Schedule for the day
September 22, 2006
8:15 a.m. – 8:45 a.m.
Registration
8:45 a.m. – 9:00 a.m.
Welcome
9:00 a.m. – 9:50 a.m.
Evolution of migration in Quebec
Alain Bélanger
Coordinator, Research and Analysis, Demography Division
Statistics Canada
Using demographic projections for 2006-2056 produced by Statistics Canada, what are the various migration scenarios and the determining factors that could affect these projections? What can we expect with respect to the evolution of interprovincial migration patterns?
9:50 a.m. – 10:40 a.m.
Evolution of life expectancy at 65 years
Robert Bourbeau
Director, Demographics Department, Université de Montréal
How has life expectancy at 65 years evolved in recent years? What is the outlook for life expectancy for both men and women? Will the narrowing of the gap observed for several years continue?
10:40 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.
Break
11:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.
Work-retirement transition processes: Observations and expected evolution
Frédéric Lesemann
Director of the Groupe de recherche sur les transformations du travail, des âges et des politiques sociales [Work, age and social policy transformation research group]
INRS Urbanisation, Culture et Société
What will the process of retirement from the work force look like in the coming decades? How will large numbers of people approaching retirement and increased life expectancy change the behaviour of the baby boomers? What factors will affect the evolution of phased retirement?
12:00 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.
Lunch
1:30 p.m. – 2:30 p.m.
Economic outlook of Quebec for the next 20 years and the impact on pension plans
Maurice N. Marchon
Full Professor, Institut d’économique appliquée
HEC Montréal
How will the economy adapt to the ageing of the population in industrialized countries, and especially in Quebec? How will the labour market change with the retirement of the baby boomers? What will be the repercussions on monetary policy, financial markets and pension plans?
2:30 p.m. – 2:50 p.m.
Break
2:50 p.m. – 3:50 p.m.
Future evolution of productivity and salaries
Marc Van Audenrode
Vice-President
Groupe d'Analyse, Ltée
What are the factors that have prevented substantial real growth in wages in the past? What will be the trend in the next two decades? With a shortage of labour, will the anticipated rise in labour productivity lead to an equivalent rise in salaries?