted to oil equivalents." Energy use refers to "apparent consumption, which is equal to indigenous production plus imports and stock changes, minus exports and fuels supplied to ships and aircraft engaged in international transport."

Energy Production and Use, G-7 1990 and 2001

  Total Energy Production (thousands metric tons of oil equivalent) Energy Use (thousands metric tons of oil equivalent) Energy Use per Capita (kg of oil equivalent)
  1990 2001 1990 2001 1990 2001
Canada 273,680 379,207 209,020 248,184 7,524 7,985
France 111,278 132,709 227,114 265,570 4,003 4,487
Germany 186,157 133,745 356,218 351,092 4,485 4,264
Italy 25,547 26,264 152,552 171,998 2,690 2,981
Japan 73,209 104,006 436,523 520,729 3,534 4,099
UK 207,007 261,939 212,176 253,158 3,686 3,982
U.S. 1,650,408 1,711,814 1,927,572 2,281,414 7,728 7,996

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2004

Examining the differences between energy production and energy use, Canada was the only G-7 country whose production exceeded its use, with the exception of the United Kingdom in 2001. Germany was the sole G-7 country to reduce both production and use of commercial energy between 1990 and 2001. Canada had the second highest commercial energy use per capita, closely following the U.S., consuming approximately more than double the quantities of each of the remaining of the G-7 countries. (World Bank, World Development Indicators 2004: 140-43)

According to the Canadian Economic Observer (Statistics Canada, April 2005), "energy (has) consolidated its place as Canada's leading resource export" and "Canada's surplus in trade in energy is now almost as large as all other resource exports combined." Moreover, "energy exports have doubled since 1999, driven by higher prices and new sources of supply."

Government of Canada outcome: An innovative and knowledge-based economy

  • Innovation
  • Educational attainment
  • Literacy

Innovation: GERD as a percentage of GDP

Current performance and trends

Canada's Gross Domestic Expenditures on Research and Development (GERD) as a percentage of GDP was 1.89 per cent in 2004, continuing a downward trend from 2.05 per cent in 2001. It is increasingly important for Canada to be competitive with other countries that are aggressively increasing their GERD, such as Finland, Iceland, and Japan, all of which by 2002 exceeded 3 per cent GERD as a percentage of GDP following steady increases since the early 1990s.

Canada's GERD as a Percentage of GDP, 1999-2004

Additional information: GERD

After a decrease in 2002, increases in GERD are reported for 2003 and 2004, with a gain of 4.1 per cent in 2003 and estimates of an additional 5.1 per cent in 2004 to reach a total of $24.5 billion. In 2004, government funded 25.1 per cent of GERD, a figure that represents an overall gain since 1998, when the government share was 21.6 per cent. This is more than an 8.0-per-cent decrease from 1991, however, when government financed 33.8 per cent. In contrast, industry-financed GERD has increased since 1991, growing from 38.2 per cent to 46.2 per cent in 2004.

Performance of GERD

In terms of performance of GERD for 2004, industry performed 51.2 per cent, higher education 38.1 per cent, and government 10.4 per cent. The business enterprise sector's performance share has decreased from 1998 when it was 60.2 per cent, though the 2004 figure represents an increase since 1991 when it was 49.7 per cent. Higher education's performance share of GERD has increased since 1998, from 27.2 per cent in 1998. Government-performed GERD has decreased since 1991, when it was 18.7 per cent. Budget 2005 notes that Canada ranks among the top five nations in terms of publicly performed research (universities, research hospitals, and government laboratories) as a proportion of GDP.

R&D intensity

In 2003, the top three industries for R&D intensity, as measured by R&D spending as a percentage of GDP, were scientific research and development services, communications equipment manufacturing, and health care and social assistance services.

R&D workforce

Between 1991 and 2002, the total number of researchers in Canada increased from 67,080 to 112,630. Per thousand total employment, there were 5.1 researchers in 1991 and 7.2 in 2002. The R&D sector as a whole had a workforce of 177,120 in 2002 or 11.3 personnel per thousand total employment. (Statistics Canada, 2005; OECD, 2004)

For further information on GERD, see the OECD Factbook 2005: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics, which can be accessed on the OECD Web site at http://www.oecd.org/home.

