WTCN31 CWHX 060600 CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT SATURDAY 06 SEPTEMBER 2003. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT ... FABIAN NOW TRACKING NORTHEAST.... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 N AND LONGITUDE 63.4 W... ABOUT 150 NAUTICAL MILES OR 285 KM NORTH NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS... 194 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 953 MB. FABIAN IS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS... 28 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH FABIAN IS CONTINUING TO TRACK NORTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE TODAY. DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 06 3.00 AM 34.7N 63.4W 953 105 194 SEP 06 3.00 PM 37.2N 61.5W 954 100 185 SEP 07 3.00 AM 39.2N 58.6W 959 90 167 SEP 07 3.00 PM 42.0N 54.2W 972 80 148 SEP 08 3.00 AM 45.0N 47.1W 985 70 130 SEP 08 3.00 PM 51.6N 39.6W 980 60 111 POST-TROPICAL SEP 09 3.00 AM 59.8N 34.8W 970 60 111 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AVALON PENINSULA ON SUNDAY HOWEVER WE BELIEVE THESE SHOWERS..IF THEY OCCUR..WILL NOT BE HEAVY. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED THAT MODERATE SURF CONDITIONS AND ASSOCIATED RIP TIDES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY GALE FORCE WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF LAURENTIAN FAN.. AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS QUIKSCAT DATA PROVED VERY USEFUL IN IDENTIFYING THE WIND FIELD FRIDAY EVENING AND WIND FIELDS HAVE BEEN FINE-TUNED ACCORDINGLY. B. PROGNOSTIC FABIAN HAS CLEARLY MADE THE NORTHEASTWARD TURN AND THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OUR THINKING FROM BEFORE REGARDING TRACK AND INTENSITY OTHER THAN THE FACT WE BELIEVE THE HURRICANE WILL UNDERGO EXTRA- TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT MOVES PAST THE GRAND BANKS AND EVENTUALLY BECOME A STRONG HIGH LATITUDE STORM SOUTH OF GREENLAND. C. PUBLIC WEATHER WE NO LONGER EXPECT HEAVY RAINS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 06/06Z 180 150 120 120 120 120 60 80 30 70 30 30 06/18Z 180 155 120 110 115 120 50 80 30 70 35 30 07/06Z 175 180 120 110 125 100 40 30 60 60 20 25 07/18Z 165 210 120 120 130 110 30 15 50 60 15 10 08/06Z 160 245 120 120 120 140 20 5 35 55 5 0 08/18Z 220 300 300 200 150 200 150 80 0 0 0 0 09/06Z 280 380 300 250 180 200 180 120 0 0 0 0 CHC TRAPPED FETCH WAVE MODEL CONTINUES SHOWING VERY HIGH WAVE HEIGHTS TO THE EAST SIDE OF FABIAN...ESPECIALLY AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE GRAND BANKS OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY. END FOGARTY