The Business
Plan was reviewed and approved by Treasury Board on January 21,
2004, and by the Legislature’s Standing Committee on the Alberta
Heritage Savings Trust Fund on February 5, 2004.
mission
The mission of the Heritage Fund is to provide
prudent stewardship of the savings from Alberta’s non-renewable
resources by providing the greatest financial returns on those savings
for current and future generations of Albertans.1
1 Preamble
to the Alberta Heritage Savings Trust Fund Act.
introduction
This
is the eighth business plan for the Heritage Fund, which amends
the previous business plans and incorporates updated financial information
and income forecasts. This plan sets out specific investment objectives,
goals and strategies to achieve the Heritage Fund's objectives as
expressed in the legislation.
BACKGROUND
- The Alberta
Heritage Savings Trust Fund (the Heritage Fund) was created in
1976 to save a portion of non-renewable resource revenue. The
Heritage Fund grew from a portion of Alberta’s oil and gas
revenue being deposited into the fund from inception in 1976,
until 1987. As well, prior to 1982, the Heritage Fund retained
its income.
- On January
1, 1997, the Heritage Fund was restructured in response to a public
review. The restructuring included a new governance structure
as well as the establishment of new investment objectives and
performance measures.
- In the fall
of 2002, the Minister of Revenue conducted a public consultation
on the future mandate of the Heritage Fund in the form of a survey
mailed to all Alberta households. The survey confirmed the Heritage
Fund as an endowment, underscoring the need to preserve its real
value over the long term.
- The Heritage
Fund Act includes a provision to retain a portion of the
Heritage Fund’s income in the Fund to protect its real value.
Until the Province’s accumulated debt is eliminated, the
Province has discretion in retaining income to protect the real
value of the Heritage Fund. After the Province’s debt is
eliminated, inflation proofing is mandatory, as long as the Fund’s
income is sufficient.
- In August
2003, the Minister of Revenue created the Endowment Fund Policy
Committee. The purpose of the Endowment Fund Policy Committee
is to assist the Minister in carrying out investment policy responsibilities.
FISCAL
CONTEXT
- Assets
and income of the Heritage Fund are fully consolidated with the
assets and revenue of the Province.
- Income earned
during a fiscal year is transferred to the General Revenue Fund
(GRF), except for any portion retained for inflation proofing.
HERITAGE
FUND STRUCTURE AND INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
The
Heritage Fund Act created an endowment portfolio with the
objective of maximizing long-term financial returns.
The Heritage
Fund Act states that,
Subject to
the regulations, when making investments the Minister of Revenue
shall adhere to investment and lending policies, standards and
procedures that a reasonable and prudent person would apply in
respect of a portfolio of investments to avoid undue risk of loss
and obtain a reasonable return that will enable the endowment
portfolio and the transition portfolio to meet their respective
objectives.
GOAL,
INVESTMENT STRATEGIES, OUTCOMES AND PERFORMANCE MEASURES
GOAL
1: Maintain nominal value of assets at a 5-year planning horizon.
What
it means
The
asset mix of the Heritage Fund is designed to give a high probability
of maintaining its nominal book value over the next five years.
The nominal value of the Heritage Fund is not adjusted to take the
effects of inflation into account, whereas the real value does recognize
the loss of purchasing power over time. Historically, the Heritage
Fund has been successful in maintaining the nominal value of assets
in a variety of market conditions. However, in periods of large
sustained capital market losses, an erosion of book value can occur.
GOAL
2: Achieve budgeted cumulative income forecasts during a 5-year
planning horizon.
The
investment objective provides for a long-term investment horizon
in the context of short-term uncertainty. The Heritage Fund is invested
in a diversified portfolio including interest bearing securities,
Canadian equities, international equities, private equities, absolute
return strategies and real estate. The Fund is invested to generate
long-term returns to support the Province’s income and spending
needs. It is widely accepted that a prudent mix of interest-bearing
securities, equities, real estate and alternate asset classes best
achieves the objective of optimizing financial returns as it provides
enhanced expected returns and diversifies risk.
GOAL
3: Preserve the real value of assets over a long-term horizon (20
years).
The
Heritage Fund Act underscores the importance of maintaining
the real value into the future by providing for investment income
to be retained in the Heritage Fund for inflation proofing, as affordable.
