WOCN31 CWHX 101200
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 10.00 AM ADT 
SUNDAY 10 OCTOBER 2004.

 ... INTENSE STORM EXPECTED TO FORM TO THE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AS
NEWLY FORMED SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE PUMPS IN MOISTURE ...

NEWLY FORMED SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE ... CURRENTLY PASSING JUST
TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA ... IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARDS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONG TROPICAL INGREDIENTS ... SUCH
AS RAIN AND CIRCULATION ... WILL FEED INTO ANOTHER NEWLY FORMING 
STORM TO THE SOUTH OF THE MARITIMES.

THIS NEW SYSTEM ... WHICH HAS BEEN ANTICIPATED FOR MANY DAYS ...
IS APPEARING ON SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE NORTH OF LATITUDE 35
DEGREES NORTH ... WHICH IS WELL NORTH OF NICOLE. THERE IS NOT
MUCH YET IN THE WAY OF SURFACE REPORTS TO CONFIRM THIS NEW LOW
BUT THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS IMPRESSIVE. MOST COMPUTER MODELS
HAVE PREDICTED ITS FORMATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THESE
MODELS PREDICT THAT THE NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL ABSORB THE
SUBTROPICAL STORM ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS VARY CONSIDERABLY
BETWEEN THE MODELS.

THE US NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTRE IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON SUBTROPICAL 
STORM NICOLE AND ARE CONCERNED THAT IT COULD DEVELOP INTO A FULL 
TROPICAL STORM. SHOULD THIS HAPPEN IT COULD POSE SIGNIFICANT 
COMPLICATIONS FOR THE FORECASTS FOR MARINE AREAS WELL SOUTH OF
THE MARITIMES. HOWEVER WE STILL ANTICIPATE THAT IT WOULD BECOME 
ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

BECAUSE THIS LARGE DEVELOPING SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE PURELY 
TROPICAL THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE WILL CARRY THE
RESPONSIBILITY FOR ALL BULLETINS ... AND HAS ALREADY ISSUED HEAVY 
RAINFALL AND WIND WARNINGS FOR MUCH OF THE MARITIMES. HOWEVER
BECAUSE OF ITS TROPICAL CONNECTION IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT
RAINFALL COULD BE QUITE SIGNIFICANT GIVING RISE TO THE THREAT OF 
LOCAL FLOODING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN POSE A THREAT AT THIS
TIME OF YEAR WHILE THE TREES STILL HAVE MOST OF THEIR LEAVES AND 
THERE IS A RISK OF FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS.

SHOULD SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE BE EXPECTED TO SURVIVE LONGER AND 
POSE A SPECIFIC THREAT TO CANADA OR HER WATERS THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE WILL COMMENCE DEDICATED BULLETINS.

MEANWHILE NO OTHER INFORMATION STATMENTS ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME 
FROM THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE. CONCERNED INTERESTS SHOULD 
CONTINUE TO MONITOR BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE ATLANTIC STORM
PREDICTION CENTRE AS WELL AS TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR BULLETINS 
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE IN THE EVENT THAT
THEY ARE REQUIRED.

END/BOWYER