Innovation: Triadic patent families

Current performance and trends

Shares in triadic patent families are used to measure a country's inventive performance, diffusion of knowledge, and innovative activities. Canada's world share in triadic patent families among the OECD countries grew slightly from 1.09 per cent in 1995 to 1.18 per cent in 2001, peaking at 1.30 per cent in 1998. In contrast, the U.S. had the greatest share in 2001 at 35.13 per cent.

Canada's Share in Triadic Patent Families, 1993-2001

Additional information: Triadic patent families

The number of triadic patent families with a Canadian residence of the inventor increased steadily from 1990 to 1998, peaking at 557. Since then, the numbers have decreased to 539 in 1999 and 519 in 2000. Similarly, numbers have decreased overall since 1998 for France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. In contrast, increases are seen for Italy, Japan, and the U.S.

Within the G-7, Canada had the second lowest number of triadic patent families per million population in 2000, with 16.9, greater only than Italy's 13.3. Japan led the way with 92.6. Examining the number of triadic patent families in relation to population size provides some context in terms of capacity to innovate. (OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators 2004/2)

Triadic Patent Families per million population (2000)

Country Number of Triadic Patent Families per million population (2000)
Canada 16.9
France 35.1
Germany 70.3
Italy 13.3
Japan 92.6
United Kingdom 30.6
U.S. 53.1

(Source: OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators 2004/2)

For further information on triadic patents, see the OECD Factbook 2005: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics, which can be accessed from the OECD Web site at http://www.oecd.org/home.

Innovation: Science and engineering article outputs

Current performance and trends

Compared to other OECD countries, Canada's share of science and engineering articles outputs has steadily decreased over the past 15 years. In 2001 output totalled 22,626 articles, down from 23,417 in 1999.

Outputs of Science and Engineering Articles in Canada

For further information on science and engineering article outputs, see the National Science Foundation report entitled Science and Engineering Indicators 2004, Volume 2 (http://www.nsf.gov/statistics).

International comparison

OECD studies suggest that an innovation gap separates Canada from the leading OECD countries. The Canada's Innovation Performance chart shows that in a number of indicators of innovation performance, Canada is considerably behind the U.S. and other G-7 countries.

Canada's Innovation Performance

Additional information: The social sciences and humanities

New knowledge takes many forms and is not limited to natural sciences and engineering. Innovative thinking about society and culture, both past and present, contributes to the understanding of the complexity of Canadian society, and insights from research in the social sciences and humanities help to improve the well-being of Canadians. For example, through a better comprehension of relationships, whether between the citizen and the state, within families or across national boundaries, the delivery of health care, education, or immigration services can be improved. In 2004-05, the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council had a grants, fellowships, and scholarships budget of $211.0 million to support innovative thinking about real life issues, including the economy, health, the environment, immigration, globalization, security, human rights, law, poverty, literature, addiction, and sexuality. (Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council, 2005)

Additional information on innovation: Commercialization

Building a world-class research environment includes support for the commercialization of research discoveries-transforming ideas into new products, services, and technologies that generate economic and social benefits. Universities and hospitals recorded moderate gains in commercializing inventions between 2001 and 2003, according to preliminary data from the Survey of Intellectual Property Commercialization in the Higher Education Sector. The number of inventions beginning the commercialization process rose during the two-year period. The number of invention disclosures was up 7.0 per cent while new patent applications increased 35.0 per cent. During the same period, income from intellectual property commercialization reached $51.0 million, up about 7 per cent. However, this rate of growth was not as substantial as the 126.0-per-cent gain between 1999 and 2001. (Statistics Canada, The Daily, December 9, 2004)

Educational attainment

Current performance and trends

According to the 2001 Census, 61.0 per cent of Canadians aged 25 to 34 had educational credentials beyond high school-28.0 per cent had a university education, 21.0 per cent held a college diploma, and 12.0 per cent had trade credentials. This is a marked increase over a decade earlier when only 49.0 per cent of people in that age category had credentials past high school.

