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Policy Research
Atlantic Canada and the 50 States: A Development Comparison

North American Policy Group
NAPG
Dalhousie University
Halifax N.S.
Dalhousie

June 1996

Janice E. Plumstead, Economic Development Specialist,
North American Policy Group

Dr. J. D. McNiven, Professor of Public & Business Administration,
Dalhousie University

Executive Summary

The creation of the North American Free Trade area has meant that Canadian jurisdictions have to consider more closely their advantages and weaknesses relative to those of the other national partners in this new environment for trade and investment. The North American Policy Group (NAPG) at Dalhousie University, with the support of the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency (ACOA), has undertaken two studies to provide objective comparisons of the Atlantic Region and international jurisdictions. The Region is treated as a single unit or jurisdiction in these studies, not as a political suggestion, but because of the complexity of presenting information on all four Provinces and also because, in a number of instances, regional data was more readily available.

The approach taken in the two studies is to develop the statistics on the Region that will allow it to be compared and ranked, as accurately as possible, with, in one case, the 50 States of the United States of America and, in the second case, with 48 "countries", including the territories of Hong Kong and Taiwan. This report focuses on the comparison of Atlantic Canada with the 50 States.

The utility of this comparison comes from the need to understand the advantages and challenges facing the regional economy in a broader context than an intra-Canadian comparison. Many of these latter studies have been done over the years. Given the increase in external competition resulting from liberalized trade and investment regimes, external comparisons are crucial to citizens and policymakers alike. This study aims to fill this gap.

This study also allows the Region's decision-makers to assess key indicators of growth. In an era when business development depends on a wide range of factors including lifestyles, access to universities and environmental quality, an attempt has to be made to understand the challenges to the Region and to examine its advantages and disadvantages.

Finally, international competition for investment requires that the Region sees itself as others might see it. Atlantic Canadians will not benefit from uninformed opinions and prejudices that arise outside, nor are they helped by telling each other unfounded but rosy opinions and projections. Baseline data is critical if the Region is to effectively compete for its share of investment dollars.

The comparison with the 50 States presented in this report is based on the 1995 Development Report Card for the States, published by the Corporation for Enterprise Development (CfED) in Washington, D.C. The Report Card is based on 58 criteria of which 44 are used to grade each State on three indexes. The other 14 are used in two ungraded indexes. Most of these criteria are relevant to Atlantic Canada, though there are a few where Canadian national conditions penalize the Region's scores and others where it helps them. On the whole, the 58 criteria are a valuable set of indicators - and they do provide a consistent benchmark relative to the performance and prospects of Canada's American neighbours.

Using the framework of the Report Card, NAPG developed "grades" for Atlantic Canada. Taken in the context of the 50 States, the Region rated:

Economic PerformanceC
Business VitalityC
Development CapacityD

A fourth index measuring tax and fiscal systems was not graded in the Report Card, with States receiving a plus (+), check (×), or minus (-) instead. Atlantic Canada rated a check (×), for this category. As well, an ungraded subindex on environmental, social and health conditions is included.

While the CfED does not give a single overall rating to each State, it is possible to do so. NAPG estimates that Atlantic Canada would rate 33rd among the States with an overall "grade" of C-.

More detailed analysis reveals that the values that inspire less income disparity, a comprehensive health system, and a clean environment all help to improve the Region's scores. Other positive factors are the rate of job creation by new businesses, the availability of loan funds for businesses, and a high rate of manufacturing investment.

The challenges facing Atlantic Canada exist in the quality of the regional workforce, the lack of diversity in the Region's export industries, and our relative unpreparedness for a technology-based economy.

The Region appears to fare well relative to its New England neighbours, especially with respect to the northern New England States, which most resemble Atlantic Canada in population and industrial structures.

The Region has a relative equality of income among those who are employed in rural and urban areas. It suffers from high unemployment, labour quality problems, and a level of new business creation that, while increasing, is growing from an extremely small base.

Two surprises stand out. First, the data suggests significant debt financing is available for businesses. The data however, does not address the specific issue of access to credit on the part of small and medium sized businesses. This is an unfortunate gap in the CfED methodology. Second, the Region does rather well in attracting investment into manufacturing. The challenge is to diversify the manufacturing base.

The policy challenges that stand out from applying this model are:

  • Atlantic Canada benefits from its access to Canadian systems of health care, fiscal equalization, as well as its intrinsically Canadian social and fiscal equity. This advantage is important to retain.
  • New business creation and entrepreneurship are critical to lowering the unemployment rate.
  • Workforce quality has to be seriously addressed including the issue of retaining university graduates.
  • Technology capabilities will have to be expanded if the Region is to be competitive in the immediate future.
  • Either venture capital is lacking or the Region does not have a business culture that encourages "going public", or both.

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