WOCN31 CWHX 290000 HURRICANE KATRINA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 PM ADT SUNDAY 28 AUGUST 2005. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.00 AM ADT ... HURRICANE KATRINA MOVING TOWARDS NEW ORLÉANS... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 8.00 PM ADT... HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 N AND LONGITUDE 89.3 W... ABOUT 165 NAUTICAL MILES OR 305 KM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLÉANS . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS... 269 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 904 MB. KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS... 18 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND ADT MB KTS KMH AUG 28 8.00 PM 27.3N 89.3W 904 145 269 AUG 29 3.00 AM 28.3N 89.7W 904 145 269 AUG 29 3.00 PM 30.5N 90.0W 910 130 241 AUG 30 3.00 AM 33.4N 89.3W 990 60 111 AUG 30 3.00 PM 36.1N 87.7W 1004 35 65 POST-TROPICAL AUG 31 3.00 AM 38.5N 84.3W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL AUG 31 3.00 PM 41.0N 81.5W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 01 3.00 AM 45.0N 76.3W 1009 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 01 3.00 PM 48.2N 72.6W 1012 25 46 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL ON WEDNESDAY OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY STRONG WINDS OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND ERIE ON WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.. HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS TOWARDS THE COAST OF LOUISIANA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS. B. PROGNOSTIC KATRINA WILL WEAKEN ONCE IT MOVES OVER THE LAND ON MONDAY. IT WILL TRACK NORTHWARD ACROSS MISSISSIPPI MONDAY NIGHT THEN NORTHEASTWARD TO REACH SOUTHERN OHIO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A POST TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. IT WILL CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST PASSING NEAR LAKE ONTARIO AND ERIE THEN TRACKING TOWARDS THE GASPÉ PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. WINDS AROUND THIS DISTURBANCE WILL HAVE DIMINISHED TO STRONG AND GUSTY. HOWEVER THE NATURE OF A TROPICAL AIRMASS IS WARM MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE WHICH WILL CAUSE RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY WITH FREQUENT THUNDERSHOWERS. AS A RESULT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY AROUND THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING IN SOME AREAS NEAR ITS PATH. C. PUBLIC WEATHER KATRINA IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE CANADIAN REGIONS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. D. MARINE WEATHER PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 28/23Z 210 150 100 120 120 120 80 120 90 90 50 90 29/06Z 210 150 100 120 120 120 80 120 90 90 50 90 29/18Z 210 150 100 120 120 120 80 120 90 90 50 90 30/06Z 210 150 100 120 120 60 30 60 70 0 0 0 30/18Z 210 150 100 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END (GR)