Publications and Research

2004
Une approche éclectique d'estimation du PIB potentiel pour le Royaume-Uni
Charles St-Arnaud
Working Paper 2004-46

2003
Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach
Andrew Rennison
Working Paper 2003-8

2002
An Eclectic Approach to Estimating U.S. Potential GDP
Marc-André Gosselin and René Lalonde
Working Paper 2002-36

2002
Filtering for Current Analysis
Simon van Norden
Working Paper 2002-28

2002
La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada
J.-P. Cayen and S. van Norden
Working Paper 2002-10

2000
Probing Potential Output: Monetary Policy, Credibility, and Optimal Learning under Uncertainty
J. Yetman
Working Paper 2000-10

1999
Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework
M. Kichian
Working paper 99-9

1998
Une nouvelle méthode d'estimation de l'écart de production et son application aux États-Unis, au Canada et à l'Allemagne
R. Lalonde, J. Page, and P. St-Amant
Working paper 98-21

Winter 1997-98
Potential output growth: Some long-term projections
J. Kuszczak and R. Dion
Bank of Canada Review article

Spring 1997
Capacity constraints, price adjustment, and monetary policy
T. Macklem
Bank of Canada Review article

1997
Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada
P. St-Amant and S. van Norden
Technical Report 79

1997
A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap
C. Dupasquier, A. Guay and P. St-Amant
Working Paper 97-5

1995
Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using Structural VAR Methodology: The Case of the Mexican Economy
A. DeSerres, A. Guay and P. St-Amant
Working Paper 95-2

Winter 1993-94
Recent advances in growth theory: Perspective and policy implications
T. Macklem
Print copy available
Bank of Canada Review article

1993
Problems in Identifying Non-linear Phillips Curves: Some Further Consequences of Mismeasuring Potential Output
D. Laxton, D. Rose and R. Tetlow Print copy available
Working Paper 93-6

1993
Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU as Unobserved Variables in a Systems Framework
D. Côté and D. Hostland
Print copy available
conference proceeding

1992
A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output
D. Laxton and R. Tetlow
Technical Report 59

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