December 17, 2007
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Home > GHG Inventory
Trends in GHG Sources and Sinks in Canada 1990-2004
Greenhouse Gas Division
October 2006
Canada's National Inventory Report
As a signatory to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC), Canada is obliged to submit an inventory of its greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions to the UNFCCC on an annual basis. The UNFCCC submission
(which includes the National Inventory Report and Common Reporting Format
tables) is developed, compiled, and reported annually by the Greenhouse
Gas Division of Environment Canada in accordance with UNFCCC requirements,
particularly Decisions 3/CP.5, 18/CP.8, and 13/CP.9, which state that
Annex I Parties should annually submit national inventories in accordance
with the UNFCCC Guidelines on such inventories.
Inventory estimates are determined by methods and models developed in-house
by engineering and scientific staff, as well as from published data,
data developed by industry, and methods and guidance developed by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
The year 2006 marks the submission of Canada's 12th National Inventory
Report to the UNFCCC Secretariat, and the second inventory report since
the Kyoto Protocol came into force. The inventory reporting format is
based on international reporting methods agreed to by the Parties to
the UNFCCC and according to the procedures of the IPCC. The inventory
uses an internationally agreed upon reporting format that groups emissions
into the following six sectors: Energy; Industrial Processes; Solvent
and Other Product Use; Agriculture; Land Use, Land- Use Change and Forestry;
and Waste. The GHGs that have been estimated in the national inventory
are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4),
nitrous oxide (N2O), sulphur hexafluoride (SF6),
perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).
This overview document presents the latest information on Canadian GHG
emissions and removals derived from the most recent national inventory,
using a modified sector approach to facilitate the use of information
by the public. This examination of GHGs groups national emission data
that may otherwise appear in separate IPCC categories into Canadian industrial
sectors. In the upstream fossil fuel industry for example, emissions
associated with stationary- and transport-related (such as off-road vehicles)
fuel combustion, process-related, and fugitives are combined, and overall
industry emission totals are provided in order to present data in the
industrial sector in which they occur. This is particularly evident in
the Electricity & Fossil Fuel Industries and Mining and Manufacturing
Industries sectors. Also, stationary and transport related emissions
from off-road vehicles and machineries associated with the Agriculture
and Forestry industry have been combined in Other Industries.
In 2004, Canadians contributed about 758 megatonnes of carbon
dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2 eq) of GHGs to
the atmosphere, an increase of 0.6% over the 754 Mt recorded in the
year 2003.1 This is considerably less than
the 3.9% increase that occurred between 2002 and 2003. Canada's economic
GHG intensity - the amount of GHGs emitted per unit of economic
activity, or total GHG emissions divided by gross domestic product
(GDP) - was 2.6% lower in 2004 than in 2003.
Between 2003 and 2004, there were increases in some sectors (notably
Industrial Processes and Agriculture), but the overall growth was minor
due mainly to significantly reduced emissions from electricity production
(less coal and more nuclear generation) and, to a lesser extent, a reduced
demand for heating fuel because of a warmer winter.
Between 1990 and 2004, Canada's total GHG emissions rose by approximately
27%. This increase in GHG emissions during the 14-year period outpaced
increases in population (which totalled 15%) and approximately equalled
the increase in energy use (which was 26%). However, the growth in total
emissions was well short of the 47% growth in GDP between 1990 and 2004.
As a result, economic GHG intensity has decreased by a total of 14% over
the period, an average of 1% per year.
In addition:
- Approximately 73% of total GHG emissions in 2004 resulted from the
combustion of fossil fuels. Another 9% were from fugitive sources,
with the result that 82% of emissions were from the Energy Sector.
- On
an individual GHG basis, CO2 contributed the largest
share of 2004 emissions, at 78% (about 593 Mt), while CH4 accounted
for 15% (110 Mt). N2O accounted for 6% of the emissions
(44 Mt), while PFCs, SF6, and HFCs constituted the remaining
1% (11 Mt).
- The greatest contributions to emissions in 2004 were from
the Electricity & Fossil
Fuel Industries, which accounted for 38% of total national emissions
(285 Mt), and the Transportation sector, which contributed 22% (169
Mt). These sectors are also responsible for nearly all of the growth
in Canadian emissions since 1990 (Figure 1). This growth is mainly
the result of an increase in fossil fuel consumption for electricity
generation, a rise in transportation energy consumption, and growth
in fossil fuel production (largely for export).
