Ontario Economic Update

As of July 30, 2021

Economy
  Monthly:
2021 Mar
Monthly:
2021 Apr
Monthly:
2021 May
Monthly:
2021 Jun
Quarterly:
2020 Q4
Quarterly:
2021 Q1
Quarterly:
2021 Q2
Year
to Date*
Annual:
2019
Annual:
2020
Real Gross Domestic Product ($2012 millions) 778,826 788,412 NA 788,412 798,213 757,117
Per cent change 2.0 1.2 NA −0.3 2.1 −5.1
Current Dollar Gross Domestic Product ($ millions)  892,106 928,160 NA 928,160 891,811 851,176
Per cent change 3.6 4.0 NA 5.2 3.8 −4.6
Employment
  Monthly:
2021 Mar
Monthly:
2021 Apr
Monthly:
2021 May
Monthly:
2021 Jun
Quarterly:
2020 Q4
Quarterly:
2021 Q1
Quarterly:
2021 Q2
Year
to Date*
Annual:
2019
Annual:
2020
Employment (000's) 7,368 7,215 7,184 7,301 7,226 7,213 7,233 7,190 7,377 7,022
Net New Jobs (000's 182.3 −152.7 −31.6 116.9 205.9 −12.8 20.2 299.5 203.6 −355.3
Per cent change 2.5 −2.1 −0.4 1.6 2.9 −0.2 0.3 4.3 2.8 −4.8
Unemployment Rate (per cent)  7.5 9.0 9.3 8.4 9.5 9.0 8.9 9.1 5.6 9.6
Average Weekly Wage Rate ($), nsa  1,125 1,138 1,138 1,127 1,109 1,135 1,134 1,135 1,033 1,114
Per cent change 2.3 −1.9 −2.8 −1.4 6.1 5.8 −2.0 1.7 3.5 7.8
Employment Insurance Beneficiaries (regular) 530,120 631,470 NA NA 465,723 563,927 NA 610,660 119,458 199,781
Per cent change −11.3 19.1 NA NA 962.0 21.1 NA 251.3 −0.8 67.2
Consumers
  Monthly:
2021 Mar
Monthly:
2021 Apr
Monthly:
2021 May
Monthly:
2021 Jun
Quarterly:
2020 Q4
Quarterly:
2021 Q1
Quarterly:
2021 Q2
Year
to Date*
Annual:
2019
Annual:
2020
Retail Sales ($ millions) 21,747 18,745 18,352 NA 59,631 59,920 NA 89,232 231,390 222,261
Per cent change 12.4 −13.8 −2.1 NA 1.3 0.5 NA 16.0 2.3 −3.9
New Motor Vehicle Sales (units), nsa 65,334 62,406 59,019 NA 170,648 148,690 NA 270,115 848,706 652,854
Per cent change 47.4 280.7 36.3 NA −8.8 0.7 NA 30.2 −2.1 −23.1
Consumer Price Index (CPI), nsa 141.0 141.8 142.6 143.1 138.9 140.2 142.5 141.4 137.5 138.4
Per cent change 2.2 3.3 3.7 3.2 0.8 1.5 3.4 2.5 1.9 0.7
Housing
  Monthly:
2021 Mar
Monthly:
2021 Apr
Monthly:
2021 May
Monthly:
2021 Jun
Quarterly:
2020 Q4
Quarterly:
2021 Q1
Quarterly:
2021 Q2
Year
to Date*
Annual:
2019
Annual:
2020
Housing Starts (000's 131.0 109.5 101.8 89.0 83.7 102.5 99.3 43.7 69.0 80.8
Per cent change 46.2 −16.4 −7.0 −12.5 −11.0 22.4 −3.1 30.0 −12.4 17.1
MLS Home Resales (units)  29,234 24,063 22,259 20,247 70,035 80,936 66,569 152,840 209,672 228,105
Per cent change 7.4 −17.7 −7.5 −9.0 −1.5 15.6 −17.8 71.2 9.0 8.8
Business
  Monthly:
2021 Mar
Monthly:
2021 Apr
Monthly:
2021 May
Monthly:
2021 Jun
Quarterly:
2020 Q4
Quarterly:
2021 Q1
Quarterly:
2021 Q2
Year
to Date*
Annual:
2019
Annual:
2020
Manufacturing Sales ($ millions)  27,663 24,011 24,459 NA 75,165 73,409 NA 124,230 318,749 278,452
Per cent change 22.7 −13.2 1.9 NA −0.2 −2.3 NA 18.9 −0.1 −12.6
International Merchandise Exports ($ millions), nsa  18,003 15,051 14,610 NA 52,061 49,927 NA 79,587 209,195 187,225
Per cent change 7.3 58.1 38.2 NA −2.7 1.3 NA 14.7 3.7 −10.5
International Merchandise Imports ($ millions), nsa 33,570 30,057 30,295 NA 93,527 88,471 NA 148,823 365,792 338,027
Per cent change 10.6 38.8 47.6 NA 4.0 3.9 NA 16.9 2.8 −7.6
Wholesale Trade ($ millions)  35,813 35,113 35,578 NA 104,940 106,993 NA 172,671 394,103 389,382
Per cent change 0.9 −2.0 1.3 NA 2.4 2.0 NA 18.7 2.4 −1.2
Non-residential Building Permits ($ millions)  1,240 1,422 1,116 NA 3,587 3,838 NA 5,662 15,801 14,716
Per cent change −12.4 14.7 −21.5 NA −6.3 7.0 NA 2.9 18.1 −6.9
Private and Public Investment ($ millions) 83,811 76,907
Per cent change 2.3 −8.2

* Notes: All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise specified with "nsa".
Per cent change for seasonally unadjusted (nsa) data is calculated on a year-to-year basis.
Notes: All data are seasonally adjusted unless otherwise specified with "nsa".
International merchandise trade is reported on a customs basis.
GDP levels are expressed at annual rates. Monthly and quarterly housing starts are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates.
Monthly and quarterly housing starts are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Year-to-date housing starts are based on actual unadjusted urban-area data.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Ontario Ministry of Finance, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation and Canadian Real Estate Association.

For further information, please contact us at:
Ministry of Finance
Macroeconomics and Revenue Branch
Economic Analysis Unit
6th Floor, Frost Building North
95 Grosvenor Street
Toronto ON M7A 1Z1
416 325-0755
Send us your questions or comments.

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