WOCN31 CWHX 290600
POST-TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT 
WEDNESDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2004.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT

 ... POST-TROPICAL JEANNE BACK OUT OVER OPEN WATER...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.00 AM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.0 N AND LONGITUDE 73.2 W... ABOUT 45 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 85 KM SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS... 56 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 999
MB. JEANNE IS MOVING EAST AT 20 KNOTS... 28 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
SEP 29  3.00 AM  40.0N  73.2W   999   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 29  3.00 PM  40.5N  69.4W  1000   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  3.00 AM  40.9N  66.1W  1000   35   65 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 30  3.00 PM  41.4N  63.0W  1000   35   65 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  3.00 AM  42.0N  60.4W  1000   35   65 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 01  3.00 PM  43.0N  57.8W   999   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  3.00 AM  43.7N  55.8W   998   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 02  3.00 PM  44.7N  54.6W   996   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  3.00 AM  45.8N  53.7W   994   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  3.00 PM  47.2N  53.0W   992   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 04  3.00 AM  48.5N  52.7W   990   45   83 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS NOW MOVED OFFSHORE AND IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
TO IMPACT INLAND REGIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR GEORGES BANK WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE 
AND EAST SCOTIAN SLOPE.  GALE WARNING IS LIKELY FOR LAURENTIAN FAN
ON FRIDAY.

A. ANALYSIS
SURFACE OBS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT JEANNE HAS MOVED
OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST ALONG 40.0N WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE STILL 
NEAR 999 MB AND A FORWARD SPEED OF ABOUT 20 KNOTS. JEANNE NOW LOOKS 
VERY BAROCLINIC WITH A PRONOUNCED COMMA SHAPE.

B. PROGNOSTIC
NOW THAT JEANNE HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WE SHOULD START TO SEE IT 
SLOW DOWN ITS FORWARD MOTION WITH RESPECT TO THE FLOW AS IT BECOMES 
MORE A PART OF THE FLOW AND MOVES WITH THE ADVANCING SHORT WAVE 
RATHER THAN JUST WITH THE UPPER FLOW.

THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RESEMBLES THE ETA INITIALLY DUE TO ITS 
MORE ACCURATE INITIAL POSITION AND MORE NORTHERN TRACK. AFTER
48 TO 60 HOURS THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE CAPTURED BY THE UPPER LOW 
ADVANCING FROM THE SOUTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND THEN STEERED 
NORTHWARD OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD... WHICH IS REFLECTED BETTER BY THE GFS.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS MOVED OFFSHORE.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 
EXPECTED ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA TODAY AND RAIN OVER SOUTHEAST 
NEWFOUNDLAND WILL TAPER TO SCATTERED SHOWERS LATER THIS MORNING.

D. MARINE WEATHER
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MARITIME WATERS.
THE GALES ARE EXTENDED NORTH OF THE TRACK BECAUSE OF THE
DEVELOPING GRADIENT AND NOT IN THE TRADITIONAL RIGHT-OF-TRACK 
LOCATION.

END SAULNIER