Abstract

The projected change in the market share of small utility vehicles in total light-duty vehicle sales, from the model year 1990 to 2010 based on the business-as-usual scenario is shown here. This scenario assumes that there are no major policy changes in the 1990 to 2010 period, which would affect vehicle preferences. Light-duty vehicles include all cars and light trucks. Of all the new light-duty vehicle classes, the market share of small utility vehicles is expected to have the largest increase over the forecasting period 1990 to 2010. The largest growth in the market share of small utility vehicles is expected to occur in the central region in terms of market share. Most areas in Ontario, where this market share was relatively large in 1990, would have the largest increase in the absolute number of small utility vehicles.