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Bank of Canada Review

Summer 2001

Index of Working Papers | Index of Technical Reports
Title Analyzing the Monetary Aggregates
Author(s) Dinah Maclean
Type Bank of Canada Review article
Date of
publication
Summer 2001
Language English
Abstract In recent years, the Bank has put renewed emphasis on analyzing monetary variables and on developing models that incorporate money as an active part of the transmission mechanism. In this article, Dinah Maclean describes how the monetary aggregates are used in the formulation of monetary policy analysis at the Bank, outlining the key tools and models used.

The most important money-based model currently in use is the M1-VECM. In this model, deviations in the money supply from the long-term demand for money cause changes in inflation. The author briefly describes the "active-money" paradigm underlying this model and explains the key equations within it.

Other simpler empirical models are also outlined, including single-equation indicator models for output based on the narrow aggregates, a neural network, and a model based on the broader aggregate M2++. A detailed technical annex provides details on model equations and coefficient values.

Bank
topic index
Monetary Aggregates
JEL
classification

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