WOCN31 CWHX 021500
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT
12.30 NOON NDT MONDAY 02 OCTOBER 2006.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3.30 PM NDT

... ISAAC HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM...

 AT 12.30 AM NDT... TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
44.3 N AND LONGITUDE 55.0 W... ABOUT 180 NAUTICAL MILES OR 330 KM 
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEFOUNDLAND.

 ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 35 KNOTS... 65
KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS... 120
KM/H AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 994 MB.

 THE US NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONCURS THAT ISAAC HAS WEAKENED
AND IS RAPIDLY UNDERGOING TRANSITION.

 ISAAC IS A VERY SMALL STORM AND WE BELIEVE THAT IT IS WEAKENING 
RAPIDLY AS REVEALED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. 
MEANWHILE A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE CENTRE NEAR NOVA IS BEGINNING TO 
DOMINATE. A WEAK TROUGH BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES IS EVIDENT IN THE 
BUOY DATA WITH 44141 AND 44139 BOTH REPORTING LIGHT WINDS AS ISAAC 
PASSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THOSE LOCATIONS.

 THE NEAREST BUOY... 44138 OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GRAND BANKS...
REPORTED 46 KNOTS AT 14Z... ALTHOUGH THE WIND BACKED IN DIRECTION 
FROM SOUTHEAST TO EASTERLY. THE STRENGTH INDICATES THAT ISAAC IS
STILL AT 50 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ... BUT THE BACKING WINDS 
INDICATE A TRACK THAT MAY EAST OF OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE
UPSHOT OF THIS IS THAT THE STORM CENTRE MAY PASS JUST EAST OF THE 
AVALON PENINSULA IN WHICH CASE WIND WARNINGS MAY BE OVERDONE.

 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING DOES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON
PENINSULA HOWEVER THE WATCHES FOR REGIONS WEST OF THE AVALON HAVE 
BEEN ENDED MOSTLY BECAUSE ISAAC IS SUCH A SMALL STORM AND BECAUSE
IT IS WEAKENING.

 PUBLIC AND MARINE INTERESTS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THEIR REGION BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA.

END BOWYER