In the weeks following the release of the
final report and recommendations of the
Alberta Royalty Review Panel, the public
relations machinery of the oil and gas industry
in this province has been working at a frenzied
pace.
Although the industry's negative response
to the report was entirely predictable,
their overreaction is breathtaking, along
with their determination to convince the
Stelmach government and the public at large
that implementing the report's recommendations
would spell disaster for Alberta.
By using words like 'draconian', 'extreme',
and 'radical', industry is working hard
to convince Premier Stelmach that what is
needed is some sort of compromise between
the report's recommendations and their own
desire to maintain the status quo. Even
a cursory read, however, is enough to show
this report is far from draconian.
On the contrary, this report — drafted
by a group of high-powered execs, corporate
consultants, and mainstream economists —
is clearly a compromise. In fact, its recommendations
fall far short of what Albertans have said
they want, and what groups like the Parkland
Institute have been calling for for close
to a decade.
For example, one of the report's most flawed
recommendations is that no changes be made
in the practice of only charging a royalty
rate of 1 percent until a project's construction
expenses have been paid off.
Although this policy may have made sense
20 years ago when there was little-to-no
industry interest in the oil sands and the
price of oil was low, there is no reason
for it when oil is at $80 per barrel and
international corporations are literally
lining up to buy oil sands leases.
Industry would have us believe that there
is tremendous risk involved with oil sands
projects. The realities are: that we know
where the resource is; the cost of production
is less than $25 per barrel; the demand
for the resource is virtually guaranteed;
and the market price will go nowhere but
up in the foreseeable future.
Where exactly is all the risk?
The panel's recommendation to increase
the base royalty rate from the existing
25 percent to 33 percent is a step in the
right direction, but still grossly inadequate.
Although this move would increase Alberta's
total share (royalties and taxes) of tar
sands revenues by some 40 percent, it would
still leave the province firmly entrenched
in the bottom half of jurisdictions around
the world in terms of rent collection.
With countries like Norway and Venezuela
obtaining 78 percent and 90 percent respectively,
Alberta is far from being a leader in this
regard. And contrary to industry threats
of late, these countries are experiencing
no shortage of oil companies wanting to
invest in their resources.
Likewise, the panel's report does very
little in the area of incremental royalties
and taxes. Even with full implementation
of its recommendations, it projects a decline
in government revenue from oil and gas of
almost $4 billion dollars from 2006 to 2016:
this despite increased production, increased
demand, and increased prices.
Other jurisdictions recognize that increased
oil prices are not the result of anything
the industry has done to add value, but
rather a reflection of the increased value
of the resource itself. As such, the lion's
share of those increased prices should go
to the owner of the resource, not the company
we are paying to extract it for us.
There are many other areas where the recommendations
of the review panel fall far short of what
Albertans have expressed they want and what
Albertans deserve. Even the provincial Auditor-General
is raising questions about Alberta low-balling
its share of oil and gas revenue.
In response to the extreme reaction from
industry, Premier Stelmach has now decided
to gather further feedback before making
a decision on how to proceed on royalties.
It is imperative that, during this process,
Albertans speak out just as loudly and persistently
as industry about the fact that the report's
recommendations are timid and conservative,
and that they do not go far enough.
Regardless of anything industry might have
to say, the panel's recommendations are
the absolute bare minimum that should be
implemented with regards to royalties. However,
if the Premier does not hear this message
from Albertans, then we are likely to end
up with even less than that.
Let the Alberta government know your opinion
by clicking on at the URL below.
Ricardo Acuña is executive director
of the Parkland Institute, a non-partisan
public policy research institute housed
in the Faculty of Arts at the University
of Alberta.
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