In 2003, full-year, full-time workers with a university degree earned on average $67,091 compared to $37,840 for those with only a high school diploma, a difference of $29,251.

(Statistics Canada, 2005)

About two thirds of the new jobs created in Canada will be in management or will require some form of post-secondary education, from trades certificates to advanced degrees. (Human Resources and Skills Development Canada, 2005)

Population Aged 25-64 with Completed Post-secondary Education, G-7 Counties, 2002

International comparison

According to the OECD, Canada is the world leader in education when considering the combined proportion of university and college graduates. In 2002, 42.6 per cent of Canada's population aged 25 to 64 had completed a college or university education, increasing annually from 29.9 per cent in 1991. Within the rest of the G-7 figures range from the U.S. with 38.1 per cent to 10.4 per cent in Italy.

Additional information: Educational attainment

According to the OECD, 51.2 per cent of all Canadians aged 25 to 34 had educational credentials beyond high school in comparison with 32.1 per cent of all Canadians aged 55-64. Differences between tertiary attainment of younger and older age groups is a measure of progress in the provision of higher education.

Within the age group of 25-34 year olds, 23.0 per cent of males and 29.0 per cent of females in 2002 attained university and advanced research program levels. Every year since 1998, the proportion of the female population marking this achievement has been higher than the proportion of the male population.

In 2002, 40.0 per cent of Canadian males aged 25-64 attained tertiary level education while 45.0 per cent of females reached the same level. (OECD, Factbook 2005: Economic, Environmental and Social Statistics)

Literacy

Current performance and trends

The 2003 results of the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey found that the average literacy score for Canadians has not changed significantly since the last major survey in 1994, the International Adult Literacy Survey. During this period, there were significant numbers of adult Canadians with low-level literacy skills that constrained their participation in society and in the economy. For example, while 58.0 per cent of Canadian adults aged 16 to 65 placed in the top three literacy levels on the prose scale, 15.0 per cent, or over 3 million Canadians, scored on the lowest level, indicating significant problems with dealing with printed materials. Level 3 is considered the required minimum for successfully functioning within the emerging knowledge society and information economy.

Literacy of Population Aged 16 to 65, Canada, 2003

International comparison

Among the seven countries that participated in the 2003 survey, Canada ranked roughly in the middle. On the prose scale, residents of Norway and Bermuda performed better than Canada whereas Canadian adults performed slightly better than Americans on all scales.

The 2003 OECD study on the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) evaluated reading literacy, mathematics literacy, and science literacy of 15-year-old students in 41 countries. In reading, the overall achievement of Canadian students was significantly above the OECD average and only students in Finland outperformed Canadian students. These results are consistent with those of the 2000 PISA study. Canada also performed well in mathematics and science, with two countries and four countries respectively outperforming Canada. Where comparisons of the 2000 and 2003 mathematics results are possible (due to refinements in methodology) similar and improving scores were observed. Lower science performance scores were recorded in 2003 as compared to 2000.

Additional information: Learning a living-Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey (2003)

Literacy is important to the economic success of both individuals and countries, especially in today's highly competitive global economy. Countries are moving quickly to raise the literacy levels of their people. At the individual level, a basic level of literacy is now required to get and keep most jobs and to adjust to changing economic opportunities. At the national level, it enables a country's workforce to compete in a changing world, opening the way for economic growth and enhanced quality of life.

Age

According to the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, age and skill level are inversely related, even once results are controlled for educational attainment. In general, young people performed better than older Canadians. Once education was taken into account, however, a decline in literacy scores among 16 to 25 year olds from 1994 to 2003 is observed. The decline was primarily in youths from lower socio-economic backgrounds.

Older age groups demonstrated greater variability in literacy scores. One element of the explanation offered by the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey is the interaction of an aging effect (effect of age on attention capacity, working memory, spatial ability) and a practice effect (the accumulation of knowledge and experience), together with a range of life experiences. Additional factors to take into account include cohort and period effects: schooling available to an age group during formative years and how recent the schooling was.

