WOCN31 CWHX 030000
POST-TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE 
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.30 PM NDT
MONDAY 02 OCTOBER 2006.

A FINAL STATEMENT WITH STORM SUMMARY INFORMATION
WILL BE ISSUED AT 12.30 AM NDT

 ... POST-TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WILL MOVE EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND
     WATERS TONIGHT...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.30 PM NDT... POST-TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 49.2 N AND LONGITUDE 49.0 W... ABOUT 175 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 325 KM EAST NORTHEAST OF ST JOHNS . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS... 93 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 996
MB. ISAAC IS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS... 57 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE     TIME     LAT    LON   MSLP  MAX WIND
          NDT                    MB  KTS  KMH
OCT 02  9.30 PM  49.2N  49.0W   996   50   93 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  3.30 AM  50.8N  44.9W   998   45   83 POST-TROPICAL
OCT 03  9.30 AM  51.3N  41.0W  1000   45   83 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
NONE.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALE TO STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN 
NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS. THESE WARNINGS WILL BE ENDED OVERNIGHT.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

A. ANALYSIS
POST-TROPICAL ISAAC IS BEING LOCATED BY SURFACE MARINE DATA AND 
POSITIONED NEAR THE BACK EDGE OF THE CLOUD SHIELD. INTENSITY IS
AN ESTIMATE BASED ON SURFACE DATA.

ISAAC HAS MAINTAINED ITSELF AS A SEPARATE ENTITY THROUGHOUT ITS
TRANSITION INTO THE MID LATITUDES...AS PREDICTED BY MANY OF THE 
GLOBAL MODELS AS EARLY AS THE END OF LAST WEEK.

B. PROGNOSTIC
OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED EXCLUSIVELY ON KINEMATIC TECHNIQUES
AND FOLLOWING THE DEEP LAYER FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE 
TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT MOVES EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SINCE A COUPLE OF 
MODELS MAINTAIN THIS FEATURE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WE FEEL IT 
PRUDENT TO MAINTAIN IT AT 50-KT STRENGTH UNTIL IT LEAVES THE CHC
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
NONE.

D. MARINE WEATHER

NONE.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME          GALES           STORMS            HURRICANE
         NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW    NE  SE  SW  NW
03/00Z  120 180 100  40    60  60  20   0     0   0   0   0
03/06Z  140 210 120  40     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0
03/12Z  160 240 150  40     0   0   0   0     0   0   0   0

END BOWYER/FOGARTY