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Looking Ahead: A Ten-Year Outlook for the Canadian Labour Market, 2004-2013 - October 2004

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Annex 5: Employment Growth by Occupation, 1999-2013

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Total employment
Total Employment Employment share Annual average growth
2003 2013 2003 2013 1999-2003 2004-2008 2009-2013
15,745,952 17,800,870     2.2% 1.5% 0.9%
Skill level
Management 1,382,553 1,600,926 8.8% 9.0% 0.2% 1.8% 1.1%
Occupations usually requiring
University education 2,595,966 3,120,615 16.5% 17.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4%
College education or apprenticeship training 4,808,503 5,392,422 30.5% 30.3% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
High school education 5,097,138 5,700,725 32.4% 32.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Only on-the-job training 1,861,793 1,986,181 11.8% 11.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Skill type
Business, finance and administration 3,107,217 3,482,843 19.7% 19.6% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9%
Natural and applied sciences 1,090,153 1,349,948 6.9% 7.6% 3.8% 2.3% 2.0%
Health 965,207 1,248,359 6.1% 7.0% 3.4% 3.5% 1.7%
Social science, education, government service 1,132,274 1,318,624 7.2% 7.4% 3.5% 2.0% 1.0%
Art, culture, recreation and sport 472,085 519,889 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7%
Sales and service 4,656,960 5,156,560 29.6% 29.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6%
Trades, transport and equipment operators 2,406,230 2,643,766 15.3% 14.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.8%
Primary industry 567,127 594,886 3.6% 3.3% -1.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Processing, manufacturing and utilities 1,348,699 1,485,996 8.6% 8.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.8%
Occupation (two-digit level)
01 All management occupations 1,382,553 1,600,926 8.8% 9.0% 0.2% 1.8% 1.1%
11 Professional occupations in business and finance 450,486 540,579 2.9% 3.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5%
12 Skilled administrative and business occupations 895,125 979,304 5.7% 5.5% -0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
14 Clerical occupations 1,459,841 1,612,187 9.3% 9.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.8%
21 Professional occupations in natural and applied sciences 592,385 741,622 3.8% 4.2% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1%
22 Technical occupations related to natural and applied sciences 440,099 536,657 2.8% 3.0% 6.0% 2.1% 1.9%
31 Professional occupations in health 432,646 562,886 2.7% 3.2% 2.3% 3.6% 1.7%
32 Technical and skilled occupations in health 197,245 253,946 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 2.0%
34 Assisting occupations in support of health services 249,893 326,146 1.6% 1.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.8%
41 Professional occupations in social science, education and government servive 919,344 1,057,768 5.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.0%
42 Paraprofessional occupations in law, social service and education 179,464 220,126 1.1% 1.2% 2.7% 2.7% 1.5%
51 Professional occupations in art and culture 201,105 217,760 1.3% 1.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
52 Technical and skilled occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 256,113 284,204 1.6% 1.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.8%
62 Skilled sales and service occupations 1,017,587 1,151,385 6.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8%
64 Intermediate sales and service occupations 1,562,156 1,725,104 9.9% 9.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5%
66 Elemental sales and service occupations 1,448,409 1,559,054 9.2% 8.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
72-73 Trades, skilled transport and equipment operators 1,300,824 1,409,620 8.3% 7.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7%
74 Intermediate occupations in transport, equipment operation, installation and maintenance 809,215 913,539 5.1% 5.1% 2.1% 1.4% 1.0%
76 Trades helpers, construction labourers and related occupations 136,081 134,739 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% -0.2% 0.0%
82 Skilled occupations in primary industry 348,416 363,250 2.2% 2.0% -1.7% 0.5% 0.3%
84 Intermediate occupations in primary industry 138,160 144,217 0.9% 0.8% -1.6% 0.5% 0.4%
86 Primary industry labourers 72,740 78,719 0.5% 0.4% -2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
92 Processing, manufacturing, utilities supervisors and skilled operators 173,629 193,930 1.1% 1.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.9%
94-95 Processing and manufacturing machine operators and assemblers 877,873 979,533 5.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.9%
96 Labourers in processing, manufacturing and utilities 204,563 213,669 1.3% 1.2% -3.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Source: Statistics Canada, National Occupational Classification; Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey; HRSDC-PRCD, Labour Market and Skills Forecasting and Analysis Unit, Reference 2004 Scenario.