Also, investment funds with long-term investment horizons, and an
objective to optimize long-term returns, invest a significant amount
of their assets in equities since equities have historically provided
investors with higher total returns (dividends and capital gains)
than interest bearing securities. The Heritage Fund follows a similar
strategy to achieve higher financial returns over the longer term.
Goals
1, 2 and 3 are dealt with by policy asset mix and portfolio management
strategies of the Heritage Fund.
The 2003-06
business plan held the policy allocation to fixed income securities
and real estate constant while increasing the allocation to private
equity and absolute return strategies at the expense of public equities.
Actual allocations to private equities and real estate lag policy
allocations because of the illiquid nature of these asset classes.
Any further policy allocations to private equity and real estate
asset classes must wait on actual allocations increasing further
(Table 1).
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The new business
plan modifies the policy allocations of the previous business plan
slightly and introduces a further allocation to absolute returns
strategies while reducing the allocation to bonds. In addition,
this business plan re-affirms the strategy of increasing investments
in private equities (Table 2).
The revised
policy asset mix targets for the Heritage Fund are as follows:
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The government
reports its financial statements on a consolidated basis and therefore
Heritage Fund income is included in consolidated income for the
province. Consequently, the level and variability of Heritage Fund
income is important to the government’s fiscal plan. However,
long-term capital appreciation is also desired.
Strategies
- Increase
investments in absolute return strategies and private equity.
Increasing exposure to non-traditional asset classes (absolute
return strategies and private equity) can create a portfolio with
improved risk/return trade-offs even after the additional investment
costs associated with these assets are taken into account.
An increase
in exposure to these asset classes will be implemented and is
expected to improve portfolio risk and return. An increased exposure
to non-traditional asset classes is in line with the policies
of many other North American endowment funds.
- Reduce Canadian
fixed income investments.
The Canadian fixed income exposure will be gradually
reduced to accommodate the increase in absolute return strategies.
- Reduce public
equity investments.
Public equity investments will be gradually
reduced to accommodate the increase in private equity investments.
- Transition
the current actual asset mix to the policy asset mix in a prudent
and timely manner.
- To diversify
risk and enhance expected returns, allocate Heritage Fund assets
among permitted asset classes and within the guidelines of Alberta
Investment Management’s rebalancing policy.
Alberta Investment Management may vary the allocation of assets
within the policy ranges based on the outlook for financial markets,
subject to transitioning actual weights to policy weights and
the following ranges:
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- Reduce
the Heritage Fund’s investment in project loans. Remaining
project loans have a total value at cost of $97 million or 0.9%
of Heritage Fund fair value. The largest of these project loans
is a $91 million loan to Ridley Grain Ltd.
- As affordable,
retain income to ensure that the Heritage Fund grows with inflation
over time.
Outcomes
- Income forecasts
are achieved on a cumulative basis over five years.
- Nominal value
of assets is maintained at a five-year horizon.
- Real value
of assets is preserved at a 20-year horizon.
- The Heritage
Fund policy asset mix is expected to generate a total real rate
of return of 4.5% at an acceptable level of risk over a moving
five-year period.
- Market rate
of return is expected to be greater than a passively invested
benchmark portfolio by 0.50% per year (after fees are deducted)
by adding value through active management.
Performance
Measures
- The market
value rate of return of the policy benchmark will be compared
against the Consumer Price Index (CPI) plus 4.5% to determine
whether the long term capital market assumptions on which the
investment policy is based are achieving the returns relative
to expectations.
- The actual
market value rate of return will be compared against the policy
benchmark return to determine the impact of fund management on
performance using the following benchmarks for each asset class.
Alberta Investment Management will seek to add 50 bps (0.50%)
of value per year over a five-year investment horizon.
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2
See Appendix A for a description of these benchmarks.
3 See Appendix C for a description of this asset class.
The
above benchmarks are unchanged from the previous business plan except
that the S&P 1500 index replaces the S&P 500 index for measuring
performance of the U.S. equities market. The S&P 1500 Index
provides a broader coverage of U.S. equities to include smaller
capitalization stocks. The S&P 1500 Index covers approximately
90% of U.S. publicly traded securities.
