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Luck of the Draw
Aired October 25, 2006
Updated March 14, 2007

WATCH the fifth estate ONLINE:
Bob Edmonds
October 25, 2006
Runs 40:19
November 22, 2006
Runs 21:00
March 14, 2007
Runs 19:17
REPORTER
: Gillian Findlay
PRODUCER
: Harvey Cashore
CO-PRODUCER:
Linda Guerriero
RESEARCHER:
Albert Lee

Video available in Windows Media Player.

BOB EDMONDS: WHISTLEBLOWER
Bob Edmonds, whose story started the fifth estate's lottery investigation, died on April 2, 2007. Read a news story.

BY THE NUMBERS
the fifth estate asked statistician Jeffrey Rosenthal to look at the OLG's numbers. Here's the analysis.
BY THE NUMBERS
Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation refuses to hand over crucial statistics
Despite repeated requests, the OLG refused to provide the fifth estate with crucial data on insider win statistics.

The fifth estate asked the OLG to break down Insider Wins into retailer type - a statistic which could provide better information about which Insiders may be winning the most. The OLG breaks down its retailers into 12 different retailer types. For example, one retailer type is convenience store [independent], another is supermarket.

In an October 20, 2006, email the OLG provided the fifth estate with what it said was the number of retailers and clerks affected by the "Insider Win" policy - but it failed to enumerate how many Insiders had won in each category.

If the OLG had provided this information, then any difference of opinion about the number of retailers and clerks could be cleared up immediately, says Professor Jeffrey Rosenthal. "Such confusion could be avoided if we knew which insider wins correspond to which store type, but unfortunately OLG has not yet provided that information," he says.

The fifth estate has repeatedly asked OLG officials to provide the information, both before and after our broadcast, but they have repeatedly refused to do so, despite those numbers being readily available.

Using exemptions provided under the Freedom of Information Act, the OLG has also withheld:

Insider Win forms missing from OLG records
The fifth estate has learned that up to 54 of the OLG's Insider Win forms have gone missing. These forms would provide key information about any investigation conducted into those Insiders, but in a letter from its Freedom of Information Office on August 31, 2006, coordinator Anna Pyymaki stated that: "These records are not included as we believe they no longer exist."

The records, the letter states: "do not include the insider win forms or approval checklists for instant games…and for a number of on-line games."

The fifth estate also learned that the biggest anomaly of Insider Wins comes from the Instant Win category. "For the instant games during this period, the insiders won over 10 times as many major prizes as expected, and the probability of this happening by chance alone was....an unimaginably small figure," says Professor Jeffrey Rosenthal of the University of Toronto.

The fifth estate has asked the OLG about the missing forms and so far, no explanation has been provided. We are still waiting for this and other information form the OLG, and we will keep you posted.

The study
The fifth estate filed numerous Access to Information requests with the Freedom of Information Office of the OLG. We wanted to determine how many insiders were winning and what that meant.

Our requests varied from actual Insider Win Forms filled out after an Insider Win, to the number of major wins over the last 10 years. We also asked the OLG for the number of retail locations, number of OLG employees and lottery sales.

We took all those statistics, provided by the OLG, and handed them off to Professor Jeffrey Rosenthal of the University of Toronto to analyse.

We also needed to know the number of retailers and clerks but discovered that the OLG did not have that data. They did not keep track of all their retailers and clerks. Nevertheless, Alex Campbell, a senior OLG official, testified during the Bob Edmonds trial that there were approximately 50,000 to 60,000 clerks and retailers in Ontario. (see the testimony)

A few days before our broadcast, on October 20, 2006, the OLG said it did have a breakdown of what it said was the number of clerks and retailers. This number (over 140,000) is more than double what they testified in court (60,000 see above) and it does not correspond with the fifth estate's own research.

Nevertheless, we asked Professor Rosenthal to crunch these last-minute numbers as well. Take a look at his entire report.

NOTE: Some of these documents are PDF files. Download a copy of Adobe Reader to view them.

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