- For the Mining and Manufacturing
Industries sector, there has been an overall emissions growth of 7.5
Mt between 1990 and 2004. This growth is the net effect of emission
increases and decreases of various subsectors. For instance, there
has been a progressive replacement of CFCs by HFCs and a growing use
of fossil fuels for non-energy purposes, both of which contributed
to emission increases. Despite the overall sectoral emission increase,
some industries have shown significant emission reductions. Between
1990 and 2004, aluminium producers reduced their PFC emissions using
emission control technologies. Also, the installation of an emission
abatement system in Canada's only adipic acid plant resulted in considerable
decreases in N2O
emissions.
- Other sectors, such as the Residential, Commercial &
Institutional, Agriculture, and Waste sectors, contributed 16% to
total emissions growth over the period.
- Net emissions in the Land Use,
Land-Use Change and Forestry Sector amounted to 81 Mt in 2004; note
that these emissions are not currently included in the national inventory
totals.
FIGURE 1: Canadian GHG Emissions and Removals,
1990, 2003 and 2004
![FIGURE 1: Canadian GHG Emissions and Removals, 1990, 2003 and 2004](/web/20071217083203im_/http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2004_trends/images/figure1_s_e.gif)
Click to enlarge
Notes:
* Electricity industries include emissions from the power utilities
as well as emissions from steam and electricity production in the manufacturing
industry.
** Values presented include emissions from the Solvent and Other Product
Use Sector.
*** Emissions from the Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry Sector
are not included in the national inventory totals.
National Trends
Table
1 summarizes Canada's GHG emissions by sector for the period 1990-2004.
Total emissions of all GHGs in 2004 (758 Mt) were 27% above the 1990
level of 599 Mt. Although emissions have been rising since 1990, annual
emissions growth peaked at almost 3.9% in 2000 and 2003. The 0.6% increase
in Canada's GHG emissions from 2003 to 2004 was primarily due to mining
activity, increases in beef cattle populations, increased use of fossil
fuels as feedstock in chemical manufacturing, and the continuation of
a long-term trend in road transport-related emissions. However, the
overall growth was minor due mainly to significantly reduced emissions
from electricity production (less coal and more nuclear generation) and,
to a lesser extent, a reduced demand for heating fuel because of a warmer
winter.
Figure 2 compares the trends in GHG emissions,
GDP, and GHG intensity for Canada and the United States between 1990
and 2004. Both countries experienced a reduction in GHG intensity over
the period. For example, Canada's GHG emissions per unit of GDP decreased
by 13.8%, while the United States registered a 20.1% reduction. It must
be noted that a reduction in GHG intensity does not necessarily reflect
a reduction in emissions; it can also indicate changes in the structure
of the economy. A closer examination of the trends in emissions and GDP
for the two countries reveals that Canada's emissions are growing faster
and our GDP is growing at a slower pace than those of the United States.
FIGURE 2: Trends in GHG Emissions, GDP, and
GHG Intensity for Canada and the United States, 1990-2004
![FIGURE 2: Trends in GHG Emissions, GDP, and GHG Intensity for Canada and the United States, 1990-2004](/web/20071217083203im_/http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2004_trends/images/figure2_s_e.gif)
Click to enlarge
Sources:
1 Canadian GHG: Environment Canada (2006), National Inventory Report - Greenhouse
Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada: 1990-2004.
2 Canadian GDP: Informetrica Limited (2006), Gross Domestic Product
(Million 1997 Chained Dollars), January 11, 2006.
3 U.S. GHG: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2006), The U.S.
Inventory of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2004.
4 U.S. GDP: U.S. Department of Commerce (2006), Real Gross Domestic
Product Billions of Chained (2000) Dollars, Bureau of Economic
Analysis.
Factors that affected Canadian emissions growth included increases in
fossil fuel consumption for electricity generation, increased energy
consumption in the transportation sector, and growth in fossil fuel production
(largely for export).
In fact, growth in oil and gas exports (primarily to the United States)
contributed significantly to emissions growth between 1990 and 2004 (Table
2). In this period, net oil exports (exports minus imports) grew by 513%
to 1572 petajoules (PJ) (almost 10 times the rate of growth of oil production),
while net exports of natural gas increased 138% to 3600 PJ (almost twice
the rate of growth of natural gas production). Over the period, the sum
total of net oil and gas energy exports increased by 192%. The portion
of emissions from all oil and gas production, processing, and transmission
activities that is attributable to net exports rose from about 22 Mt
in 1990 to 48 Mt in 2004 (a 123% increase).
