WTCN31 CWHX 071200
CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT SUNDAY
07 SEPTEMBER 2003.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT

 ... FABIAN BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL STORM...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 AM ADT... HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
40.5 N AND LONGITUDE 53.5 W... ABOUT 355 NAUTICAL MILES OR 655 KM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF SABLE ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 88 KNOTS... 163 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 963
MB. FABIAN IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS... 46 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

FABIAN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL STORM. FABIAN IS LIKELY TO INCREASE ITS
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 07  9.00 AM  40.5N  53.5W   963   88  163
SEP 07  9.00 PM  43.8N  48.5W   979   75  139 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08  9.00 AM  48.0N  42.4W   991   63  117 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08  9.00 PM  53.1N  37.2W   982   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.00 AM  58.0N  36.8W   972   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.00 PM  60.2N  40.0W   969   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 10  9.00 AM  60.8N  44.0W   967   60  111 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2.5 METRES MEASURED AT BUOY OUTSIDE
HALIFAX HARBOUR THIS MORNING. WAVES HAVE PROBABLY PEAKED ALONG
THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. SIMILAR WAVE HEIGHTS EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
STORM WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALVES OF THE
SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS.  GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN HALVES OF THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS THE SOUTHEASTERN
HALF OF THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF
LAURENTIAN FAN.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
POSITION BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.

B. PROGNOSTIC
FABIAN HAS BEGUN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. WHILE DEEP CONVECTION
REMAINS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.. THERE ARE SIGNS OF SHEARING. FABIAN
IS ACCELERATING FORWARD UNDER THE UPPER FLOW.
FABIAN WILL MOVE OVER COLDER WATER THIS MORNING AND IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. THERE IS FORECAST DEEPENING AGAIN ON MONDAY AS
BAROCLINIC DYNAMICS TAKES OVER.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

D. MARINE WEATHER

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
07/12Z  200 200 125 125   100 100  75  75    65  65  35  35
08/00Z  225 210 160 125   100 100  65  65    45  45  10  10
08/12Z  265 250 235 135   125 135  90  75    15  15   0   0
09/00Z  310 310 310 160   175 185 150 105     0   0   0   0
09/12Z  475 475 475 385   250 250 235 150     0   0   0   0
10/00Z  600 600 600 600   275 275 275 210     0   0   0   0
10/12Z  600 600 600 600   225 225 225 290     0   0   0   0

END STEEVES