WOCN31 CWHX 310000
POST-TROPICAL STORM KATRINA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 8.00 PM EDT 
TUESDAY 30 AUGUST 2005.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 2.00 AM EDT

 ... TROPICAL MOISTURE NOW THE MAIN THREAT FROM KATRINA ...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 8.00 PM EDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.1 N AND LONGITUDE 84.5 W... ABOUT 195 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 365 KM NORTH OF KNOXVILLE . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS... 56 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 992 MB.
KATRINA IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS... 43 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          EDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
AUG 30  8.00 PM  39.1N  84.5W   992   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
AUG 31  8.00 AM  42.1N  80.0W   994   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
AUG 31  8.00 PM  46.0N  73.6W   993   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 01  8.00 AM  50.0N  69.0W   987   30   56 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 01  8.00 PM  53.3N  68.1W   984   30   56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY

ONTARIO..HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG THE NORTH 
SHORE OF THE LOWER LAKES AND ST LAWRENCE VALLEY FROM EASTERN LAKE
ERIE TO THE QUÉBEC BORDER.
QUÉBEC..HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY
LATER FARTHER ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM.
MARITIMES..SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS LIKELY MAINLY OVER NEW BRUNSWICK 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED. 
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
STRONG WINDS OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF THE TRACK OF KATRINA.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
FRONTOGENESIS APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING WITH THE REMANTS OF KATRINA
SO WE HAVE NOW CLASSIFIED THE STORM AS POST-TROPICAL.

THE MOISTURE FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA HAS NOT FOLLOWED THE
STANDARD CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...THE
MOISTURE HAS NOT WRAPPED AROUND TO THE NORTH AND WEST AS ONE WOULD 
NORMALLY EXPECT.  IN FACT A LOT OF THE MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION
IS MOVING AHEAD AND TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM.

B. PROGNOSTIC
WITH MUCH OF THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH KATRINA MOVING WELL AHEAD 
OF THE SURFACE LOW HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR
ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PROJECTED TRACK.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
ONTARIO..HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES 
AND THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER FROM EASTERN LAKE ERIE TO THE QUÉBEC 
BORDER. SEE WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.
QUÉBEC..HEAVY RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY FOR 
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN QUÉBEC MAINLY ALONG THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. 
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS FARTHER ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM MAY BE 
REQUIRED LATER. SEE WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.
MARITIMES..SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED OVER
NEW BRUNSWICK FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WARNINGS MAY BE 
NECESSARY THERE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SUBSTANTIAL 
RAINFALLS FROM ANOTHER SYSTEM OVER THE LAST DAY OR SO.

D. MARINE WEATHER
STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND 
WEDNESDAY. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY ALONG THE ST LAWRENCE
RIVER ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
31/00Z    0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
31/12Z    0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
01/00Z    0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
01/12Z    0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
02/00Z    0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0

END MILLER/MARSHALL