A closer examination of the trends in emissions and GDP for
the two countries reveals that Canada's emissions are growing faster
and our GDP is growing at a slower pace than those of the United States.
Annual Growth in GHG Emissions and GDP, 1991-2004 |
Year |
Annual Growth in GHG Emissions (%) |
Annual Growth in GDP (%) * |
–1.1% |
–1.9% |
2.9% |
0.7% |
0.2% |
2.4% |
3.3% |
4.5% |
2.8% |
2.7% |
2.7% |
1.4% |
2.0% |
4.1% |
0.9% |
4.0% |
1.8% |
5.6% |
3.8% |
5.5% |
–0.9% |
1.7% |
0.9% |
2.9% |
3.9% |
2.4% |
0.6% |
3.3% |
Source:
* Informetrica Limited, Gross Domestic Product (Million 1997 Chained Dollars),
January 11, 2006.
The 0.6% increase in Canada's GHG emissions from 2003 to 2004
was primarily due to mining activity, increased use of fossil fuels
in manufacturing, and growth in agricultural and road transportation
activities. Significantly reduced emissions from electricity production
and a reduced demand for heating fuel because of a warmer winter resulted
in minor overall emissions growth.
TABLE 1: Canada's GHG Emissions Summary by Sector, 1990, 2003
and 2004
Greenhouse Gas Source/Sink Categories |
GHG Emissions |
(Mt CO2 equivalent) |
1990 |
2003 |
2004 |
599 |
754 |
758 |
199 |
292 |
285 |
95.3 |
139 |
130 |
83.9 |
131 |
133 |
22.5 |
see note 4 |
50.2 |
26.8 |
36.3 |
34.2 |
23.5 |
see note 5 |
34.3 |
11.2 |
14.8 |
14.2 |
19.5 |
21.7 |
21.7 |
16.7 |
18.3 |
18.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
129 |
163 |
169 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
53.8 |
49.4 |
49.8 |
21.7 |
41.9 |
43.6 |
3.14 |
4.14 |
4.21 |
0.23 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
0.67 |
0.72 |
0.77 |
0.59 |
0.80 |
0.89 |
24.5 |
42.3 |
44.9 |
2.2 |
0.82 |
0.87 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
131 |
133 |
139 |
8.47 |
18.2 |
17.8 |
15.6 |
13.3 |
12.7 |
13.6 |
9.01 |
9.31 |
13.5 |
13.4 |
14.7 |
9.02 |
11.0 |
11.4 |
27.7 |
18.3 |
21.8 |
28.7 |
34.6 |
35.3 |
14.5 |
15.5 |
15.6 |
0.42 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
70 |
83 |
81 |
44 |
45 |
43 |
25.8 |
37.9 |
37.9 |
45 |
53 |
55 |
18.4 |
22.6 |
24.0 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
25 |
29 |
29 |
23 |
27 |
27 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.40 |
0.24 |
0.25 |
–82 |
–11 |
81 |
–109 |
–20 |
73 |
14 |
0.8 |
0 |
NE |
NE |
NE |
6 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
Notes:
NE = not estimated
1 Due to rounding, individual values may not
add up to totals.
2 Includes both utility and industrial generation and
commercial steam generation.
3 Includes combustion, process, and fugitive
emissions associated with conventional and unconventional production of
oil and gas.
4 Crude Oil Production Industry includes emissions associated
with conventional crude oil and thermal heavy synthetic oil production.
The emissions total for the Crude Oil Production Industry and Other - Oil
Sands, Coal, and Coke Production could not be accurately separated in
2003 due to data limitations. The 2003 total for these two sectors was
80.2 Mt CO2 eq.
5
Other - Oil Sands, Coal, and Coke Production also includes emissions
from combined oil and gas production and emissions associated with oil
sands mining equipment.
6 Includes combustion and process emissions.
7 Mining excludes off-road
emissions from oil and gas production.
8
Other Manufacturing includes emissions associated with product use (such
as HFCs, PFCs, and SF6) and emissions from the food production
industry, vehicle and vehicle parts production, textiles, plastics, pharmaceuticals
and medicine, etc.
