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News Release


February 26, 2003

$1.8-billion surplus to be invested in Albertans' priorities 

Capital projects, debt payment, and seed money for sustainability fund, Nelson reports in third-quarter fiscal update


Highlights of third-quarter report:

  • 2002-03 surplus expected to be $1.8 billion, $1 billion higher than originally forecast 
  • Surplus to be allocated as follows: approximately $900 million to new capital account; $500 million to provincial debt pay down; and the remainder to new sustainability fund 
  • Oil price now pegged at $28.86 U.S./barrel; natural gas price estimated at $4.65 Cdn/mcf

Edmonton... A higher-than-expected provincial surplus for the 2002-03 fiscal year will be applied to address critical infrastructure needs, further debt reduction and to kick-start Alberta's new sustainability fund. 

The 2002-03 economic cushion, estimated at $1.8 billion, was announced by Finance Minister Patricia Nelson as part of her third-quarter report to Albertans on February 26. 

"Every dollar of this surplus will be dedicated to priority areas for Albertans, beginning with a major new investment of $910 million to address pressing infrastructure needs in the province," said Premier Ralph Klein. "Albertans need new infrastructure to accommodate the dramatic growth the province is experiencing." 

Of the $1.8-billion surplus, $910 million will go directly into the capital account. The capital account is part of the government's overall capital plan that will be included in the upcoming provincial budget. The remainder will be divided between debt pay down of $500 million and seed money for the new Alberta sustainability fund. These allocations are based on the principles of the new fiscal framework legislated in the Financial Statutes Amendment Act. 

Eliminating the province's remaining accumulated debt remains a priority for the Alberta government, Nelson stressed. "We're committing half a billion dollars of this cushion to the debt," Nelson said. "We've come a long way in making Alberta debt-free, work which has already freed up $1.2 billion in savings annually that goes right back into priority program areas." 

Nelson also stressed the importance of setting up the new sustainability fund as quickly as possible. "The volatility of resource revenue has produced an improved forecast for this fiscal year, but we can't rely on these upward swings to offset the impact of disasters and decreased revenue in other areas," said Nelson. "It's time to bring some predictability to the government revenue picture and get off the energy roller coaster. The sustainability fund will do just that." 

Because of the time delay in the receipt of natural gas royalties, some of the cash from the economic cushion will not be received until 2003-04. This cash will be transferred to the sustainability fund.

Positive third quarter forecasts for resource revenue and income taxes helped offset lower than budgeted federal transfers, weak investment income and the continued cost of disaster assistance. Alberta's strong economic growth and low unemployment has increased the income tax forecast by $1 billion from the budget forecast and the forecast for non-renewable resource revenue is up $2.7 billion from budget estimates. Natural gas prices are now expected to average $4.65 Cdn per thousand cubic feet, up $1.65 from budget. Oil prices are anticipated to average $28.86 US per barrel, $8.86 higher than budgeted. 

"Establishing a capital account and sustainability fund is part of our overall fiscal plan," said Nelson. "These initiatives address Albertans' concerns about funding for infrastructure and transportation and stabilize funding for other priorities like health and education."

 

2002-03 Budget

2002-03 Second Quarter Update

2002-03 Third Quarter Update

Revenue

$19.9 billion

$20.5 billion

$22.6 billion

Resource Revenue

$ 3.7 billion

$ 5.0 billion

$6.4 billion

Expense

$19 billion

$20.2 billion

$20.7 billion

Oil price (WTI, US$/bbl)

$20.00

$26.25

$28.86

Natural Gas (Cdn$/mcf)

$ 3.00

$ 3.65

$4.65

Economic Cushion

$724 million

$199 million

$1.8 billion

Accumulated Debt (net)

$5.08 billion

N/A

$4.76 billion

 

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Backgrounder - Alberta's Debt Reduction to date

  • Alberta's debt peaked at $22.7 billion in 1993-94.

  • Since that time Alberta has eliminated $18 billion from the provincial debt.

  • This steady debt reduction plan has saved Albertans more than $1.2 billion annually in interest costs.

  • We are about 10 years ahead of the legislated debt elimination schedule that requires the debt to be eliminated by 2025.

Year

Accumulated Debt ($million)

Debt Reduction ($ million)

1993-94 $22,701  
1994-95 $21,451 $ 1,250
1995-96 $20,531 $    920
1996-97 $17,773 $ 2,758
1997-98 $14,976 $ 2,797
1998-99 $14,106 $    870
1999-2000 $12,020 $ 2,086
2000-01 $ 8,195 $ 3,825
2001-02 $ 5,261 $ 2,934
2002-03 (forecast) $ 4,761 $    500
Total debt paid off since 1993-94   $17,940
Total accumulated debt remaining (less cash set aside for future repayments)   $ 4,761

 

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For media inquiries, please contact:

Jerry Bellikka
Director of Communications
Alberta Finance
(780) 427-5364
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