RISKS
TO INVESTMENT STRATEGIES, OUTCOMES AND PERFORMANCE MEASURES
There
are significant risks inherent in the business plan.
Income will
vary significantly from year to year for the following reasons:
- The well-established
capital market principle that increased expected returns are accompanied
by increased risk.
- An investment
policy to maximize long-term returns implies a weighting towards
investments in equities. Equities have historically provided investors
with higher total returns (dividends and capital gains) than fixed
income investments, however, dividend rates in general are lower
than interest rates, thereby providing lower current income while
the magnitude and timing of realizing capital gains is uncertain.
- Given a well-implemented
private equities program, private equities can provide investment
returns above those of public equities. However, by their nature,
private equity investments are highly illiquid and are associated
with an investment horizon of five to ten years to realize investment
gains, if any. Some private equity investments are subject to
potentially large or total investment losses.
- Absolute
returns strategies have gained prominence in recent years with
an expectation of stable returns. However, this market is very
fragmented with many different strategies and investment fees
are above those of traditional managers. In some cases, there
have been large losses sustained in the industry by otherwise
well informed and highly professional investors. Manager selection
and oversight are therefore critical to successful implementation.
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ACCOUNTABILITY
TO ALBERTANS
GOAL
4: Ensure the transparency of the Heritage Fund’s objectives
and results for Albertans.
What
it means
Results from
the Looking Forward survey confirm Albertans want a strong, healthy
Heritage Fund that is used primarily for savings. Ongoing communication
through published reports and news releases will ensure Albertans
remain aware of the performance of the Heritage Fund.
Strategies
- Release quarterly
and annual reports on a timely basis in simple, understandable
language.
- Release
summary reports of the Heritage Fund’s investment activities
and results for Albertans on a timely basis.
- Publish
the Heritage Fund Business Plan annually.
- The Legislature’s
Standing Committee will hold annual public accountability meetings
around Alberta to report on the Heritage Fund’s results
and to answer questions on the Fund’s performance.
- Include Heritage
Fund information in a new Alberta Revenue web newsletter
Outcome
- Improved
understanding by Albertans of the management, operations, investment
philosophy and performance of the Heritage Fund
Performance
Measures
- Timeliness
of reports and public accountability meetings.
- •
Knowledge of Albertans regarding information provided about the
Heritage Fund
Benchmarks
- Annual report
will be released by June 30 of each year.
- Quarterly
reports will be released within two months after the conclusion
of the quarter.
- Albertans
are satisfied with their knowledge of the Heritage Fund, with
50% able to estimate the Fund’s value.
MANAGEMENT
AND ACCOUNTABILITY
1.
The mission and investment objectives for the Heritage Fund have
been established in legislation and are summarized above.
2. A Standing
Committee of the Legislature has been created by legislation and
has the following responsibilities:
- To review
and approve annually the business plan for the Heritage Fund;
- To receive
and review quarterly reports on the operation and results of the
Heritage Fund;
- To approve
the annual report of the Heritage Fund;
- To review
after each fiscal year end the performance of the Heritage Fund
and report to the Legislature as to whether the mission of the
Heritage Fund is being fulfilled;
- To hold public
meetings with Albertans on the investment activities and results
of the Heritage Fund.
3. The Minister
of Revenue is responsible for the operation of the Fund.
4. The Endowment
Fund Policy Committee reviews and recommends the business plan,
quarterly and annual reports, and the investment policies for the
Heritage Fund to the Minister. The Committee includes a majority
of private sector members with relevant financial and business expertise.
5. Alberta Investment
Management (part of Alberta Revenue) makes ongoing investment decisions.
6. The Auditor
General is the auditor of the Heritage Fund.
7. There are
restrictions on the kind of investments that can be made. Heritage
Fund assets are to be invested prudently and cannot be used for
economic development or social investment purposes.
INCOME
AND EXPENSES
- Capital gains
and losses on traditional equity investments are not recognized
as income until the investment is sold or, given a significant
loss, written down. Therefore, gains and losses that are included
in reported rates of return might not be immediately reflected
in realized income. In contrast, income and expenses on equity
index swaps are accrued as earned, resulting in gains and losses
being realized in income as they occur.
The
income projections include:
- Interest
income,
- Dividend
income,
- Capital
gains or losses only when they are realized, such as when an
investment is sold,
- Income
and expense on index swaps and interest rate swaps accrued as
earned.