9 Other Industries includes the construction, agriculture,
and forestry subsectors.
10 National totals exclude all GHGs from the
Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry Sector.
TABLE 2: Energy Production, Export, and GHG Emission Trends, 1990-2004
|
Year |
1990 |
2003 |
2004 |
Long-Term Trend (1990–2004) |
599 |
754 |
758 |
26.6% |
712 019 |
1 012 635 |
1 045 643 |
46.9% |
9 230 |
11 479 |
11 618 |
25.9% |
7 746 |
12 492 |
12 784 |
65.0% |
3 063 |
7 473 |
7 798 |
155% |
1 769 |
4 958 |
5 172 |
192% |
28 |
69 |
73 |
161% |
22 |
46 |
48 |
123% |
Notes: PJ = petajoule (1015 joules)
Sources:
1 Environment Canada (2006), National Inventory
Report - Greenhouse
Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada: 1990-2004.
2 Informetrica Limited
(2006), Gross Domestic Product (Million 1997
Chained Dollars), January 11, 2006.
3 Statistics Canada (2004), Report on Energy Supply-Demand in Canada,
Catalogue No. 57-003.
4 Natural gas and crude oil only.
5 For the years 1990-1995, values were
taken from T.J. McCann and Associates (1997), Fossil Fuel Energy Trade & Greenhouse
Gas Emissions: A Quantitative Assessment of Emissions Related to Imports and
Exports, Prepared for Environment Canada. Years 1996-2004 values
were extrapolated from the report.
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Sector Trends in Canada's GHG Emissions and Removals: 1990-2004
Electricity & Fossil Fuel Industries
The electricity and fossil fuel industries contributed 285 Mt, or 38%,
of Canada's GHG emissions in 2004. GHG emissions grew by about 43% on
a sectoral basis, with electricity emissions increasing by 36% and upstream
and downstream fossil fuel industry emissions increasing by 58% and 12%,
respectively, since 1990.
- In 2004, the electricity and heat generation industry contributed
130 Mt (17%) to Canada's GHG emissions.
- Since 1990, electricity and heat generation has increased by
about 23% and emissions have grown by 37%. This is due primarily
to an increase in the percentage of electricity generated by natural
gas and a decrease in the amount generated by hydro sources in
the overall makeup of electricity generation within Canada.
- In 2004, the fossil fuel industry as a whole contributed 155 Mt (about
20%) of Canada's total GHG emissions, of which the upstream and downstream
petroleum sectors contributed 133 Mt and 21.7 Mt, respectively.
- From an economic standpoint, the fossil fuel industry's GDP grew
by 52% between 1990 and 2004, with a 192% rise in net energy exports.
GHG emissions also increased as a result of growing foreign sales,
with an increase of 48 Mt (123%) in GHG emissions associated only
with those exports.
- Since well before 1990, easily removable reserves of conventional
crude have been falling and energy consumption per unit of conventional
oil produced has been increasing. Between 1990 and 2000, the energy
requirements per barrel of conventional light/medium oil extracted
nearly doubled, while at the same time highly energy- and GHG-intensive
synthetic oil production (i.e., from oil sands) has become increasingly
competitive with conventional oil extraction. These trends contribute
significantly to the rapidly rising emission increases in the fossil
fuel industry over the 1990-2004 period.
- Since 1990, the upstream fossil fuel industry has experienced a 56%
growth in GDP and a 58% (49 Mt) increase in GHG emissions.
- Increasing foreign energy demands between 1990 and 2004 resulted
in a 46 Mt increase in GHG emissions from the upstream petroleum
industry.
- Since 1990, emissions from the transmission of natural gas increased
by 3.0 Mt (27%), while GDP for this subsector grew by 103%.
- The downstream petroleum industry has experienced a 32% growth in
GDP with a 12% increase in GHG emissions since 1990.
- Combustion and process emissions associated with the downstream
petroleum refining industries increased by 1.6 Mt, while fugitive
emissions from the distribution of natural gas increased by 0.6
Mt.
The transportation sector (excluding pipelines and industrial
off-road emissions) represents one of the largest sources of emissions
in Canada, accounting for 22.3% of Canada's total emissions in 2004
(169 Mt).
