WOCN31 CWHX 281800 TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.00 PM ADT THURSDAY 28 JULY 2005. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.00 PM ADT ... FRANKLIN BECOMES A BETTER ORGANIZED TROPICAL SYSTEM... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 3.00 PM ADT... TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 N AND LONGITUDE 68.5 W... ABOUT 275 NAUTICAL MILES OR 510 KM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1000 MB. FRANKLIN IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS... 18 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH JUL 28 3.00 PM 36.8N 68.5W 1000 45 83 JUL 29 3.00 AM 38.4N 66.2W 997 50 93 JUL 29 3.00 PM 40.2N 63.1W 997 50 93 JUL 30 3.00 AM 42.3N 59.5W 1001 40 74 JUL 30 3.00 PM 44.5N 54.1W 1003 35 65 POST-TROPICAL JUL 31 3.00 AM 46.5N 49.0W 1005 30 56 POST-TROPICAL JUL 31 3.00 PM 48.7N 43.1W 1007 30 56 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY ON SATURDAY PERIODS OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND AS THE REMNANTS OF FRANKLIN PASS TO THE SOUTH. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY STRONG EASTERLIES ARE PREDICTED OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MARITIMES MARINE DISTRICT. A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE EASTERLIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF EAST SCOTIAN SLOPE BY LATE FRIDAY. THESE GALES SHOULD SPREAD INTO LAURENTIAN FAN AND THE GRAND BANKS ON SATURDAY. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS AFTER A VERY RAGGED AND SHEARED LOOKING APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY YESTERDAY FRANKLIN HAS BECOME A WELL ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM TODAY. QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTRE. B. PROGNOSTIC THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS MUCH THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS BULLETIN EXCEPT THAT THE MOTION IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER BY DAY 3. REGIONAL GEM HAS A FASTER MOTION BUT OUR TRACK LEANS MORE TOWARD THE OFFICAL NHC FORECAST AS WELL AS A CONSENSUS OF OTHER MODELS. FRANKLIN WILL SPEND SOME TIME INITIALLY OVER WARMER WATERS SO SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 26C SST ISOTHERM APPEARS TO BE AROUND 40N LATITUDE IN FRANKLINS FORECAST PATH SO WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE STORM GETS THAT FAR NORTH. ONCE AGAIN FSU CYCLONE PHASE SPACE (CPS) ANALYSIS FROM THE GFDL INDICATES THE COMMENCEMENT OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AROUND 30/00Z AND COMPLETION AROUND 30/18Z. PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE TO THE LEFT OF THE STORM TRACK AT THAT TIME. C. PUBLIC WEATHER AFTER THE PERIOD OF TRANSITION THE MOISTURE FROM FRANKLIN MAY AFFECT THE AVALON PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. D. MARINE WEATHER THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH FRANKLIN WILL ROTATE TO THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM AS THE SYSTEM ACCELERATES. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 28/18Z 30 90 90 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29/06Z 80 90 80 40 30 50 30 0 0 0 0 0 29/18Z 80 90 90 40 30 50 30 0 0 0 0 0 30/06Z 90 100 80 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 30 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END/MILLER