WOCN31 CWHX 280000 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT WEDNESDAY 27 JULY 2005. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT ...TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN SHOWING SIGNS OF REORGANIZATION... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.00 PM ADT... TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 N AND LONGITUDE 69.7 W... ABOUT 270 NAUTICAL MILES OR 500 KM WEST NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1000 MB. FRANKLIN IS DRIFTING NORTH NEAR 6 KNOTS... 11 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH JUL 27 9.00 PM 34.0N 69.7W 1000 45 83 JUL 28 9.00 AM 36.5N 67.6W 998 50 93 JUL 28 9.00 PM 38.5N 65.4W 997 55 102 JUL 29 9.00 AM 40.4N 62.6W 999 45 83 JUL 29 9.00 PM 42.2N 59.2W 1003 35 65 POST-TROPICAL JUL 30 9.00 AM 44.3N 55.5W 1005 30 56 POST-TROPICAL JUL 30 9.00 PM 46.5N 51.8W 1007 30 56 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OVER CANADIAN PROVINCES IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY STRONG WINDS FROM FRANKLIN ARE EXPECTED TO REACH LAURENTIAN FAN AND THE GRAND BANKS ON SATURDAY. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS THE WIND SHEAR OVER FRANKLIN HAS DECREASED DURING THE DAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY NOW SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM CIRCULATION. QUIKSCAT IMAGERY EARLIER TODAY INDICATED SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED. B. PROGNOSTIC DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR HAS BEEN INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION..HOWEVER..SHEAR MAGNITUDES HAVE BEEN DECREASING THIS EVENING. THE SHEAR-TENDENCY PRODUCT FROM CIMSS ALSO INDICATES A SLACKENING IN THE SHEAR AHEAD OF FRANKLIN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT..WE ARE EXPECTING SOME MODEST INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO 55 KTS. THE STORM WILL ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. FRANKLIN WILL UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION DURING THAT PERIOD AND SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME HIGHLY SKEWED TO THE RIGHT (SOUTHEAST) SIDE OF THE STROM. FRANKLIN WILL ALSO BE ENCOUNTERING COLDER SSTS BEYOND 36 HOURS WHICH WILL LEAD TO WEAKENING BARRING ANY POSSIBLE INTENSIFICATION ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. A MORE THOROUGH ANALYSIS AND PROGNOSIS WILL APPEAR IN THE NEXT BULLETIN TO BE ISSUED AT 3 AM ADT THURSDAY. C. PUBLIC WEATHER IT IS TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHAT..IF ANY..IMPACT FRANKLIN WILL HAVE OVER LAND. THE ONLY POTENTIAL EFFECT WOULD BE RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEAST NEWFOUNDLAND ON SATURDAY. THE PRESENCE OF FRANKLIN MAY ALSO AFFECT THE MOVEMENT OF A FRONTAL ZONE TO ITS NORTH WHICH IS OFTEN THE CASE. A MORE COMPLETE ANALYSIS WILL ACCOMPANY THE 3 AM BULLETIN. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 28/00Z 30 90 90 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28/12Z 65 90 90 60 30 40 40 30 0 0 0 0 29/00Z 80 90 75 50 40 50 40 25 0 0 0 0 29/12Z 70 90 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/00Z 0 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/12Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END FOGARTY/MILLER