Transportation
- The transportation sector (excluding pipelines and industrial off-road
emissions) represents one of the largest sources of emissions in Canada,
accounting for 22.3% of Canada's total emissions in 2004 (169 Mt). Off-road
emissions associated with oil sands mining, forestry, and agriculture
are included in the Fossil Fuel Industries and the Mining and Manufacturing
Industries sectors.
- Emissions increased 31% (40 Mt) between 1990 and 2004. On-road transportation
was the largest contributor to emissions in this sector, at 85.9% in
2004. Nearly all emissions growth can be attributed to light-duty gasoline
trucks, or LDGTs (these include sport utility vehicles, or SUVs, and
minivans), which contributed 55% or 22 Mt of this sector's growth,
and heavy-duty diesel vehicles, which accounted for 51% or 20.4 Mt
of the growth. The sum is greater than 100%, as emissions decreased
for Light-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (LDGVs), or cars, Propane & Natural
Gas Vehicles, Railways, and Off-Road Gasoline. Figure 3 provides a
breakdown of emissions from the different modes of transportation for
2004.
- The long-term trend (1990-2004) shows an increase in emissions from
LDGTs, while emissions from LDGVs are decreasing. This can be explained
by the increase in purchases of LDGTs (SUVs, minivans) instead of cars
for personal transportation.
FIGURE 3: Canada's GHG Emissions from Transportation
Sources in 2004
![FIGURE 3: Canada's GHG Emissions from Transportation Sources in 2004](/web/20071217083203im_/http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2004_trends/images/figure3_s_e.gif)
Click to enlarge
Mining and Manufacturing Industries
- Mining and Manufacturing Industries together contributed 18% (139
Mt) to Canada's total GHG emissions in 2004. Of these emissions, combustion
emissions accounted for about 61% and process emissions approximately
39%.
- As depicted in Figure 4, the Other Manufacturing
subsector accounted for one-quarter (35 Mt) of the total GHG emissions
from the Mining and Manufacturing Industries in 2004. This subsector
encompasses all manufacturing activities not captured under any of
the other specific categories. This includes food manufacturing, plastics
and rubber manufacturing, and lime and gypsum products manufacturing,
to name just a few. The GHG emissions in this subsector are primarily
combustion emissions (60%), with the industrial process emissions making
up the balance.
- The mining subsector accounted for 2.3% (17.8 Mt) of Canada's GHG
emissions in 2004. Between 1990 and 2004, the industry observed a 48%
increase in sector GDP, while GHG emissions rose by 9.3 Mt. Owing to
increasing demand for natural gas (which grew by 243% over 1990-2004),
combustion emissions increased by about 110% over the same period.
FIGURE 4: Breakdown of Canada's 2004 GHG Emissions
in the Mining and Manufacturing Industries by Industrial Subsector
![FIGURE 4: Breakdown of Canada's 2004 GHG Emissions in the Mining and Manufacturing Industries by Industrial Subsector](/web/20071217083203im_/http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2004_trends/images/figure4_s_e.gif)
Click to enlarge
Notes:
* Non-ferrous production refers to the Smelting and Refining Industries.
**
Ferrous metal production refers to the Primary & Other Steel
Industries.
- The non-ferrous metal production (smelting and refining) subsector contributed
9% (12.7 Mt) to Mining and Manufacturing Industry emissions in 2004.
The bulk of these emissions are due to the release of gases with high
global warming potentials, originating from aluminium and magnesium production
processes. Between 1990 and 2004, the non-ferrous smelting and refining
industry experienced growth in sector GDP of 98%, while GHG emissions
decreased by 19%. Process emissions from primary aluminium and magnesium
production decreased by 22% and 30%, respectively. These reductions were
due to better control of anode events in smelters and the progressive
replacement of SF6 with alternative cover gases.
- In 2004, the ferrous metal production (Primary & Other Steel
Industries) subsector represented 2% (14.7 Mt) of Canada's total GHG
emissions, contributing 10.6% to mining and manufacturing industry
emissions. Stationary fuel combustion and process-related sources accounted
for 45% (6.55 Mt) and 55% (8.2 Mt) of the GHG emissions for this subsector,
respectively.
- The cement subsector accounted for 8% (11.4 Mt) of the Mining and
Manufacturing Industries' GHG emissions in 2004, which represents 1.5%
of Canada's total GHG emissions. Approximately 62% of the emissions
are a result of the clinker production process, while the balance is
attributable to fuel combustion.
