WOCN31 CWHX 291800 HURRICANE KATRINA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2.00 PM EDT MONDAY 29 AUGUST 2005. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 8.00 PM EDT ...HURRICANE KATRINA NOW WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER MISSISSIPPI... 1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION AT 2.00 PM EDT... HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 N AND LONGITUDE 89.6 W... ABOUT 50 NAUTICAL MILES OR 90 KM NORTHEAST OF NEW ORLÉANS . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS... 204 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 952 MB. KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH AT 16 KNOTS... 30 KM/H. 2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND EDT MB KTS KMH AUG 29 2.00 PM 30.6N 89.6W 952 110 204 AUG 30 2.00 AM 33.7N 89.0W 990 60 111 AUG 30 2.00 PM 36.8N 87.2W 999 35 65 AUG 31 2.00 AM 39.9N 84.2W 998 30 56 AUG 31 2.00 PM 42.4N 80.8W 997 30 56 POST-TROPICAL SEP 01 2.00 AM 45.6N 76.6W 997 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 01 2.00 PM 48.1N 72.4W 998 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 02 2.00 AM 50.9N 68.1W 998 25 46 POST-TROPICAL SEP 02 2.00 PM 52.9N 62.1W 999 25 46 POST-TROPICAL 3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL QUÉBEC. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO. WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED AS THE STORM APPROACHES. 4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY STRONG WINDS OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE. 5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION A. ANALYSIS SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THE STORM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 16 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 952 MB WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 110 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND SPEEDS ARE DIMINISHING RAPIDLY AS KATRINA CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD OVER LAND. HOWEVER KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. B. PROGNOSTIC THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FOLLOW CLOSELY THOSE FORECAST BY NHC. INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL TRACK A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. FORWARD SPEED IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE CONSIDERABLY GREATER WHICH WILL REDUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COMMENSURATELY. DETAILS OF THE TRACK OF THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA ARE STILL UNCERTAIN OWING TO THE EXACT TIMING OF THE INTERACTION OF KATRINA WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. C. PUBLIC WEATHER. HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY OVER SOUTHERN OR CENTRAL ONTARIO AND OVER SOUTHERN OR CENTRAL QUÉBEC ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. D. MARINE WEATHER STRONG WINDS FOR LAKE ONTARIO AND ERIE ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM A SEICHE MAY ALSO BE GENERATED ON LAKE ERIE. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM) TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW 29/18Z 180 200 150 130 110 100 70 70 90 90 50 50 30/06Z 110 140 75 100 40 40 30 30 0 0 0 0 30/18Z 60 60 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 31/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02/06Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02/18Z 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 END BULLOCK/MILLER