- The income
projections do not include unrealized capital gains.
- Following
are current projections of Heritage Fund income based on the assumptions
noted. Actual results will vary from projected income depending
on the extent to which actual interest rates and equity market
returns vary from the assumptions used.
HERITAGE
FUND INCOME FORECASTS AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS
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RISKS
TO THE INVESTMENT INCOME FORECAST
- If equity returns
are lower than assumed, accounting investment income will be lower
depending on the extent of the decrease in equity returns and
the amount of turnover in the equity portion of the Heritage Fund.
- If interest rates
increase, the market price of bonds held by the Heritage Fund
will decline. Accounting investment income will decrease depending
on the extent of the interest rate increase and the amount of
turnover in the fixed income portion of the Heritage Fund.
EXPENSE
FORECAST
The
preceding projections for the Heritage Fund are gross of estimated
direct investment expenses. Estimated investment expenses are as
follows:
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The administrative
expenses include both direct and indirect administrative expense,
which include staff time, supplies and services, investment service
costs and advisory services.
The increase in costs
is due to increased staff and systems costs, increased size of the
fund, and increased allocation to
non-traditional asset classes (absolute return strategies and private
equity) which are more costly to manage.
As of December 31, 2003,
approximately 61 per cent of the Heritage Fund’s assets are
internally managed.
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APPENDICES
APPENDIX
A: Description of Benchmark Indices for the Heritage Fund
Scotia
Capital 91-day T-Bills Index (SC T-Bills Index)
Reflects the performance of the Canadian money market as measured
by investments in 91-day Treasury Bills.
Scotia
Capital Universe Bond Index (SC Universe Index)
Covers marketable investment-grade Canadian bonds with terms to
maturity of more than one year. The purpose of this index is to
reflect performance of the broad Canadian bond market in a manner
similar to the way the S&P/TSX represents the Canadian equity
market.
S&P/TSE
Composite Index (S&P/TSX)
An index maintained by the S&P/TSX Canadian Index Policy Committee
that measures the total return on the largest companies that trade
on the Toronto Stock Exchange. (Formerly the TSE 300)
Standard
& Poor’s 500 Index (S & P 500 Index)
Covers 500 industrial, utility, transportation and financial companies
of the US markets, mostly New York Stock Exchange issues. It is
a capitalization-weighted index calculated on a total return basis
with dividends reinvested.
Standard
& Poor’s 1500 Index (S & P 1500 Index)
The S&P 1500 index is a compilation of the S&P 500 large-cap,
S&P 400 mid-cap and the S&P 600 small-cap indices. This
combination addresses the needs of investors wanting broader exposure,
beyond the S&P 500. The S&P 1500 covers approximately 90%
of investable U.S. equities.
Morgan
Stanley Capital International Europe, Australia, Far East Index
(MSCI EAFE Index)
An index of over 1,000 securities listed on the stock exchanges
of countries in Europe, Australia and the Far East. The index is
calculated on a total return basis, which includes re-investment
of gross dividends before deduction of withholding taxes.
Consumer
Price Index (CPI)
Base year 1992. Provides a broad measure of the cost of living in
Canada. Tracks the retail price of a representative shopping basket
of about 600 goods and services from an average household’s
expenditure of: food, housing, transportation, furniture, clothing
and recreation. All data figures that use CPI are lagged by 1 month.
ICREIM/IPD
Large Institutional All Property Index
An index maintained by the Institute of Canadian Real Estate Investment
Managers / International Property Databank that measures the total
return from six large Canadian funds, which have real estate portfolios
valued greater than $1.5 billion. The index is also prepared on
a Held Property basis.
APPENDIX
B: Business Plan Performance
APPENDIX
C: GLOSSARY
Absolute
Return Strategy
Absolute Return Strategies encompass a wide variety of investments
with the objective of realizing positive returns regardless of the
overall market direction. A common feature of many of these strategies
is buying undervalued securities and selling short overvalued securities.
Some of the major types of strategies include long/short equity,
fixed income arbitrage, merger arbitrage, macroeconomic strategies,
convertible arbitrate, distressed securities and short selling.
Active
Management
Attempts to achieve portfolio returns greater than a specific index
while controlling risk, either by forecasting broad market trends
or by identifying particular mispriced sectors of a market or securities
in a market.
