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Case Study on the Role of Fiscal Policy in Hydrogen Development

Baseline Report

Pembina Institute and the Canadian Energy Research Institute

May 10, 2004

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Introduction

The National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy (NRTEE) has identified ecological fiscal reform (EFR) as one of the government’s most powerful tools for influencing economic and environmental outcomes. The NRTEE has defined EFR as a strategy that redirects a government’s taxation and expenditure programs to create an integrated set of incentives to support the shift to sustainable development. Many believe this policy lever has not been used to its full capacity to address challenges related to climate change and energy use. To explore EFR in this regard, the objective of the NRTEE’s EFR and Energy program is to develop and promote fiscal policy that consistently and systematically reduces energy-based carbon emissions in Canada, both in absolute terms and as a ratio to gross domestic product, without increasing other pollutants. From the assumption that a number of emerging technologies have the potential to help in the achievement of this long-term objective, the NRTEE has commissioned this study on hydrogen. It is joined with two others that are looking at the role of fiscal policy in promoting renewable power and in energy efficiency, respectively.

The hydrogen sector, as defined for the purposes of this project, is any energy system where the primary fuel, at some point within the process, is hydrogen. Fuel cells, because they use hydrogen as their primary fuel (even though in a typical stationary fuel cell application, hydrogen only exists for a short time and is contained completely within the fuel cell system), are a major component of this sector. This definition purposely excludes some of the most common uses of hydrogen today. For example, hydrogen used in an oil refinery to produce gasoline and other fuel products is not included as hydrogen is not the primary fuel source, oil is. Hydrogen used for medical or manufacturing purposes is also not included.

Hydrogen is envisaged as a key energy source in the long run and is recognized for the role it could play in reducing carbon emissions in the future. While challenges related to hydrogen technologies are continually being overcome, numerous technological challenges persist. In addition, the relatively high capital cost of these technologies remains a key barrier to significant market penetration. While Canada, along with the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan and Germany, is a leader in hydrogen technology developments, without major policy interventions, mass commercialization and associated long-term economic benefits of hydrogen energy in Canada are unlikely.

Fiscal policy can play an important role in accelerating hydrogen energy market penetration in Canada. However, key questions that need addressing relate to the type of EFR appropriate in promoting the long-term development of this sector and the effectiveness of such policies in reducing carbon emissions over time. To begin to answer these questions, the EFR and Hydrogen Development Case Study will examine the role that fiscal policy can play in promoting hydrogen-based energy systems. More specifically, the purpose of this research is to provide a detailed look at the emerging hydrogen economy with respect to its expected path of development, as well as the ability of EFR at the federal level to enhance this development.

This report describes in detail the baseline conditions from which key ecological fiscal reform policies will be evaluated. Specifically, in this report we describe the current state of hydrogen development, potential hydrogen pathways, and the current policy framework related to hydrogen, and we complete an initial assessment of fiscal policies for facilitating hydrogen development in Canada. The Economic Analysis Report, which accompanies this Baseline Report, presents results of a modelling exercise undertaken to evaluate the impact of a set of hydrogen-oriented fiscal policy scenarios.

This report begins with a description of the methodology employed in this analysis. We then describe the hydrogen sector, as it currently exists in Canada, and the potential for market development over time. Following this, the Hydrogen Pathways section describes the hydrogen economy in the context of a host of energy pathways and describes specific applications for further consideration in this analysis. The policy context currently governing hydrogen developments in Canada is subsequently described along with the barriers limiting further market penetration of hydrogen technologies in Canada. We then describe the role that fiscal policies can play in overcoming these barriers and evaluate an extensive list of policies according to a set of evaluative criteria. The outcome of this evaluation is a refined set of the most promising fiscal policies for facilitating market penetration of hydrogen technologies in Canada. A sub-set of these fiscal policies will be evaluated using the Energy 2020 model, which we describe in the final section of the report. We conclude by summarizing the Baseline Report and identifying next steps in the policy analysis.

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