WOCN31 CWHX 290600 CCA POST-TROPICAL STORM JEANNE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 AM ADT WEDNESDAY 29 SEPTEMBER 2004. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 AM ADT ... POST-TROPICAL JEANNE BACK OUT OVER OPEN WATER... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.00 AM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 N AND LONGITUDE 73.2 W... ABOUT 45 NAUTICAL MILES OR 85 KM SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS... 56 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 999 MB. JEANNE IS MOVING EAST AT 20 KNOTS... 28 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH SEP 29 3.00 AM 40.0N 73.2W 999 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 29 3.00 PM 40.5N 69.4W 1000 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 AM 40.9N 66.1W 1000 35 65 POST-TROPICAL SEP 30 3.00 PM 41.4N 63.0W 1000 35 65 POST-TROPICAL OCT 01 3.00 AM 42.0N 60.4W 1000 35 65 POST-TROPICAL OCT 01 3.00 PM 43.0N 57.8W 999 40 74 POST-TROPICAL OCT 02 3.00 AM 43.7N 55.8W 998 40 74 POST-TROPICAL OCT 02 3.00 PM 44.7N 54.6W 996 40 74 POST-TROPICAL OCT 03 3.00 AM 45.8N 53.7W 994 45 83 POST-TROPICAL OCT 03 3.00 PM 47.2N 53.0W 992 45 83 POST-TROPICAL OCT 04 3.00 AM 48.5N 52.7W 990 45 83 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS NOW MOVED OFFSHORE AND IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO IMPACT INLAND REGIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR GEORGES BANK WEST SCOTIAN SLOPE AND EAST SCOTIAN SLOPE. A GALE WARNING IS LIKELY FOR LAURENTIAN FAN ON FRIDAY. A. ANALYSIS SURFACE OBS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT JEANNE HAS MOVED OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST ALONG 40.0N WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE STILL NEAR 999 MB AND A FORWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 20 KNOTS. JEANNE NOW LOOKS VERY BAROCLINIC WITH A PRONOUNCED COMMA SHAPE. B. PROGNOSTIC NOW THAT JEANNE HAS BECOME POST-TROPICAL WE SHOULD START TO SEE IT SLOW DOWN ITS FORWARD MOTION WITH RESPECT TO THE FLOW AS IT BECOMES MORE A PART OF THE FLOW AND MOVES WITH THE ADVANCING SHORT WAVE RATHER THAN JUST WITH THE UPPER FLOW. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK RESEMBLES THE ETA INITIALLY DUE TO ITS MORE ACCURATE INITIAL POSITION AND MORE NORTHERN TRACK. AFTER 48 TO 60 HOURS THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE CAPTURED BY THE UPPER LOW ADVANCING FROM THE SOUTH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND THEN STEERED NORTHWARD OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD... WHICH IS REFLECTED BETTER BY THE GFS. C. PUBLIC WEATHER THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS MOVED OFFSHORE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA TODAY AND RAIN OVER SOUTHEAST NEWFOUNDLAND WILL TAPER TO SCATTERED SHOWERS LATER THIS MORNING. D. MARINE WEATHER GALE FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MARITIME WATERS. THE GALES ARE EXTENDED NORTH OF THE TRACK BECAUSE OF THE DEVELOPING GRADIENT AND NOT IN THE TRADITIONAL RIGHT-OF-TRACK LOCATION. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 45 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/06Z 60 0 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/18Z 90 0 0 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02/06Z 120 0 0 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02/18Z 120 0 0 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03/06Z 150 15 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 03/18Z 150 15 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04/06Z 150 30 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END SAULNIER