Asset
Allocation
The investment process by which the investment manager chooses or
allocates funds among broad Asset Classes such as stocks and bonds.
Asset-Backed
Securities
These are debt instruments collateralized by a pool of assets such
as automobile loans or equipment leases.
Asset
(or Investment) Class
Refers to a broad category of investments with similar characteristics
(the typical asset classes are cash, stocks, bonds and real estate).
Benchmark
Index
A benchmark index is a statistical yardstick tracking the ups and
downs of a particular market by monitoring a representative group
of securities over time. For example, the Scotia Capital Universe
Bond Index is a Benchmark Index that is designed to reflect the
changes in the Canadian bond market.
Bond
A bond is a financial instrument representing a debt where the issuer
(corporation or government) promises to pay to the holder a specific
rate of interest over the life of the bond. On the bond’s
maturity date, the principal is repaid in full to the holder.
Capital
Gain (or Capital Loss)
The market value received on the sale of an asset, which is higher
(lower) than its purchase price (also called cost or book value).
If an asset is bought for $50 and sold for $75, the realized capital
gain or profit is $25.
Diversification
Diversification is a process of allocation of investment assets
within an Asset Class and among asset classes. In general, the greater
the number of holdings within an asset class and among asset classes,
the greater the diversification, which reduces risk.
Dividends
Earnings distributed to shareholders of a company proportionate
to their ownership interest.
Duration
(or Modified Duration)
Modified duration is a measure of price volatility and is the weighted
average term to maturity of the security’s cash flows (i.e.,
interest and principal), with weights proportional to the present
value of the cash flows. Bonds with a longer duration are more price
sensitive to interest rate changes than bonds with short durations.
Equities
Equities are synonymously called stocks or shares and represent
an ownership interest in a company (could be either a public or
private firm). The shareholder normally has voting rights and may
receive dividends based on their proportionate ownership.
Inflation
Increases in the general price level of goods and services. Inflation
is one of the major risks to investors over the long-term as savings
may actually buy less in the future.
Interest-Bearing
Securities
An investment that is required to pay a fixed interest rate at periodic
intervals such as bonds, mortgages and debentures.
Investment
Grade
An investment grade bond is rated a minimum of BBB (or equivalent)
by a rating agency, with AAA being the highest grade. Bonds rated
below BBB are generally classified as being speculative grade and
carry higher levels of credit risk than investment grade bonds (i.e.,
they have a higher probability of default on interest or principal
payments).
Long-term
A long-term investment horizon in the context of the Heritage Fund
means a period of time that would include two business cycles, which
would generally mean about 10 years.
Market
Value Rate of Return
An annual percentage, which measures the total proceeds, returned
to the investor per dollar invested. Total proceeds for market value
rates of return = "money in the bank" plus paper profits
or losses (paper profits or losses are also called Unrealized Capital
Gains or Losses). "Money in the bank" means cash interest
and dividends and realized capital gains or losses from selling
the investment.
Median
Return
The median return of a group of investment managers reflects the
return associated with the manager ranked at the 50th percentile
(the 50th percentile is that point where half the managers had a
higher return, and half the managers had a lower return).
Money
Market Instruments
Debt instruments such as Treasury Bills or corporate paper with
a maturity of less than one year.
Mortgage-Backed
Securities (MBS)
A MBS is a debt instrument that has an ownership claim in a pool
of mortgages or an obligation that is secured by such a pool.
Mortgage
Investment
A mortgage investment is a debt instrument collateralized by real
assets (e.g., a building) and requiring periodic payments consisting
of interest and principal.
Nominal
Rate of Return
A measure of the earnings performance of a fund measured in current
dollars.
Passive
Management
Buying or investing in a portfolio that represents a market index
without attempting to search out mispriced sectors or securities.
Portfolio
A collection of investments owned by an investor.
Private
Equity
An equity investment in a private (not publicly traded) company.
Real
Rate of Return
The nominal rate of return minus the rate of inflation.
Realized/Unrealized
Terms generally used to describe Capital Gains or losses. A gain
or loss is generally realized when an asset is sold; prior to sale
the gain or loss is unrealized and it is only a potential or "paper"
gain or loss.
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