WTCN31 CWHX 190600 CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.30 AM NDT SATURDAY 19 JULY 2003. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.30 AM NDT ... HURRICANE DANNY TRACKING SOUTH OF THE GRAND BANKS... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.30 AM NDT...HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.1 N AND LONGITUDE 49.9 W... ABOUT 360 NAUTICAL MILES OR 665 KM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS... 120 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1005 MB. DANNY IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS... 28 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH HURRICANE DANNY HAS LIKELY PEAKED IN INTENSITY. DANNY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH OF THE GRAND BANKS AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS MORNING AND DEVELOP A DUE EASTWARD HEADING THIS AFTERNOON. DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND NDT MB KTS KMH JUL 19 3.30 AM 41.1N 49.9W 1005 65 120 JUL 19 3.30 PM 42.3N 46.2W 1006 60 111 JUL 20 3.30 AM 42.4N 42.3W 1008 50 93 JUL 20 3.30 PM 41.6N 39.8W 1010 45 83 JUL 21 3.30 AM 40.2N 38.5W 1011 45 83 JUL 21 3.30 PM 38.9N 37.9W 1013 40 74 JUL 22 3.30 AM 37.4N 37.8W 1014 40 74 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY NONE 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS FORECAST REGION. A BRIEF PERIOD OF 15 TO 25-KT NORTHEAST WINDS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS DANNY MOVES BY TO THE SOUTH. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS IN THE HOURS LEADING UP TO BULLETIN TIME..HURRICANE DANNY EXHIBITED A CLEAR EYE AND IMPRESSIVE CLOUD SIGNATURE FOR SUCH A HIGH LATITUDE HURRICANE. ALSO INTERESTING IS THE FACT THAT DANNY'S MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS VERY HIGH..ABOUT 1005 MB..DUE TO HIGH SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OUTSIDE OF THE STORM CIRCULATION. TYPICALLY MINIMAL- STRENGTH HURRICANES HAVE CENTRAL PRESSURES AROUND 987 MB IN THE TROPICS. SPECIFICALLY..THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF DANNY IS PINCHING THE PRESSURE FIELD ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE STORM. THIS IS APPARENT IN QUIKSCAT DATA FROM FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS ARE THEREFORE ENHANCED SOUTH OF THE TRACK WITH A LIMITED AREA OF STORM AND GALE FORCE WINDS ON THE NORTH SIDE. B. PROGNOSTIC AT FORECAST TIME HURRICANE DANNY WAS APPROACHING A NARROW TONGUE OF COOL WATERS..AROUND 20C..JUST EAST OF 50W. THIS WILL LIKELY MARK AN END TO THE WELL-ORGANIZED INNER STRUCTURE AND THE STORM IS FORECAST