WOCN31 CWHX 161200
POST-TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 AM NDT
FRIDAY 16 JUNE 2006.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.30 PM NDT

 ... REMNANTS OF POST-TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CROSSING NEAR THE
     AVALON PENINSULA THIS MORNING...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.30 AM NDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 47.7 N AND LONGITUDE 55.4 W... ABOUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 110 KM WEST NORTHWEST OF ARGENTIA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS... 74 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 987
MB. ALBERTO IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 32 KNOTS... 59 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          NDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
JUN 16  9.30 AM  47.7N  55.4W   987   40   74 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 16  9.30 PM  50.3N  46.6W   990   35   65 POST-TROPICAL
JUN 17  9.30 AM  53.7N  37.6W   997   30   56 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE FORECAST AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BUT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. GUSTY WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN REGIONS. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE BEHIND IT.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 35 TO 50 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED AROUND POST-TROPICAL ALBERTO. THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS RESULTING
IN DIMINISHING WINDS.
THE ATLANTIC STORM PREDICTION CENTRE IS MAINTAINING GALE
FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR THE EASTERN MARITIME WATERS. GALE
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT OVER THE SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS.

DETAILS CAN BE FOUND IN THE BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE ATLANTIC STORM 
PREDICTION CENTRE.


5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
THE GALE CENTRE NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA LOST ITS
POST-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NIGHT AS IT
CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES PLACE
THE STORM CENTRE OVER THE FORTUNE BAY AREA. EAST OF THE
STORM CENTRE DOPPLER RADAR SIGNATURES INDICATE WINDS OF
40 TO 50 KNOTS CONTINUE AT ISSUE TIME BUT ARE SHOWING
INDICATIONS OF SLOWLY DIMINISHING.

FOR COMMUNICATION PURPOSES WE WILL REFER TO POST-TROPICAL ALBERTO 
UNTIL THE LAST BULLETIN.

B. PROGNOSTIC
MODELS CONSISTENTLY MAINTAIN SIMILAR POSITION AND INTENSITY WHICH 
COMPELS US TO MAINTAIN THE SAME TRACK AS BEFORE WITH PRESSURE
VALUES A LITTLE LOWER. THE SYSTEM IS DEPRIVED FROM THE
ELEMENTS WHICH CAUSED CYCLOGENESIS ON THURSDAY. CONSEQUENTLY
IT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT PASSES OVER COLDER WATER DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER IT HAS SUFFICIENT UPPER SUPPORT
TO MAINTAIN A GALE CENTRE WHILE WEAKENING SLOWLY ALONG THE WAY.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
   NONE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
   NONE.

END ROUSSEL/MARSHALL