- For 2004, GHG emissions from Industrial Chemical Industries are estimated
at 21.8 Mt, or 16% of the Mining and Manufacturing Industries' totals.
This represents 2.9% of Canada's overall GHG emissions. Over 71% of
the GHG emissions from Industrial Chemical Industries are process emissions,
which have decreased about 25% since 1990. Process emissions from this
subsector include CO2 emissions from the steam reforming
of natural gas in ammonia production and N2O generated as
a by-product during the production of adipic and nitric acids. The
process emissions decrease can mostly be explained by the installation
of emission abatement equipment in Canada's only adipic acid plant.
When combustion emissions are factored in, Canadian chemical industries
have exhibited a 21% decrease in GHG emissions between 1990 and 2004.
- Between 1990 and 2004, GHG emissions and GDP for the Mining and Manufacturing
Industries sector grew by 5.7% (7.5 Mt) and 40% ($78.6 billion), respectively.
The overall economic GHG intensity of this broad sector was 0.51 Mt
per billion dollars, 30% below the Canadian average of 0.725 Mt per
billion dollars.
Solvent and Other Product Use
- The Solvent and Other Product Use Sector was a minor contributor
to Canada's emissions total, as it was responsible for less than 1
Mt of GHGs. Emissions from this sector - N2O emissions
from the use of anaesthetics and propellants - have increased
by 15.3% since 1990.
Residential and Commercial/ Institutional Subsectors
- The residential and commercial/institutional subsectors contributed
81 Mt or 11% of Canada's GHG emissions in 2004. The residential subsector
alone contributed about 43 Mt (5.7% of the Canadian total), while the
commercial and institutional subsector contributed 38 Mt (5.0% of the
Canadian total).
- Commercial and institutional emissions increased by 12 Mt (47%) between
1990 and 2004 due to a 25% increase in commercial and institutional
building floor space. Energy demand in commercial buildings is also
influenced by weather. In relation to the number of heating degree-days,
2004 was 8% colder than 1990.
Agriculture
- In 2004, GHG emissions from the Agriculture Sector totalled 55 Mt and
contributed 7.3% of total national emissions. This sector accounted for
64% of Canada's total emissions of N2O and 25% of CH4 emissions.
- On a category basis, agricultural soils contributed 40% of the sector's
emissions (23 Mt) in 2004. The balance of emissions in this sector
originate from domestic animal enteric fermentation (44% or 24 Mt)
and manure management (15% or 8.4 Mt).
- Total sector emissions rose 23% between 1990 and 2004. Emissions
from manure management increased by 26% and those from enteric fermentation
by 30%. N2O emissions from soils rose 14% over the same
period.
Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)
- In 2004, the LULUCF Sector was a net source of 81 Mt of GHG emissions
to the atmosphere. This estimate represents the sum of the net CO2 flux
and non-CO2 (CH4 and N2O) emissions.
The net CO2 flux alone amounted to a source of 59 Mt, while
emissions of non-CO2 gas added up to 22 Mt.
- Under current international reporting rules, LULUCF emissions/removals
are not included in the national inventory totals. If they were included,
they would have resulted in an 11% increase in total Canadian emissions
in 2004. Under the terms of the Kyoto Protocol, sources and sinks from
some land use, land-use change activities will be included and accounted
for separately during the first commitment period (2008-2012).
- With the 2006 submission, Canada has begun the implementation of
a multi-year effort to substantially improve its estimates for the
LULUCF Sector. In addition to new estimates being reported for wetlands
and N2O
from land conversion to cropland, all LULUCF categories except Grasslands
represent completely revised and expanded estimates.
- The time series of the net LULUCF flux over the 1990-2004 period
is heavily influenced by the high variability in the impact of natural
disturbances on forest land, notably fires. As a result, the entire
LULUCF Sector can be either a source (as in 1995, 1998, and 2004) or
a sink (as in 1997, 2000, and 2001).
- Excluding natural disturbances, the trends observed in the LULUCF
Sector largely reflect the changing levels of industrial forestry activity
during the 1990s. Accounting for the carbon stored in harvested wood
products would significantly reduce the apparent impact of industrial
activity on LULUCF Sector emissions and removals.
- The natural variability of forest disturbances will remain a major
challenge in the projection of annual emissions and removals in the
LULUCF Sector.
