Bank of Canada
Indicators of Capacity and Inflation Pressures for Canada
Updated: 19 October 2006 Page 1 Next release: 7 December 2006
Inflation (year-over-year percentage change)
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2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q3 2005Q4 2006Q1 2006Q2 2006Q3 2006Q4 Latest data
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Core
inflation 1.6 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0Aug
CPI excluding food, energy, and the effect
of changes in
indirect taxes 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9Aug
CPIW 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5Aug
Weighted
Median 1.8 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.2Aug
CPI Inflation 2.3 2.1 1.9 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.1Aug
Chain price
index for GDP 3.6 3.0 2.3 3.4 4.1 3.7 2.8 2.8Q2
Chain price
index for
consumption 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7Q2
Chain price index for consumption
excluding food
and energy 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8Q2
Product market
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2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q3 2005Q4 2006Q1 2006Q2 2006Q3 2006Q4 Latest data
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Output gap (Bank of Canada's
conventional
measure) 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4Q3*
Capacity utilization rate
Non-farm goods
(%) (1987-2001
avg. = 82.51) 86.3 86.3 86.0 86.3 86.0 85.7 85.5 85.5Q2
Manufacturing
(%) (1987-2001
avg. = 81.72) 84.5 84.9 84.2 84.3 84.2 83.7 83.1 83.1Q2
Bank of Canada Regional Office Survey
Difficulty meeting an unanticipated
increase in demand/sales (% firms) 45.0 37.0 43.0 45.5 49.6 44.6 47.6 46.6 46.6Q3
Unfilled orders/shipments - Manufacturing excluding aerospace
products and
parts 0.50 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.55Aug
Aggregate
stock-to-sales
ratio 0.630 0.630 0.630 0.619 0.613 0.622 0.632 0.632Q2
* As shown in the most recent issue of the Monetary Policy Report.
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