Socio-economic background

In the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, socio-economic background is the represented level of education and is analyzed using socio-economic gradients that are summarized by education level, slope, and strength of relationship. A review of research literature by the authors of the Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey found that the assertion that parents with higher level of education are advantaged in terms of wealth, prestige, power, and formation of foundation skills is well accepted.

After the U.S., Canada had steepest socio-economic gradient of countries surveyed. Steepness of slope indicates the degree to which parents' education level affects their children's literacy achievements. A steeper slope indicates a greater influence. The Canadian results therefore suggest that youth whose parents have relatively low levels of education tend to have low literacy skills. The opposite is also true: youth with highly educated parents tend to have high literacy skills. It is also important to note, however, that there are a significant number of "resilient" youth in Canada, those with literacy scores at the 4/5 level and parents with lower levels of education.

Gender

Gender-related trends were also observed. Canadian males tended to demonstrate a greater proficiency in numeracy and document literacy skills while females held the advantage in prose literacy, for both the population aged 16 to 65 and the population aged 16 to 65 with completed upper secondary education. The Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey is cautious in their explanations for gender differences, stating that differences are apparent early in life, though choices of training and occupation also carry an impact. From a cross-cultural perspective, Norway, Bermuda, and the U.S. exhibited the same pattern, while Italy, Mexico, and Switzerland did not. In the latter three countries, males demonstrated greater proficiency than females in all areas of literacy with the exception of prose literacy for Italian and Mexican women with completed upper secondary education.

Government of Canada outcome: Income security and employment for Canadians

  • Employment
  • Income security

Employment: Employment growth

Current performance and trends

Canada experienced employment growth in 2004, with a gain of 226,000 jobs between December 2003 and December 2004, continuing an upward trend that began in the mid-1990s. This growth helped to push the number of employed relative to the working-age population (persons 15 and over) to 62.7 per cent for 2004, up from 62.4 per cent in 2003.

Employment in Canada, March 1995 to March 2005

Employment: Provincial differences and unemployment rates

Current performance and trends

The Atlantic provinces and Quebec continue to have higher unemployment rates than the national average. The unemployment rate in British Columbia has surpassed or equalled the national average in each of the last seven years. Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta had unemployment rates below the national average. Comparing the unemployment rate of April 2004 to April 2005, improvements are seen for all provinces.

Annual Average Unemployment Rate by Province, 2004, Canada

International comparison: Employment growth

Canada has experienced consistent employment growth since the mid-1990s, in contrast with some G-7 countries, such as Japan and Germany, whose employment growth has been minimal. Between 1997 and 2004, Canada experienced the strongest growth in employment among the G-7 countries, outperforming for example, the U.S. and the United Kingdom.

Employment Growth Among G-7 Countries, 1994 to 2004

Income security: RDI per capita

Current performance and trends

In 2004, RDI per capita rose 1.5 per cent to $20,780 from $20,475 in 2003. After declining in the first half of the 1990s, RDI per capita has increased at an average rate of 1.7 per cent per year since 1997, reflecting strong employment growth and cuts in personal taxes. In addition, the 2001 Census indicated increases in overall earnings, defined here as total wages and salaries plus net income from self-employment.

Real Disposable Income Per Capita, Canada, 1991-2004

Income security: Canada's low-income situation

Current performance and trends

Despite the strong growth in average incomes, some Canadians still experience economic hardships, living on incomes insufficient to meet their daily needs or to allow adequate participation in society. While Canada does not have an official poverty line, low income measures such as Statistic Canada's post-tax low income cutoffs (LICO) are typically used to measure and monitor Canada's low-income situation.

  • In 2003, the LICOs varied from $10,821 for an unattached individual living in a rural area to $43,381 for a family of seven or more persons living in a large Canadian city.
  • The prevalence of Canadians living below the LICOs measure has moved from 13.7 per cent in 1994 to a high of 15.7 per cent in 1996, then down to 11.5 per cent in 2003.
  • Low income among seniors has declined significantly, from 21.3 per cent in 1980 to 6.8 per cent in 2003.
  • Of the estimated 540,000 single-parent families headed by a woman, 38.4 per cent earned low income in 2003, up from 33.8 per cent in 2001. Their low-income rate peaked at 52.7 per cent in 1996.
  • An estimated 11.5 per cent of children, or 843,000 Canadians under the age of 18, were living in low-income families in 2003. This represents a decline from a peak of 18.6 per cent in 1996.