Waste
- The Waste Sector contributed 29 Mt or 3.8% to Canada's GHG emissions
in 2004. Solid waste disposal on land accounted for more than 95% (27
Mt) of Waste Sector GHG emissions, while wastewater handling and waste
incineration accounted for 4% (1.2 Mt) and 1% (0.3 Mt), respectively.
- In 2004, CH4 captured by landfill gas collection systems
contributed to a 21% (6.5 Mt) reduction in direct atmospheric emissions
of CH4 from municipal solid waste. This resulted in a net
release of 22 Mt. CH4 captured by landfill gas collection
systems has increased by 48% (2.1 Mt) since 1990.
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Provincial and Territorial GHG Emissions
Table 3 provides a summary of GHG emissions by
province and territory for 1990 and 2004 by sector (as defined by UNFCCC
sector and not by modified Canadian industrial sector as in the previous
trend analysis and discussion). Although the UNFCCC Guidelines on annual
inventories require only that national-level detail be reported, it is
considered important to provide these details due to the distinct regional
differences in emission levels and trends that exist within Canada. Also,
it must be noted that provincial and territorial emission estimates do
not sum exactly to the national totals. The differences are due to two
factors: rounding of the emissions data and suppression of some confidential
provincial/territorial activity data.
GHG emissions are not distributed evenly across Canada. Regional
differences in factors such as climate, resources available for energy
production and/or industry, and travel patterns all contribute to different
levels and trends of emissions.
TABLE 3: Summary of Provincial and Territorial GHG Emissions by Sector,
1990 and 2004
Click to view Table 3
GHG emissions are not distributed evenly across Canada. Regional differences
in factors such as climate, resources available for energy production
and/or industry, and travel patterns all contribute to different levels
and trends of emissions. Figure 5 illustrates the provincial and territorial
contributions to Canada's total emissions in 2004. The largest provincial
contributors were Alberta, with 31% of Canada's total emissions (235
Mt), and Ontario, which accounted for 27% of the national total (203
Mt). The next largest contribution to national emissions was from Quebec,
at 12%, while Saskatchewan and British Columbia contributed 9.2% and
8.9%, respectively. The remainder of the emissions in 2004 were from
Manitoba, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick (each accounting for about 3%).
Newfoundland and Labrador added 1.4%, while Prince Edward Island and
the territories together contributed less than 1% to total national emissions
in 2004.
In terms of emissions growth, all provinces and territories except the
Yukon (-19%) experienced an increase in their emissions over the 1990-2004
period. During this 14-year period, four provinces were responsible for
88% of the total national growth in emissions - Alberta accounted for
43% of total growth, while Ontario and Saskatchewan both contributed
17%, and British Columbia added 10%.
Excluding CO2 fluxes from agricultural soils, total emissions
from the Agriculture Sector increased by 22% between 1990 and 2004 (from
45 Mt to 55 Mt). On a provincial basis, CH4 and N2O
emissions increased steadily, from 4.4 to 6.4 Mt in Manitoba, from 6.8
to 10.3 Mt in Saskatchewan, and from 12.5 to 16.7 Mt in Alberta. There
has been very little change in CH4 and N2O emissions
in British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic region of Canada.
The increased emissions from the Prairie provinces have mainly resulted
from livestock expansion and higher synthetic nitrogen fertilizer consumption.
Collectively, these provinces have contributed to most of the growth
in Canada's non-CO2 GHG emissions from the Agriculture Sector
since 1990. The increased non-CO2 emissions from the Prairies
are offset by increasing removals of CO2 because of increasing
storage of soil organic carbon through adoption of no-tillage and reduction
of summerfallow.
The largest provincial contributors were Alberta, with 31% of
Canada's total emissions (235 Mt), and Ontario, which accounted for
27% of the national total (203 Mt).
FIGURE 5: Relative Provincial and Territorial
Contributions to Canada's GHG Emissions in 2004
![FIGURE 5: Relative Provincial and Territorial Contributions to Canada's GHG Emissions in 2004](/web/20071217083203im_/http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2004_trends/images/figure5_s_e.gif)
Click to enlarge
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References
Environment Canada (2006), National Inventory Report -
Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada: 1990-2004, Environment
Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Informetrica Limited (2006), Gross Domestic Product (Million 1997
Chained Dollars), January 11, 2006.
Informetrica Limited and Statistics Canada, Industrial GDP at Basic
Prices by NAICS Code in 1997 Dollars: 1981-2003.
