WOCN31 CWHX 301200 POST-TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 AM NDT SATURDAY 30 JULY 2005. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12.30 PM NDT ...FRANKLIN MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 9.30 AM NDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.4 N AND LONGITUDE 51.0 W... ABOUT 110 NAUTICAL MILES OR 210 KM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS... 65 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1004 MB. FRANKLIN IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS... 43 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND NDT MB KTS KMH JUL 30 9.30 AM 45.4N 51.0W 1004 35 65 POST-TROPICAL JUL 30 3.30 PM 46.8N 48.4W 1004 35 65 POST-TROPICAL JUL 30 9.30 PM 49.3N 44.0W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL JUL 31 3.30 AM 52.1N 41.7W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL JUL 31 9.30 AM 57.0N 40.0W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 20 TO 30 MM RANGE HAVE ALREADY BEEN OBSERVED OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST NEWFOUNDLAND OVERNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 10 MM OR SO IS EXPECTED OVER THOSE REGIONS BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF LATE THIS MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY GALE FORCE WINDS OF 35 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH DURING THE DAY AROUND FRANKLIN. IT WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER NORTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GRAND BANKS TODAY. IT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTHERN GRAND BANKS EARLY THIS EVENING THEN AWAY TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHEAST EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA INDICATES THAT THE GALES AROUND FRANKLIN ARE MOSTLY CONFINED IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE..WITH MARGINAL GALES IN THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND WINDS GENERALLY BELOW GALE FORCE NORTH OF FRANKLIN. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SURFACE DATA..NOTABLY A SHIP REPORT JUST SOUTHEAST OF FRANKLIN REPORTING 35 KNOTS AT 09Z. BUOY 44138 OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GRAND BANKS BRIEFLY PEAKED TO 42 KNOTS OVERNIGHT IN THE SOUTHEASTERLIES AHEAD OF FRANKLIN AND WINDS THERE HAVE SINCE BACKED TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 KNOTS IN THE WAKE OF FRANKLIN. BUOY 44140..A BIT FURTHER SOUTHEAST OF 44138..IS CURRENTLY REPORTING SOUTHWEST WINDS PEAKING AT 34 KNOTS. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION IT SEEMS REASONABLE TO KEEP MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. B. PROGNOSTIC FRANKLIN HAS UNDERGONE ITS TRANSITION TO POST-TROPICAL AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GRAND BANKS TODAY. C. PUBLIC WEATHER A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEWFOUNDLAND COMBINED WITH MOISTURE NORTH OF FRANKLIN HAVE RESULTED IN PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND OVERNIGHT..WITH OBSERVED AMOUNTS SO FAR GENERALLY IN THE 20 TO 30 MM RANGE. AN ADDITIONAL 10 MM OR SO CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THOSE REGIONS BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF LATER THIS MORNING. D. MARINE WEATHER GALE WARNINGS ARE MAINTAINED FOR MUCH OF THE GRAND BANKS.. ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN SECTIONS..UNTIL FRANKLIN MOVES OUT EARLY THIS EVENING. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 30/12Z 90 180 120 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 90 180 120 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/00Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/12Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END LAFORTUNE/ROUSSEL