WOCN31 CWHX 281200 CCB
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT 
TUESDAY 28 SEPTEMBER 2004.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 PM ADT

-- CORRECTION TO INITIAL CENTRAL PRESSURE--

 ... RAIN WELL AHEAD OF JEANNE TO PUSH INTO NOVA SCOTIA TODAY...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 AM ADT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 N AND LONGITUDE 80.6 W... ABOUT 40 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 80 KM SOUTHWEST OF GREENSBORO . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS... 46 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1002
MB. JEANNE IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 19 KNOTS... 35 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 28  9.00 AM  35.6N  80.6W  1002   25   46
SEP 28  9.00 PM  37.0N  76.3W  1002   25   46
SEP 29  9.00 AM  37.4N  71.6W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 29  9.00 PM  37.7N  67.6W  1005   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  9.00 AM  37.8N  64.2W  1006   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  9.00 PM  37.9N  61.5W  1007   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  9.00 AM  38.0N  59.0W  1008   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  9.00 PM  38.1N  57.0W  1008   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  9.00 AM  38.3N  55.0W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  9.00 PM  38.6N  53.0W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  9.00 AM  39.0N  51.0W  1009   30   56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
RAIN WELL AHEAD OF THE REMNANTS OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
INTO NOVA SCOTIA TODAY. THIS RAIN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A
DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH IS INDEPENDENT OF JEANNE...
HOWEVER TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM JEANNE IS EXPECTED TO FEED INTO
THIS SYSTEM MAKING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.
NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BY THE ATLANTIC STORM 
PREDICTION CENTRE.

SINCE JEANNE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CANADA
NO INLAND WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
JEANNE IS PREDICTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE MARINE AREAS AND
ONLY BE AT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH EVEN AT THAT. ACCORDINGLY 
GALES ARE NO LONGER FORECAST FOR MARITIME WATERS WITH JEANNE.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION ... INTENDED FOR METEOROLOGISTS.

A. ANALYSIS
JEANNE IS NOW TRACKING NORTHEAST AND CONTINUING TO VEER SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SOLID NORTHEAST MOTION AT
THIS POINT.

B. PROGNOSTIC
THE GFS ETA AND CDN GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT 
REGARDING THE CURRENT TRACK.  ALL MODELS BRING JEANNE OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF CHESAPEAKE BAY AND
CARRY IT EASTWARD. ALSO JEANNE HAS TAKEN HER TIME RECURVING TO THE 
NORTHEAST SO THE CURRENT TRACK IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH THAN 
PREVIOUSLY BUT STILL WELL SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CANADIAN WATERS.WE WILL 
CONTINUE MESSAGING UNTIL IT IS CERTAIN THAT A TURN TOWARDS THE EAST 
OCCURS WELL SOUTH OF OUR MARINE DISTRICT AND THAT NO GALES WILL MOVE 
INTO THOSE WATERS.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
THE RAIN BAND IS EVIDENT ON THE BOSTON RADAR. AS DISCUSSED
EARLIER... AS WAS THE CASE WITH TROPICAL STORM GASTON IN EARLY 
SEPTEMBER WE EXPECT THAT THERE WILL BE A TIGHT GRADIENT IN THE RAIN 
PATTERN WITH A FINE LINE BETWEEN HEAVY RAIN AND NO RAIN. ACCORDINGLY 
THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD FALL JUST SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA.
MATTERS ARE FURTHER COMPLICATED BY A WEAKENING COLD FRONT OVER 
NORTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK AT FORECAST TIME AND MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST. 
THE ADDITIONAL BAROCLINICITY COULD RESULT IN AN INTERESTING 
PRECIPITATION FIELD.

D. MARINE WEATHER
NONE.

END SAULNIER/BOWYER