Natural Resources Canada (1990-2004), Canadian Minerals Yearbook,
Annual Editions, Natural Resources Mining Sector.
Natural Resources Canada (2004), Energy Efficiency Trends in Canada,
1990 to 2002, Office of Energy Efficiency, Natural Resources Canada,
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Catalogue No. M141-1/2002 (http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/neud/dpa/data_e/Trends04/Trends2004.pdf).
Natural Resources Canada (2005), Energy Efficiency Trends in Canada,
1990-2003, Office of Energy Efficiency, Natural Resources Canada,
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Nyboer, J. and K. Tu (2006), GHG Emission Trend Analysis in the
Fossil Fuel Production Industries (Draft), Canadian Industrial
Energy End-Use Data and Analysis Centre, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby,
British Columbia, Canada.
Statistics Canada, Cement, 1990-2004 (Monthly), Catalogue No. 44-001-XIB
(discontinued).
Statistics Canada, Primary Iron and Steel, 1990-2004 (Monthly),
Catalogue No. 41-001-XIB.
Statistics Canada (2003), Demographic Statistics (Annual),
Catalogue No. 91-213-XIB.
Statistics Canada (2004), Report on Energy Supply-Demand in Canada (Annual),
Catalogue No. 57-003.
T.J. McCann and Associates (1997), Fossil Fuel Energy Trade & Greenhouse
Gas Emissions: A Quantitative Assessment of Emissions Related to Imports
and Exports, Prepared for Environment Canada.
U.S. Census Bureau (2004), Table 8: Annual Estimates of the Population
for the United States, Regions, and Divisions: April 1, 2000 to July
1, 2004 (NST-EST2004-08) (http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/00000.html).
U.S. Department of Commerce (2006), Real Gross Domestic Product
Billions of Chained (2000) Dollars, Bureau of Economic Analysis
(www.bea.gov/bea/dn/gdplev.xls).
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2006), The U.S. Inventory
of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2004, April (http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/
globalwarming.nsf/UniqueKeyLookup/RAMR6P5M5M/ $File/06FastFacts.pdf).
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For more information
Contact: Art Jaques, P. Eng.
Director, Greenhouse Gas
Division
Environment Canada
351 St. Joseph Boulevard
Gatineau, QC
Canada K1A 0H3
Telephone: 819 994-3098
Fax: 819 953-3006
E-mail: ghg@ec.gc.ca
National Inventory Report 1990-2004
Contact the Inquiry Centre at Environment Canada for further information.
Inquiry Centre
Environment Canada
Gatineau, Québec
K1A 0H3 Canada
Telephone: 1 800 668-6767
Fax: 819-994-1412
E-Mail: enviroinfo@ec.gc.ca
For a complete summary of provincial and territorial emissions
for the years 1990 through 2004 inclusive, consult Environment Canada’s
Greenhouse Gas Emissions web site at www.ec.gc.ca/ghg-ges.
Photo Credits: © COREL Corporation
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The Library and Archives Canada has catalogued this publication
as follows:
Trends in GHG sources and sinks in Canada [electronic resource].
Annual
1990/2004-
Electronic serial in PDF format.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.
Other editions available: Tendances relatives aux sources et aux
puits de GES au Canada.
Trends in GHG sources and sinks in Canada
Continues: Canada's greenhouse gas inventory, overview.
Issued also in printed form
ISSN: 1910-8893
ISBN 0-662-44244-X
Cat. no.: En81-4/2004-1E-PDF
1. Greenhouse gases-Canada-Measurement-Periodicals.
2. Methane-Environmental aspects-Canada-Periodicals.
3. Nitrous oxide-Environmental aspects-Canada-Periodicals.
4. Carbon dioxide-Environmental aspects-Canada-Periodicals.
5. Sulphur hexafluoride-Environmental aspects-Canada-Periodicals.
6. Fluorocarbons-Environmental aspects-Canada-Periodicals.
7. Pollution-Canada-Measurement-Periodicals.
I. Canada. Environment Canada
TD885.5.G73T732
363.738'74'097105
C2006-980268-8
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1 Unless otherwise indicated, all emission estimates given in Mt represent
emissions of GHGs in Mt CO2 eq. For brevity,
this has been shortened to Mt. This concept provides a relative measure
of the impacts of different GHGs on global warming, with the effect of
CO2 being equal to 1.
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