WTCN31 CWHX 081200
CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 AM NDT MONDAY
08 SEPTEMBER 2003.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST BULLETIN ON FABIAN NOW THAT IT IS EAST OF
THE RESPONSE ZONE.

 ... GALES NOW BEYOND NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS AS FABIAN MOVES OUT
INTO THE ATLANTIC ...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.30 AM NDT... HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
48.9 N AND LONGITUDE 40.5 W... ABOUT 495 NAUTICAL MILES OR 915 KM
EAST OF ST JOHNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65
KNOTS... 120 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 984 MB. FABIAN IS
MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 32 KNOTS... 59 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

FABIAN IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AS IT TURNS MORE TO THE NORTH OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          NDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 08  9.30 AM  48.9N  40.5W   984   65  120
SEP 08  9.30 PM  54.4N  35.0W   976   65  120 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.30 AM  59.3N  34.0W   970   65  120 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09  9.30 PM  60.8N  37.0W   970   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 10  9.30 AM  61.0N  41.0W   978   55  102 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
NONE.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALE AND STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS AND
THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS OF NEWFOUNDLAND
WILL BE ENDING THIS MORNING AS FABIAN CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE DISTRICT.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
LATEST POSITION BASED FROM SATELLITE IMAGES.

B. PROGNOSTIC
HURRICANE FABIAN WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL STORM
THIS MORNING..IF IT HASN'T BECOME ONE ALREADY..AS IT MOVES
OVER COLDER WATERS. HOWEVER IT WILL RE-INTENSIFY AS AN INTENSE
POST-TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES TO LOWER HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE LABRADOR SEA. BY TUESDAY EVENING
THE POST-TROPICAL STORM WILL BE CAPTURED BY AN UPPER LOW JUST EAST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF GREENLAND AND WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
THAT.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
NONE.

D. MARINE WEATHER

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
08/12Z  240 300 240 180   120 180  90  50    10  50  10   0
09/00Z  360 480 360 240   200 240 180   0     0  50   0   0
09/12Z  420 480 420 240   200 240 100  60    60  60   0   0
10/00Z  500 500 500 500   180 180 180 120     0   0   0   0
10/12Z  400 400 400 400   180 180 180 240     0   0   0   0


END SZETO/BOWYER