Non-student employment
  Non-student employment Employment share Annual average growth
  2003 2013 2003 2013 1999-2003 2004-2008 2009-2013
Total 14,613,105 16,522,107     2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
Skill level
Management 1,372,127 1,587,736 9.4% 9.6% 0.3% 1.8% 1.1%
Occupations usually requiring:
University education 2,513,592 3,024,034 17.2% 18.3% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4%
College education or apprenticeship training 4,612,141 5,171,227 31.6% 31.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9%
High school education 4,653,395 5,209,401 31.8% 31.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Only on-the-job training 1,461,561 1,539,117 10.0% 9.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Skill type
Business, finance and administration 2,980,741 3,342,208 20.4% 20.2% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9%
Natural and applied sciences 1,064,364 1,319,499 7.3% 8.0% 8.3% 2.3% 2.0%
Health 934,582 1,207,461 6.4% 7.3% 3.2% 3.5% 1.7%
Social science, education, government service 1,073,247 1,248,902 7.3% 7.6% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Art, culture, recreation and sport 408,772 449,074 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7%
Sales and service 3,952,881 4,376,107 27.1% 26.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Trades, transport and equipment operators 2,351,198 2,583,500 16.1% 15.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8%
Primary industry 527,248 552,578 3.6% 3.3% -1.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Processing, manufacturing and utilities 1,319,739 1,452,185 9.0% 8.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.8%
Occupation (two-digit level)
01 All Management occupations 1,372,127 1,587,736 9.4% 9.6% 0.3% 1.8% 1.1%
11 Professional occupations in business and finance 446,427 535,351 3.1% 3.2% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5%
12 Skilled administrative and business occupations 881,417 964,498 6.0% 5.8% -0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
14 Clerical occupations 1,352,236 1,492,936 9.3% 9.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.8%
21 Professional occupations in natural and applied sciences 581,143 728,272 4.0% 4.4% 2.9% 2.5% 2.1%
22 Technical occupations related to natural and applied sciences 426,011 520,000 2.9% 3.1% 6.0% 2.1% 1.9%
31 Professional occupations in health 424,141 551,238 2.9% 3.3% 2.4% 3.6% 1.7%
32 Technical and skilled occupations in health 191,111 246,532 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 3.2% 2.0%
34 Assisting occupations in support of health services 234,329 305,315 1.6% 1.8% 7.4% 3.6% 1.8%
41 Professional occupations in social science, education and government service 873,436 1,003,684 6.0% 6.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0%
42 Paraprofessional occupations in law, social service and education 166,469 204,755 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 1.4%
51 Professional occupations in art and culture 188,446 205,490 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
52 Technical and skilled occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 205,952 225,991 1.4% 1.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.9%
62 Skilled sales and service occupations 943,146 1,068,701 6.5% 6.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8%
64 Intermediate sales and service occupations 1,304,165 1,444,429 8.9% 8.7%> 2.5% 1.5% 0.5%
66 Elemental sales and service occupations 1,083,441 1,150,349 7.4% 7.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
72-73 Trades, skilled transport and equipment operators 1,282,301 1,390,685 8.8% 8.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7%
74 Intermediate occupations in transport, and equipment operators, installation and maintenance 784,535 884,632 5.4% 5.4% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1%
76 Trades helpers, construction labourers and related occupations 125,020 123,297 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% -0.3% 0.0%
82 Skilled occupations in primary industry 343,364 357,702 2.3% 2.2% -1.4% 0.5% 0.3%
84 Intermediate occupations in primary industry 115,557 121,200 0.8% 0.7% -1.5% 0.6% 0.4%
86 Primary industry labourers 60,517 64,977 0.4% 0.4% -2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
92 Processing, manufacturing and utilities supervisors and skilled operators 172,372 192,364 1.2% 1.2% 5.0% 1.3% 0.9%
94-95 Processing and manufacturing machine operators and assemblers 862,574 960,889 5.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.9%
96 Labourers in processing, manufacturing and utilities 192,538 200,494 1.3% 1.2% -3.3% 0.5% 0.4%
Source : Statistics Canada, National Occupational Classification; Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey; HRSDC-PRCD, Labour Market and Skills Forecasting and Analysis Unit, Reference Scenario 2004.
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Last modified : 2005-08-26 top Important Notices