WTCN31 CWHX 061255 AAA
CORRECTED CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT
SATURDAY 06 SEPTEMBER 2003.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT

 ... FABIAN WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS....

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
36.0 N AND LONGITUDE 62.4 W... ABOUT 525 NAUTICAL MILES OR 970 KM
SOUTH OF HALIFAX. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 100
KNOTS... 185 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 955 MB. FABIAN IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS... 28 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 06  9.00 AM  36.0N  62.4W   955  100  185
SEP 06  9.00 PM  37.9N  59.9W   957   95  176
SEP 07  9.00 AM  40.6N  56.4W   966   85  157
SEP 07  9.00 PM  43.5N  50.7W   984   75  139
SEP 08  9.00 AM  48.3N  43.4W   980   65  120 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08  9.00 PM  55.7N  37.2W   970   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.00 AM  61.8N  36.6W   965   60  111 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE AVALON
PENINSULA ON SUNDAY HOWEVER WE BELIEVE THESE SHOWERS..IF THEY
OCCUR..WILL NOT BE HEAVY.

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED THAT MODERATE SURF CONDITIONS AND ASSOCIATED
RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
TODAY AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND BEGINNING TONIGHT AND
LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHERN  PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. GALE FORCE WIND
WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF LAURENTIAN FAN
AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
GRAND BANKS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR JUST SOUTH OF THE
GRAND BANKS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE HURRICANE AS IT TRACKS TO
THE NORTHEAST.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
QUIKSCAT DATA PROVED VERY USEFUL IN IDENTIFYING THE WIND FIELD FRIDAY
EVENING AND WIND FIELDS HAVE BEEN FINE-TUNED ACCORDINGLY.

B. PROGNOSTIC
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN OUR THINKING FROM BEFORE REGARDING TRACK
AND INTENSITY. WE BELIEVE THE HURRICANE WILL UNDERGO EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION AS IT MOVES PAST THE GRAND BANKS AND EVENTUALLY BECOME
A STRONG HIGH LATITUDE STORM SOUTH OF GREENLAND.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
HEAVY RAINS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA.

D. MARINE WEATHER

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
06/12Z  180 150 120 115   115 120  55  80    30  70  30  30
07/00Z  175 165 120 110   120 110  45  55    45  65  25  25
07/12Z  170 195 120 115   125 105  35  20    55  60  15  15
08/00Z  160 225 120 120   125 125  35  20    40  55  10   5
08/12Z  190 270 210 160   135 170  85  40    15  25   0   0
09/00Z  250 340 300 225   165 200 165 100     0   0   0   0
09/12Z  310 420 300 275   195 200 195 140     0   0   0   0


CHC TRAPPED FETCH WAVE MODEL CONTINUES SHOWING VERY HIGH WAVE
HEIGHTS TO THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF FABIAN...ESPECIALLY AS IT MOVES
TOWARDS THE GRAND BANKS OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY.

END FOGARTY/STEEVES