(Statistics Canada, The Daily, "Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics," 2005)

Government of Canada outcome: A fair and secure marketplace

  • Barriers to entrepreneurship

Barriers to entrepreneurship

Current performance and trends

According to the OECD, Canada has developed a strong regulatory capacity that has greatly contributed to Canada's economic growth. Three areas for measuring the regulatory climate and producing an overall score for barriers to entrepreneurship are as follows:

  • administrative burden on start-ups;
  • regulatory and administrative opacity; and
  • barriers to competition.

In 2003, Canada had the lowest level of regulatory barriers to entrepreneurship among G-7 countries, sharing the top position with the United Kingdom. Canada's overall score has improved from 1998. These low barriers contribute to an innovative economy and provide an advantage for Canadian entrepreneurs in the global marketplace. According to the OECD, however, a key priority for Canada should be to reduce barriers to foreign ownership because restrictions are holding back competition and innovation. (OECD, Product Market Regulation in OECD Countries, 1998 to 2003; Ibid,Economics Working Paper No. 419, 2005; Ibid, Economic Policy Reforms-Going for Growth, 2005)

Barriers to Entrepreneurship Among G-7 Countries, 1998 and 2003

Government of Canada outcome: A clean and healthy environment

  • Air quality
  • Water use
  • Biodiversity

Air quality: Average concentrations of air pollutants

Current performance and trends

The yearly average concentrations in urban air across Canada of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx), volatile organic compounds (VOC), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) have all decreased overall since the mid- to late 1980s. PM2.5 concentrations have shown incremental increases since 2000. Ground-level ozone, which had shown increases since the mid-1990s, remained relatively stable between 2001 and 2003.

Annual Average Concentrations of Air Pollutants in Canada, 1990-2003

Annual Average Concentrations of Air Pollutants in Canada, 1990-2003

Air quality: Peak levels of ground-level ozone

Current performance and trends

Levels of ground-level ozone can vary considerably on an hourly, daily, and monthly basis, depending on the prevailing meteorological conditions (especially temperature and air stability), the origin of air masses, and emissions. Since the late 1980s, despite the reductions observed in ambient concentrations of NOx and VOC, the peak levels of ground-level ozone, averaged across all sites in Canada, have remained relatively stable, though persistently high. These levels vary across the country. Levels tend to be higher east of the Manitoba-Ontario border, especially along the Windsor-Quebec City corridor.

Trends in Peak Levels of Ground-level Ozone in Canada, 1990-2003

For more information, consult the Environmental Technology Centre Web site, which contains information on measurement and clean air at http://www.etc-cte.ec.gc.ca/etchome_e.html.

Water use

Current performance and trends

In 2001, average residential water use per person was 335.0 litres per day. Water use involves taking water from the environment as well as returning water to the environment, and as a result a variety of pressures are placed on Canada's water resources. The quantity of water used is a concern, which includes concern over the capability of aquatic ecosystems to meet demand during dry periods. Water quality is a related issue of water use due to the increased use of water treatment chemicals that are subsequently discharged with wastewater.

Average Daily Water Use, Residential Sector, 1991-2001

Non-residential water use

In Canada water use is dominated by agriculture and industry-for example, 64.0 per cent of water use in Canada is attributed to the flow of water into and out of thermal power plants.

Additional information: Water quality indices

In 2003, a general picture of the overall quality of Canada's freshwater was developed using water quality index ratings from federal and provincial studies across Canada. Beginning in the late fall of 2005, both the water quality indicator and the coverage of major Canadian watersheds will be enhanced to support comprehensive annual reporting of water quality in Canada, under the Competitiveness and Environmental Sustainability Indicators Initiative. While the first report will focus on protection of aquatic life, other major uses of water such as drinking water, recreation, agriculture and industry will be built in over time to provide a more complete picture of water quality in Canada and its links to Canada's society and economy.

