WOCN31 CWHX 280600
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT 
TUESDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2004.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT

 ...RAIN WELL AHEAD OF JEANNE TO PUSH INTO NOVA SCOTIA TODAY ...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.8 N AND LONGITUDE 82.2 W... ABOUT 30 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 55 KM NORTHEAST OF ANDERSON . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS... 56 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 996 MB.
JEANNE IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS... 33 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 28  3.00 AM  34.8N  82.2W   996   30   56
SEP 28  3.00 PM  36.3N  78.2W  1000   25   46
SEP 29  3.00 AM  37.1N  73.8W  1003   25   46 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 29  3.00 PM  37.6N  69.4W  1004   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  3.00 AM  37.7N  65.7W  1005   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  3.00 PM  37.8N  62.7W  1006   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  3.00 AM  37.9N  60.3W  1007   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  3.00 PM  38.0N  58.0W  1008   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  3.00 AM  38.1N  56.0W  1008   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  3.00 PM  38.5N  54.0W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  3.00 AM  39.0N  52.0W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
RAIN WELL AHEAD OF THE REMNANTS OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
INTO NOVA SCOTIA TODAY. THIS RAIN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A
DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH IS INDEPENDENT OF JEANNE...
HOWEVER TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO FEED INTO
THIS SYSTEM MAKING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.
NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BY THE ATLANTIC STORM 
PREDICTION CENTRE.

SINCE JEANNE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CANADA
NO INLAND WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
JEANNE IS PREDICTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE MARINE AREAS AND
ONLY BE AT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH EVEN AT THAT. ACCORDINGLY 
GALES ARE NO LONGER FORECAST FOR MARITIME WATERS WITH JEANNE.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION ... INTENDED FOR METEOROLOGISTS.

A. ANALYSIS
JEANNE IS NOW TRACKING NORTHEAST AND CONTINUES TO VEER SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST.

B. PROGNOSTIC
THE GFS ETA AND CDN GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT 
REGARDING THE CURRENT TRACK.  ALL MODELS BRING JEANNE OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD JUST SOUTH OF CHESAPEAKE BAY AND CARRY IT
EASTWARD. ALSO JEANNE HAS TAKEN HER TIME RECURVING TO THE
NORTHEAST SO THE CURRENT TRACK IS NOW SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH
THAN PREVIOUSLY BUT STILL WELL SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CANADIAN WATERS.
IF JEANNE WERE TO FOLLOW THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK SPECIAL
MESSAGES FROM THE CHC MAY CEASE. HOWEVER WE WILL CONTINUE
MESSAGING UNTIL IT IS CERTAIN THAT A TURN TOWARDS THE EAST OCCURS 
WELL SOUTH OF OUR MARINE DISTRICT AND THAT NO GALES WILL MOVE
INTO THOSE WATERS.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
THE RAIN BAND IS EVIDENT ON THE MT. HOLLY NJ RADAR AND IS STARTING
TO BE PICKED UP BY THE BOSTON RADAR. AS DISCUSSED EARLIER... AS
WAS THE CASE WITH TROPICAL STORM GASTON IN EARLY SEPTEMBER WE
EXPECT THAT THERE WILL BE A TIGHT GRADIENT IN THE RAIN PATTERN WITH
A FINE LINE BETWEEN HEAVY RAIN AND NO RAIN. IN THE CASE OF GASTON
THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. A SIMILAR
FORECAST CHALLENGE EXISTS WITH THIS RAIN FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH 
NOVA SCOTIA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

D. MARINE WEATHER
NONE.

END SAULNIER