WOCN31 CWHX 160600
POST-TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.30 AM NDT
FRIDAY 16 JUNE 2006.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9.30 AM NDT

...GALE CENTRE PASSING OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA THIS MORNING...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 3.30 AM NDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 45.5 N AND LONGITUDE 57.8 W... ABOUT 100 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 190 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF SYDNEY . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 983 MB.
THE REMNANTS OF ALBERTO IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS...52 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          ADT                    MB  KTS  KMH
JUN 16  3.30 AM  45.5N  57.8W   983   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 16  3.30 PM  48.6N  50.9W   988   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 17  3.30 AM  52.0N  42.2W   994   35   65 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 17  3.30 PM  55.4N  32.7W   997   30   56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
THE AREA OF RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY DISSIPATED OVER NOVA SCOTIA
DURING THE NIGHT. STRONG WINDS DIMINISHED THROUGHOUT THE REGIONS
AS THE STORM MOVED FARTHER AWAY. AS A RESULT WIND AND RAINFALL 
WARNINGS ARE ENDED FOR NOVA SCOTIA AND CAPE BRETON.

STRONG WINDS AROUND THIS SYSTEM CAN BE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY AS THIS POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM
CROSSES THE AVALON PENINSULA. THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION
CENTRE MAINTAINS A WIND WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND. DETAILS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 45 TO 60 KNOTS WERE 
REPORTED OVERNIGHT AROUND POST-TROPICAL ALBERTO. THE SYSTEM WILL 
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY ESPECIALLY WHEN IT BEGINS MOVING AWAY
FROM THE AVALON PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE IS MAINTAINING STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS FOR MANY MARITIME AND NEWFOUNDLAND MARINE AREAS.
DETAILS CAN BE FOUND IN THE BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE ATLANTIC STORM 
PREDICTION CENTRE.


5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
AS MENTIONNED IN THE PREVIOUS BULLETINS WE CONTINUE TO CALL THIS 
INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM POST-TROPICAL ALBERTO. PT ALBERTO
HAS WEAKENED DURING THE NIGHT AS THE WARM HUMID AIR CONTINUED TO
PULL OUT OF THE AREA FOLLOWED BY LARGE AREA OF DRY AIR MERGING
INTO THE SYSTEM.

B. PROGNOSTIC
MODELS CONSISTENTLY MAINTAIN SIMILAR POSITION AND INTENSITY WHICH 
COMPELS US TO MAINTAIN THE SAME TRACK AS BEFORE WITH PRESSURE
VALUES A LITTLE LOWER. THE SYSTEM IS BEING DEPRIVED FROM THE
ELEMENTS WHICH CAUSED THE PREVIOUS INTENSIFICATION. CONSEQUENTLY
IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT PASSES OVER COLDER WATER DURING
THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. HOWEVER IT HAS ENOUGH UPPER SUPPORT
TO MAINTAIN A GALE CENTRE WHILE WEAKENING SLOWLY ALONG THE WAY.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
   NONE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
   NONE.

END ROUSSEL