Water quality is monitored in lakes and rivers across Canada by federal, provincial, and territorial agencies. Annual reporting on water quality under the competitiveness and environmental sustainability indicators initiative will begin in the fall of 2005. The first report will describe a national picture of water quality as it relates to the protection of aquatic life. Future reports will assess water quality as it relates to other major water uses, namely source water for drinking, water for recreation, water for agriculture, and water for industrial use.

Biodiversity: Species at risk

Current performance and trends

Since 1978, the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada (COSEWIC) has been assessing and reassessing the status of Canadian wild species suspected of being at risk.(1) By May 2005, COSEWIC had assessed 687 species, 487 of which were determined to be at risk (extirpated, endangered, threatened, or of special concern). In addition, the total number of extinct species has risen from 12 to 13 between May 2004 and May 2005. A total of 147 species have been reassessed by COSEWIC more than once. Of these, the status of 42 species worsened (28.6 per cent) whereas 25 species (17.0 per cent) improved, i.e. were determined to be no longer at risk or placed in a lower risk category. This would seem to illustrate that, despite some successes, the state of biodiversity overall has deteriorated. As an indicator, however, COSEWIC reassessments offer only a glimpse of the overall status of biodiversity in Canada. Other indicators are currently under development for Canada.

Change in Status of Reassessed Species at Risk, Canada, 1985-2005

Additional information: Sustainable economic growth

Economic growth and environmental concerns

In Canada, individual lifestyles and the degree to which more environmentally benign technologies are embraced are as important indicators of environmental stress as is total population. The slight decline in per capita energy use since 1990, coupled with a significant increase in per capita economic growth, indicates that the Canadian economy is becoming more energy efficient. There are limitations, however, in the types of measures that illustrate the extent to which economic activity is affecting the environment. Over the coming years, as better indicators of the relationship between the economy and the environment are developed, the Government of Canada will be able to track how rapidly Canada's economy is embracing environmental values and to what degree economic growth is depleting Canada's natural capital. (Environment Canada, Environmental Signals, 2003)

Change in Population, GDP Per Capita, and Energy Use Per Capita

Securing Canada's natural capital

For more information, see the National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy publication entitled Securing Canada's Natural Capital: A Vision for Nature Conservation in the 21st Century (http://www.nrtee-trnee.ca/eng/index_e.htm).

Canada's demographic challenge

An aging population will be a key challenge facing the Canadian economy over the coming decade. Currently there are more than five people of working age for every person of retirement age, and by 2050 the ratio will be less than 2.5 to 1. While this is a worldwide phenomenon that will affect all G-7 countries, Canada will experience one of the largest increases in the ratio of the elderly to the population aged 15-64 over the next 25 years. Labour scarcity is therefore an immanent phenomenon and one that requires sustained consideration.

The projected decline in the employment-to-population ratio will gradually become a hindrance to growth in living standards beyond 2010. Two strategies to deal with the upcoming labour scarcity are the integration of immigrants into the labour market and assurance that older Canadians do not face disincentives to work. Moreover, improvements in the living standards of Canadians will increasingly have to rely on productivity growth. Productivity is the amount of output per unit of input used. Canada must concentrate on the drivers of increased productivity: human capital, innovation, and physical capital.

The reduction of the public debt burden since 1995-resulting in lower debt charges-has put Canada in a better position to face emerging demands on social programs, such as health care and universal public pensions, and has provided more flexibility to deal with emerging demographic spending pressures. It is estimated that as a result of demographic change, government health care expenditures will increase to 11.2 per cent of GDP by 2050, up from 7.1 per cent in 2004. Canada's retirement income system, comprised of Old Age Security, Canada Pension Plan and Quebec Pension Plan, registered retirement savings plans, and registered pension plans, is on solid ground. For example, the 1997 reforms to the Canada Pension Plan have ensured its sustainability for the next 75 years.

 

 
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