WTCN31 CWHX 080000
CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 PM NDT SUNDAY
07 SEPTEMBER 2003.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.30 AM NDT

 ... FABIAN BECOMING A POST-TROPICAL STORM...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.30 PM NDT... HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
44.4 N AND LONGITUDE 48.5 W... ABOUT 235 NAUTICAL MILES OR 435 KM
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 70 KNOTS... 130 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 987 MB. FABIAN
IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS... 57 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

FABIAN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL STORM. FABIAN IS LIKELY TO INCREASE ITS SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          NDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 07  9.30 PM  44.4N  48.5W   987   70  130
SEP 08  9.30 AM  48.7N  41.9W   994   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08  9.30 PM  54.0N  35.5W   997   55  102 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.30 AM  58.8N  35.1W   994   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.30 PM  60.8N  38.9W   994   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 10  9.30 AM  61.0N  40.2W  1002   45   83 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
NONE

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
STORM WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN HALVES OF THE
SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS. GALE WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS AND THE NORTHWESTERN
HALVES OF THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
POSITION BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND APPEARED TO HAVE SHIFTED
SLIGHTLY WEST OF PREVIOUS TRACK. FABIAN PASSED WITHIN 90 N MILES
OF BUOY 44140 THIS AFTERNOON. PEAK WIND AT THE BUOY WAS 38 KNOTS
WITH GALES ONLY OCCURRING WITHIN ABOUT 150 N MILES OF HURRICANE.
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE THEREFORE VERY CLOSE TO THE CENTRE ON THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARELIKELY RESTRICTED
TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK.

B. PROGNOSTIC
HURRICANE FABIAN SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL
INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY MONDAY MORNING. AT THAT TIME
DEEPENING WILL OCCUR AS FABIAN MOVES TO LOWER HEIGHTS EVENTUALLY
TO BE CAPTURED UNDER AN UPPER LOW JUST EAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
GREENLAND.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER

D. MARINE WEATHER

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
08/00Z  210 150 100 120   120  90  30  60    30  50  10   0
08/12Z  210 150 100 120   120  90  30  60     0   0   0   0
09/00Z  300 300 300 300   200 200 100   0     0   0   0   0
09/12Z  400 400 400 400   240  90   0   0     0   0   0   0
10/00Z  500 500 500 500   240  90   0   0     0   0   0   0
10/12Z  500 500 500 500     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0

END STEEVES/SZETO