WTCN31 CWHX 060000
CANADIAN HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN 
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 PM NDT THURSDAY
05 AUGUST 2004.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12.30 AM NDT

 ...HURRICANE ALEX RACING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARDS AND
    EXITING THE GRAND BANKS BEFORE MIDNIGHT...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.30 PM NDT... HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.1 N
AND LONGITUDE 49.1 W... ABOUT 190 NAUTICAL MILES OR 350 KM EAST 
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
70 KNOTS... 130 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 980 MB. ALEX IS
MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 50 KNOTS...92 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          NDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
AUG 05  9.30 PM  45.1N  49.1W   980   70  130
AUG 06  3.30 AM  46.3N  43.6W   990   60  111 POST-TROPICAL
AUG 06  9.30 AM  46.9N  37.0W   994   55  102 POST-TROPICAL
AUG 06  3.30 PM  47.1N  31.6W   994   55  102 POST-TROPICAL
AUG 06  9.30 PM  47.2N  26.2W   994   55  102 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY

THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED THAT RAPID VARIATIONS IN HARBOUR WATER LEVELS 
BETWEEN 12 AM AND 3 AM LOCAL TIME ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN 
COAST OF THE AVALON PENINSULA (BETWEEN CAPE RACE AND CAPE SAINT 
FRANCIS) AND ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE BONAVISTA PENINSULA AND 
POSSIBLY CONCEPTION BAY.

ALSO..THE PUBLIC CAN EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE SURF CONDITIONS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT.
SWELL BETWEEN 2 TO 2 1/2 METRES IS EXPECTED.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
ALEX IS NOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST GRAND BANKS AND IS MOVING
RAPIDLY EAST NORTHEASTWARD.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTHERN 
HALF THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS. A STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR 
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS AND A GALE WARNING 
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GRAND BANKS.

SEAS NEAR 10 METRES ARE FORECAST OVER THE SOUTHERNMOST PARTS OF THE 
SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS THIS EVENING.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
ALEX IS EXITING THE GRAND BANKS SHELF EDGE AT FORECAST TIME AND WILL 
EXIT THE MARINE REGIONS JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

B. PROGNOSTIC
ALEX WILL MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT EXITS THE BANKS AREA AND 
BECOME POST-TROPICAL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
COMMENTS AS ABOVE.

D. MARINE WEATHER

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
06/00Z   50 175 130  50    40  70  50  30    20  25  15   0
06/06Z   40 185 140  40    25  85  65  10     0   0   0   0
06/12Z   30 180 150  30    10  80  75   0     0   0   0   0
06/18Z   30 180 160  30     0  75  75   0     0   0   0   0

END FOGARTY/MERCER/SZETO