1:00 to 1:30 Registration
|
| 1:30 |
Life expectancy:
international comparisons
François Boulanger, Actuary
Régie des rentes du Québec
Mr. Boulanger will briefly present the latest North American projections
on increased life expectancy and the results of a recent survey
on this topic among social security organizations in a number of
industrialized countries.
|
| 1:50 |
Changes in
mortality in Quebec over the XXth Century
Robert Bourbeau, Director and Full Professor
Demography, Université de Montréal
Mr. Bourbeau is conducting a number of studies on general and
cause-specific mortality and on human life expectancy in developed
countries. He will review changes in mortality in Quebec over the
XXth Century, focusing on mortality at advanced ages (65 years and
over). He will address some of the problems associated with the
quality of data on population and death at very advanced ages, and
suggest some approaches for dealing with upcoming changes in mortality
in Quebec.
Break
|
| 3:20 |
Downward
trends in mortality among retirees
Louis Adam, Professor and Program Director
École d'actuariat, Université Laval
Mr. Adam will present the results of a study on mortality among
pension benefit recipients in Canada. This study compares mortality
levels by source of data (Canada or Quebec), income, gender and
age. Mortality trends are analyzed for the 1975-2000 period.
|
| 4:30 |
Impact
of genetics on mortality
Louis Dallaire, Geneticist, Associate Professor,
Faculté de médecine, Université de Montréal
Mr. Dallaire will briefly overview the latest scientific research
in the field of genetics and their impact on future mortality.
|
| 5:30 |
Cocktails |
| |
|
| September 26
8:30 a.m. to 9:00 a.m. Registration
ECONOMIC DIMENSION
|
| 9:00 |
Impact
of ageing on economic growth
Yvan Guillemette, Policy Analyst
C.D. Howe Institute
Mr. Guillemette will address the determinants of Quebec's past
and future economic growth and the impact of ageing on labour productivity.
He will cover the predictable transformations in the economy following
the retirement of the first baby-boom generation. He will also address
the phenomena that could lead to changes in labour productivity,
uncertainties about their long-term nature, and their relationship
to wage increases.
Break
|
| 10:40 |
Wages
and productivity in an ageing Quebec
Pierre Fortin, Professor of Economics
Université du Québec à Montréal
Mr. Fortin will address the projected changes in the labour market
over the next three decades, particularly in terms of Quebec's position
relative to its neighbouring economies (Ontario, United States).
This presentation will focus on productivity and future changes
in wages. He will cover issues such as changes in labour force demand
and supply in connection with ageing and female participation in
the labour force.
|
| 12:00 |
Lunch |
| |
|
| FINANCIAL DIMENSION |
| |
|
| 1:30 |
Analysis of
potential returns
Reynald N. Harpin, Director General, Investment Management
- Pension Funds
Alcan Inc.
Mr. Harpin will review historical returns and the potential returns
of the different asset categories, focusing on their basic determinants.
Break
|
| 3:15 |
Analysis of
risk premiums associated with asset distribution activities and
determinant
Richard Guay, Executive Vice-President, Risk Management
and Depositors's Accounts Management
Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec
Mr. Guay will address return and risk forecasts for assets and
obligations and risk premium estimation. He will also briefly cover
the issue of the potential impact of structural changes, such as
population ageing and market globalization on long-term returns.
|
| 4:30 |
End |